Table 4.

Age-standardized incidence rates and prediction of age-standardized incidence rates from HIV in 2025 and 2030 per 100000 in MENA countries.

Country	Age-standardized incidence rates (GBD database)											Incidence rates (UNAIDS database)
	Available				Prediction		Growth rate (%)					Available				Prediction		Growth rate (%)
	1990	2000	2010	2019	2025	2030	1990–2019	1990–2025	1990–2030	2019–2025	2019–2030	1990	2000	2010	2019	2025	2030	1990–2019	1990–2025	1990–2030	2019–2025	2019–2030
Algeria	0.53	1.37	2.19	1.61	1.56	1.52	207	197	189	−3	−6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Bahrain	2.31	1.38	0.98	0.88	0.85	0.83	−62	−63	−64	−3	−5	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Djibouti	12.65	280.46	119.55	69.86	48.99	36.44	452	287	188	−30	−48	23.8	274.42	44.36	13.79	6.43	3.40	−42	−73	−86	−53	−75
Egypt	0.27	0.19	0.29	0.53	0.68	0.83	99	154	211	28	56	0.06	0.31	1.2	3.04	4.18	5.47	4960	6873	9009	38	80
Iran	0.29	1.17	1.96	3.91	4.46	4.97	1264	1455	1635	14	27	0.33	7.61	6.73	2.9	1.99	1.45	788	510	346	−31	−50
Iraq	0.13	0.37	0.45	0.57	0.59	0.61	337	352	365	3	6	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Jordan	0.2	0.48	0.57	0.46	0.52	0.57	136	165	192	12	24	0.29	0.47	0.65	0.8	0.92	1.02	175	214	250	14	28
Kuwait	0.45	0.43	0.26	0.28	0.30	0.32	−37	−34	−30	6	12	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Lebanon	2.98	2.05	1.66	2.38	3.06	3.78	−20	3	27	29	59	1.66	2.21	2.98	2.83	2.16	1.73	70	30	4	−24	−39
Libya	0.62	1.67	1.63	2.4	2.74	3.05	286	339	389	14	27	0.4	5.1	5.55	4.97	6.44	7.99	1145	1514	1903	30	61
Morocco	1.66	4.8	3.48	2.58	2.57	2.56	55	54	54	0	0	2.69	5.26	4.74	2.17	1.23	0.76	−19	−54	−72	−44	−65
Oman	1.09	6.29	3.93	4.42	5.39	6.37	306	395	484	22	44	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Palestine	0.18	0.36	0.36	0.42	0.48	0.53	141	173	204	14	26	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Qatar	1.05	0.59	0.2	0.2	0.20	0.20	−81	−81	−81	0	0	1.91	1.72	2.38	5.61	14.60	32.41	194	666	1601	160	478
Saudi Arabia	1.55	3.2	2.45	2.46	2.25	2.09	58	45	35	−8	−15	0.63	1.69	2.35	4.62	7.43	11.04	637	1086	1661	61	139
Somalia	16.07	78.25	29.42	15.95	10.45	7.35	−1	−35	−54	−34	−54	6.23	21.01	5.97	1.88	1.43	1.13	−70	−77	−82	−24	−40
Sudan	13.84	30.01	29.55	36.46	42.02	47.31	163	204	242	15	30	2.83	17.7	10.75	9.1	7.82	6.90	222	176	144	−14	−24
Syria	0.13	0.17	0.24	0.21	0.18	0.15	58	32	14	−16	−28	0.07	0.17	0.37	0.32	0.13	0.06	345	81	−15	−59	−81
Tunisia	0.45	1.38	2.2	2.6	2.66	2.72	476	490	502	2	4	0.45	1.89	2.32	3.28	4.01	4.74	627	789	951	22	45
UAE	0.51	1.45	6.47	3.76	0.91	0.28	634	77	−46	−76	− 93	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Yemen	1.54	1.84	1.91	2.94	3.06	3.16	91	99	105	4	7	1.28	1.92	2.75	3.5	4.01	4.48	173	213	250	14	28
Total	58.50	417.91	209.74	154.90	124.96	104.48	165	114	79	−19	−33	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

UAE United Arab Emirates.