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. 2023 Jun 26;44(31):2998–3013. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehad338

Table 2.

Clinical outcomes of HF patients with and without prior stroke

Total events Events per 100 person-years (95% CI) Stroke vs. nonstroke
No prior stroke
(n = 30 441)
Prior stroke
(n = 2970)
No prior stroke
(n = 30 441)
Prior stroke
(n = 2970)
Unadjusted HR
(95% CI)
Adjusted HR
(95% CI)
CV death or HF hosp.
Overall 7578 (24.9) 934 (31.5) 9.97 (9.75–10.20) 13.54 (12.70–14.44) 1.34 (1.26–1.44) 1.18 (1.10–1.27)
HFrEF 4756 (25.7) 521 (31.0) 11.89 (11.55–12.23) 15.66 (14.37–17.06) 1.30 (1.19–1.43) 1.17 (1.07–1.28)
HFpEF 2822 (23.6) 413 (32.1) 7.84 (7.56–8.14) 11.57 (10.51–12.74) 1.46 (1.32–1.62) 1.19 (1.07–1.33)
First HF hosp.
Overall 4806 (15.8) 586 (19.7) 6.32 (6.15–6.50) 8.50 (7.84–9.21) 1.32 (1.21–1.44) 1.12 (1.03–1.23)
HFrEF 2761(14.9) 307 (18.2) 6.90 (6.65–7.16) 9.23 (8.25–10.32) 1.31 (1.17–1.48) 1.16 (1.03–1.31)
HFpEF 2045 (17.1) 279 (21.7) 5.68 (5.44–5.93) 7.82 (6.95–8.79) 1.35 (1.19–1.53) 1.08 (0.95–1.23)
Cardiovascular death
Overall 4327 (14.2) 576 (19.4) 5.23 (5.08–5.39) 7.49 (6.90–8.13) 1.44 (1.32–1.57) 1.31 (1.20–1.43)
HFrEF 3024 (16.4) 348 (20.7) 6.98 (6.74–7.24) 9.50 (8.55–10.55) 1.37 (1.22–1.53) 1.23 (1.10–1.37)
HFpEF 1303 (10.9) 228 (17.7) 3.31 (3.13–3.49) 5.67 (4.98–6.45) 1.73 (1.50–1.99) 1.44 (1.25–1.66)
All-cause death
Overall 5672 (18.6) 740 (24.9) 6.86 (6.68–7.04) 9.62 (8.95–10.34) 1.41 (1.31–1.52) 1.26 (1.17–1.36)
HFrEF 3623 (19.6) 423 (25.1) 8.36 (8.10–8.64) 11.54 (10.49–12.69) 1.39 (1.26–1.54) 1.23 (1.11–1.37)
HFpEF 2049 (17.1) 317 (24.6) 5.20 (4.98–5.43) 7.88 (7.06–8.79) 1.53 (1.36–1.72) 1.28 (1.14–1.45)
Fatal/nonfatal MI
Overall 1032 (3.4) 148 (5.0) 1.27 (1.19–1.35) 1.97 (1.68–2.32) 1.54 (1.30–1.83) 1.26 (1.06–1.51)
HFrEF 534 (2.9) 59 (3.5) 1.25 (1.15–1.36) 1.64 (1.27–2.12) 1.31 (1.00–1.71) 1.07 (0.82–1.40)
HFpEF 498 (4.2) 89 (6.9) 1.29 (1.18–1.41) 2.28 (1.85–2.80) 1.75 (1.39–2.19) 1.44 (1.15–1.81)
Fatal/nonfatal stroke
Overall 963 (3.2) 200 (6.7) 1.18 (1.11–1.26) 2.68 (2.34–3.08) 2.27 (1.95–2.64) 2.02 (1.73–2.36)
HFrEF 491 (2.7) 99 (5.9) 1.15 (1.05–1.25) 2.79 (2.29–3.40) 2.44 (1.97–3.03) 2.24 (1.80–2.79)
HFpEF 472 (3.9) 101 (7.9) 1.22 (1.11–1.33) 2.58 (2.13–3.14) 2.12 (1.71–2.63) 1.84 (1.48–2.29)
Fatal/nonfatal MI or stroke
Overall 1939 (6.4) 329 (11.1) 2.41 (2.31–2.52) 4.51 (4.05–5.02) 1.86 (1.65–2.09) 1.60 (1.42–1.80)
HFrEF 998 (5.4) 148 (8.8) 2.36 (2.22–2.51) 4.24 (3.61–4.98) 1.79 (1.51–2.13) 1.55 (1.30–1.85)
HFpEF 941 (7.9) 181 (14.1) 2.47 (2.32–2.63) 4.75 (4.11–5.50) 1.91 (1.63–2.24) 1.64 (1.39–1.92)
CV death, HF hosp., MI, or stroke
Overall 8436 (27.7) 1067 (35.9) 11.36 (11.12–11.60) 16.13 (15.19–17.13) 1.40 (1.32–1.50) 1.23 (1.15–1.31)
HFrEF 5159 (27.9) 583 (34.6) 13.12 (12.77–13.48) 18.23 (16.81–19.77) 1.37 (1.26–1.49) 1.22 (1.12–1.33)
HFpEF 3277 (27.4) 484 (37.6) 9.37 (9.06–9.70) 14.16 (12.96–15.48) 1.49 (1.36–1.64) 1.24 (1.12–1.37)

The adjusted hazard ratio is from a model adjusted for region, age, gender, heart rate, SBP, BMI, NYHA functional class III/IV, LVEF, eGFR, NT-proBNP (log-transformed), atrial fibrillation, ischaemic aetiology, MI, diabetes mellitus, treatment arm, and within-trial clustering.

Single and composite clinical outcomes (rate per 100 person-years) in patients with and without prior stroke.

BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; CV, cardiovascular; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; HF, heart failure; hosp. hospitalization; HFrEF, heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; HFpEF, heart failure with preserved ejection fraction; HR, hazard ratio; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; MI, myocardial infarction; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide; NYHA, New York Heart Association; SBP, systolic blood pressure.