Table 5.
Age-standardized mortality rates and prediction of age-standardized mortality rates from HIV in 2025 and 2030 per 100000 in MENA countries.
| Country | Age-standardized mortality rates (GBD database) | Mortality rates (UNAIDS database) | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Available | Prediction | Growth rate (%) | Available | Prediction | Growth rate (%) | |||||||||||||||||
| 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2019 | 2025 | 2030 | 1990–2019 | 1990–2025 | 1990–2030 | 2019–2025 | 2019–2030 | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2019 | 2025 | 2030 | 1990–2019 | 1990–2025 | 1990–2030 | 2019–2025 | 2019–2030 | |
| Algeria | 0.21 | 0.44 | 0.95 | 0.62 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 201 | 83 | 21 | −39 | −60 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bahrain | 0.77 | 1.56 | 0.9 | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.06 | −50 | −82 | −92 | −64 | −85 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Djibouti | 0.17 | 94.32 | 133.57 | 81.48 | 58.40 | 44.24 | 48364 | 34633 | 26214 | −28 | −46 | 1.08 | 77.9 | 102.79 | 35.9 | 14.56 | 6.86 | 3229 | 1250 | 536 | −59 | −81 |
| Egypt | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.01 | −48 | −78 | −89 | −57 | −78 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 6094 | 6778 | 7405 | 11 | 21 |
| Iran | 0.09 | 0.27 | 0.72 | 1.26 | 1.71 | 2.19 | 1302 | 1795 | 2335 | 35 | 74 | 0.06 | 0.59 | 5.25 | 4.43 | 2.91 | 2.05 | 7386 | 4821 | 3369 | −34 | −54 |
| Iraq | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.2 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 400 | 325 | 271 | –15 | –26 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Jordan | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 332 | 254 | 200 | –18 | –31 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 142 | 117 | 98 | –10 | –18 |
| Kuwait | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.1 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 | –58 | –65 | –70 | –17 | –29 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Lebanon | 1.58 | 2.15 | 1.43 | 1.15 | 0.99 | 0.87 | –27 | –38 | –45 | –14 | –24 | 0.27 | 1.11 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 213 | 227 | 240 | 5 | 9 |
| Libya | 0.21 | 0.6 | 1.08 | 1.15 | 1.28 | 1.40 | 446 | 507 | 563 | 11 | 21 | 0.04 | 0.51 | 1.3 | 1.28 | 1.01 | 0.83 | 3184 | 2499 | 2039 | –21 | –35 |
| Morocco | 0.43 | 1.85 | 2.69 | 1.36 | 0.74 | 0.45 | 218 | 73 | 5 | –45 | –67 | 0.48 | 2.08 | 2.6 | 1.26 | 0.74 | 0.47 | 161 | 54 | –1 | –41 | –62 |
| Oman | 0.26 | 1.33 | 2.96 | 2.24 | 1.85 | 1.58 | 748 | 602 | 500 | –17 | –29 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Palestine | 0.05 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 522 | 528 | 533 | 1 | 2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Qatar | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.24 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 0.08 | –66 | –76 | –82 | –29 | –47 | 1.07 | 1.16 | 1.61 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 0.06 | –65 | –88 | –95 | –64 | –85 |
| Saudi Arabia | 0.52 | 1.3 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.53 | 1.41 | 224 | 195 | 172 | –9 | –16 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 1.27 | 524 | 1033 | 1763 | 82 | 199 |
| Somalia | 0.35 | 35.01 | 39.34 | 22.01 | 15.39 | 11.42 | 6270 | 4354 | 3205 | –30 | –48 | 0.72 | 5.9 | 8.18 | 3.12 | 1.43 | 0.75 | 335 | 99 | 4 | –54 | –76 |
| Sudan | 1.12 | 11.23 | 15.93 | 16.08 | 16.44 | 16.75 | 1330 | 1362 | 1389 | 2 | 4 | 0.19 | 4.68 | 7.04 | 5.48 | 3.07 | 1.89 | 2716 | 1475 | 871 | –44 | –66 |
| Syria | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 59 | 105 | 152 | 29 | 58 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 523 | 287 | 160 | –38 | –58 |
| Tunisia | 0.13 | 0.45 | 0.99 | 1.16 | 0.92 | 0.77 | 796 | 615 | 493 | –20 | –34 | 0.08 | 0.42 | 0.9 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1404 | 1361 | 1327 | –3 | –5 |
| UAE | 0.16 | 0.49 | 1.35 | 4.32 | 2.75 | 1.89 | 2597 | 1616 | 1077 | –36 | –56 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Yemen | 0.67 | 1.18 | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.41 | 1.57 | 85 | 110 | 134 | 14 | 27 | 0.43 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 1.03 | 1.20 | 1.36 | 138 | 177 | 213 | 16 | 31 |
| Total | 7.54 | 153.47 | 206.35 | 137.22 | 102.51 | 80.40 | 1719 | 1259 | 966 | –25 | –41 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
UAE United Arab Emirates.