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. 2023 Jul 26;620(7974):600–606. doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-06350-8

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Extended Data Fig. 10 — a, Radiocarbon dates available for Gurgy, calibrated with Intcal20.14c. b, Bayesian modelling with ChronoModel 2.0.18. Model with constrained relationships inferred from the pedigrees (Supplementary Note 13, Supplementary Table 25). F = Pedigree and G = Generation. c, Model with constrained relationships inferred from archaeology (Supplementary Note 13, Supplementary Table 25). d, Modelled intervals for each run set at 30, 60, 80 and 120 years for Pedigrees A and B, and for the whole group (111,000 iterations for 3 independent chains per run, Supplementary Note 13, Supplementary Table 25).