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. 2023 Aug 3;20(8):e1004266. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004266

Cervical cerclage for prevention of preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcome in twin pregnancies with short cervical length or cervical dilatation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Francesco D’Antonio 1, Nashwa Eltaweel 2, Smriti Prasad 3, Maria Elena Flacco 4, Lamberto Manzoli 5, Asma Khalil 3,6,7,8,*
PMCID: PMC10456178  PMID: 37535682

Abstract

Background

The optimal approach to prevent preterm birth (PTB) in twins has not been fully established yet. Recent evidence suggests that placement of cervical cerclage in twin pregnancies with short cervical length at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination might be associated with a reduced risk of PTB. However, such evidence is based mainly on small studies thus questioning the robustness of these findings. The aim of this systematic review was to determine the role of cervical cerclage in preventing PTB and adverse maternal or perinatal outcomes in twin pregnancies.

Methods and findings

Key databases searched and date of last search: MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL were searched electronically on 20 April 2023.

Eligibility criteria: Inclusion criteria were observational studies assessing the risk of PTB among twin pregnancies undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage and randomized trials in which twin pregnancies were allocated to cerclage for the prevention of PTB or to a control group (e.g., placebo or treatment as usual). The primary outcome was PTB <34 weeks of gestation. The secondary outcomes were PTB <37, 32, 28, 24 weeks of gestation, gestational age at birth, the interval between diagnosis and birth, preterm prelabor rupture of the membranes (pPROM), chorioamnionitis, perinatal loss, and perinatal morbidity. Subgroup analyses according to the indication for cerclage (short cervical length or cervical dilatation) were also performed.

Risk of bias assessment: The risk of bias of the included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was assessed using the Revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomized trials, while that of the observational studies using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale (NOS).

Statistical analysis: Summary risk ratios (RRs) of the likelihood of detecting each categorical outcome in exposed versus unexposed women, and (b) summary mean differences (MDs) between exposed and unexposed women (for each continuous outcome), with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed using head-to-head meta-analyses.

Synthesis of the results: Eighteen studies (1,465 twin pregnancies) were included. Placement of cervical cerclage in women with a twin pregnancy with a short cervix at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination was associated with a reduced risk of PTB <34 weeks of gestation (RR: 0.73, 95% CI [0.59, 0.91], p = 0.005 corresponding to a 16% difference in the absolute risk, AR), <32 (RR: 0.69, 95% CI [0.57, 0.84], p < 0.001; AR: 16.92%), <28 (RR: 0.54, 95% [CI 0.43, 0.67], 0.001; AR: 18.29%), and <24 (RR: 0.48, 95% CI [0.23, 0.97], p = 0.04; AR: 15.57%) weeks of gestation and a prolonged gestational age at birth (MD: 2.32 weeks, 95% [CI 0.99, 3.66], p < 0.001). Cerclage in twin pregnancy with short cervical length or cervical dilatation was also associated with a reduced risk of perinatal loss (RR: 0.38, 95% CI [0.25, 0.60], p < 0.001; AR: 19.62%) and composite adverse outcome (RR: 0.69, 95% CI [0.53, 0.90], p = 0.007; AR: 11.75%). Cervical cerclage was associated with a reduced risk of PTB <34 weeks both in women with cervical length <15 mm (RR: 0.74, 95% CI [0.58, 0.95], p = 0.02; AR: 29.17%) and in those with cervical dilatation (RR: 0.68, 95% CI [0.57, 0.80], p < 0.001; AR: 35.02%). The association between cerclage and prevention of PTB and adverse perinatal outcomes was exclusively due to the inclusion of observational studies. The quality of retrieved evidence at GRADE assessment was low.

Conclusions

Emergency cerclage for cervical dilation or short cervical length <15 mm may be potentially associated with a reduction in PTB and improved perinatal outcomes. However, these findings are mainly based upon observational studies and require confirmation in large and adequately powered RCTs.


In a systematic review and meta-analysis, Francesco D’Antonio and colleagues investigate the impact of cervical cerclage on preterm birth in women with twin pregnancy.

Author summary

Why was this study done?

  • Twin pregnancies are at high risk of preterm birth (PTB).

  • Recent evidence suggests that placement of cervical cerclage in twin pregnancies with short cervical length at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination might be associated with a reduced risk of PTB.

  • However, such evidence is based mainly on small studies thus questioning the robustness of these findings.

What did the researchers do and find?

  • We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to elucidate whether cervical cerclage in women with twin pregnancy with short cervical length or cervical dilatation may prevent PTB.

  • We included 18 studies. The primary outcome was PTB <34 weeks of gestation.

