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. 2023 Aug 1;13:1132816. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1132816

Table 2.

Decomposition analysis of breast cancer incidence trend 1990–2019, by sex, in the North Africa and Middle East region and countries.

Location Sex Number of incidences Expected number of incidences in 2019 Causes of incidences change trend 1990-2019 Overall change 1990-2019
1990 2019 Population growth Population growth and aging Population growth Population aging Incidence rate change
North Africa and Middle East Female 19,610 94,746 34,085 50,135 73.8% 81.8% 227.5% 383.2%
Male 517 1,444 926 1,349 78.9% 81.9% 18.3% 179.1%
Afghanistan Female 644 1,951 2,079 1,541 223.0% −83.5% 63.7% 203.2%
Male 28 37 97 49 247.7% −171.1% −44.8% 31.8%
Algeria Female 1,526 6,621 2,521 4,318 65.2% 117.8% 150.9% 334.0%
Male 195 430 324 597 65.8% 140.2% −85.6% 120.4%
Bahrain Female 47 346 120 247 155.2% 271.9% 210.6% 637.7%
Male 0 3 1 1 204.8% 303.1% 623.1% 1,131.0%
Egypt Female 2,509 10,600 4,403 5,251 75.5% 33.8% 213.1% 322.4%
Male 10 37 18 23 80.2% 49.9% 142.1% 272.2%
Iran (Islamic Republic of) Female 2,835 14,743 4,110 8,050 44.9% 139.0% 236.0% 420.0%
Male 36 120 51 93 43.1% 117.3% 73.8% 234.2%
Iraq Female 1,337 7,819 3,189 4,363 138.4% 87.8% 258.4% 484.6%
Male 13 83 32 40 140.3% 60.7% 317.8% 518.8%
Jordan Female 301 2,053 909 1,444 201.6% 177.5% 202.3% 581.4%
Male 4 22 14 22 214.6% 204.5% −12.0% 407.2%
Kuwait Female 145 716 397 752 173.6% 244.7% −24.9% 393.4%
Male 2 8 4 7 135.2% 166.3% 19.5% 321.0%
Lebanon Female 613 3,519 995 1,395 62.2% 65.3% 346.6% 474.2%
Male 10 34 16 23 54.0% 72.6% 108.8% 235.4%
Libya Female 209 1,347 337 681 61.1% 164.2% 317.8% 543.2%
Male 7 19 10 17 57.0% 107.6% 20.7% 185.3%
Morocco Female 2,348 9,755 3,307 5,239 40.9% 82.3% 192.3% 315.5%
Male 44 137 63 101 43.4% 85.8% 82.0% 211.2%
Oman Female 68 427 136 195 101.3% 86.1% 343.3% 530.6%
Male 7 21 19 22 160.6% 41.7% −12.9% 189.4%
Palestine Female 176 840 417 509 136.7% 52.1% 187.5% 376.3%
Male 1 5 3 4 142.1% 49.8% 157.0% 348.8%
Qatar Female 30 382 147 226 392.2% 265.6% 525.6% 1,183.4%
Male 1 6 5 7 618.7% 310.0% −108.5% 820.2%
Saudi Arabia Female 464 5,330 976 1,772 110.2% 171.5% 766.4% 1,048.2%
Male 11 41 26 35 132.5% 87.0% 47.4% 267.0%
Sudan Female 730 2,846 1,469 1,616 101.3% 20.3% 168.5% 290.1%
Male 27 56 54 57 102.8% 9.1% −1.6% 110.2%
Syrian Arab Republic Female 422 1,873 498 980 18.0% 114.1% 211.5% 343.6%
Male 3 9 3 5 7.0% 102.8% 128.1% 237.9%
Tunisia Female 680 3,129 950 1,694 39.6% 109.4% 210.9% 359.9%
Male 15 43 20 35 34.7% 103.7% 59.6% 198.0%
Turkey Female 4,047 17,130 5,529 9,266 36.6% 92.3% 194.3% 323.3%
Male 86 250 117 209 35.6% 106.9% 48.3% 190.8%
United Arab Emirates Female 86 1,220 331 773 282.9% 510.9% 517.1% 1,310.9%
Male 4 51 23 45 454.1% 516.3% 153.8% 1,124.1%
Yemen Female 378 2,001 875 1,094 131.2% 57.9% 239.8% 429.0%
Male 13 31 30 37 127.7% 53.1% −47.3% 133.6%