Table 2.

Model predictive performance based on unseen data from February 2017 to January 2020 averaged over 45 urban villages.

Model	Description	MAE
BYM + pop + DLNM dengue 1–7	Adjacency matrix based on geographical location of urban villages in combination with distributed lag non-linear models for dengue cases in the past, including lags for 1–7 months. The model also included population size.	0.676
MOB + pop + DLNM dengue 1–7	Adjacency matrix based on the human mobility patterns proxied from the geolocated location of Twitter users in combination with distributed lag non-linear models for dengue cases in the past, including lags for 1–7 months. The model also included population size.	0.522