  • We found that cervical cerclage in women with short cervical length or cervical dilatation was associated with a reduced risk of PTB <34 weeks, gestational age at birth, and adverse neonatal outcome.

  • The strength of association between cerclage and reduced risk of PTB was maintained when considering women with short cervix on ultrasound and those with cervical dilatation at physical examination separately.

What do these findings mean?

  • Cervical cerclage in twin pregnancies with short cervical length or cervical dilatation may be potentially associated with a reduced risk of PTB and improved neonatal outcomes.

  • However, these findings are mainly based on observational studies and, to improve robustness of evidence, confirmation of these outcomes in large and appropriately designed randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is required.

Introduction

Twin pregnancies are at increased risk of perinatal morbidity and mortality compared to singletons, primarily due to preterm birth (PTB), fetal anomalies, and complications unique to monochorionic (MC) placenta, such as twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome (TTTS) and selective fetal growth restriction (sFGR) [18]. The incidence of PTB in twin pregnancy has been reported to be approximately 20% in recent series and this risk differs according to the chorionicity and amnionicity. Around 60% of twin pregnancies deliver prior to 37 weeks and 12% before 34 weeks of gestation, with rates 5 and 8 times higher than the equivalent rates for a singleton pregnancy, respectively [9].

In singleton pregnancies with recognized risk factors for PTB, vaginal progesterone is the primary intervention with consistently demonstrated effectiveness in preventing PTB, followed by cervical cerclage [10]. However, observational studies and systematic reviews have reported a beneficial role of cervical cerclage in pregnancies with an extremely short cervix, defined as a cervical length of less than 10 mm on ultrasound scan [11].

Conversely, there is less evidence on the optimal strategy for preventing PTB in twin pregnancies. Several randomized trials and systematic reviews reported little or no benefit of vaginal progesterone, cerclage, or pessary in twin pregnancies [1214]. However, these studies were limited by small sample size and large heterogeneity in their inclusion criteria, study populations, and outcomes observed. These limitations did not allow the authors to reach evidence-based conclusions on the role of these interventions in reducing the risk of PTB in twin pregnancies. More importantly, in the last few years, an increasing number of studies reporting a potential beneficial role of cerclage in reducing the risk of PTB and adverse outcomes in twin pregnancies have been published [1520]. These studies have challenged the prevailing view around the lack of effectiveness of cerclage in twin pregnancies.

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the published literature to determine the role of cervical cerclage in preventing PTB and adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes in twin pregnancies.

Methods

Data sources

This review was performed according to an a priori designed protocol recommended for systematic reviews and meta-analysis [2124]. MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL were searched electronically since inception on 6 July 2022 and updated on 20 April 2023 utilizing combinations of the relevant medical subject heading (MeSH) terms, keywords, and word variants for “twin pregnancies,” “multiple pregnancies,” “cerclage,” and “preterm birth.” The search and selection criteria with no language restriction. The search strategy is outlined in S1 Table. The reference lists of relevant articles and reviews were hand-searched for additional reports. The study was registered with the PROSPERO database (Registration number: CRD42022351058). This study is reported as per the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines (S2 Table) [25].

Eligibility criteria, main outcomes measures

Inclusion criteria were observational studies assessing the risk of PTB among twin pregnancies undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage and randomized trials in which twin pregnancies were allocated to cerclage for the prevention of PTB or to a control group (e.g., placebo or treatment as usual).

The primary outcome was PTB <34 weeks of gestation.

The secondary outcomes were:

  • PTB <37 weeks

  • PTB <32 weeks

  • PTB <28 weeks

  • PTB <24 weeks

  • Gestational age at birth [weeks]

  • Interval between diagnosis and birth [weeks]

  • Preterm prelabor rupture of the membranes (pPROM), defined as the rupture of the membranes before labor and before 37 weeks of gestation

  • Chorioamnionitis

  • Perinatal loss, including miscarriage, intra-uterine, and neonatal death

  • Apgar score <7 at 5 min

  • Birthweight <2,500 grams

  • Birthweight <1,500 grams

  • Birthweight expressed as a continuous variable

  • Respiratory distress syndrome (RDS)

  • Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), grades III and IV

  • Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC)

  • Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP)

  • Neonatal sepsis

  • Admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU)

  • Length of stay in NICU (days).

Both primary and secondary outcomes were explored first in women with either cervical dilatation at a physical examination or short cervix (<25 mm) at ultrasound and in those with short cervical length at ultrasound and cervical dilatation separately. Furthermore, we planned to perform subgroup analyses according to different cut-offs of cervical length at ultrasound (<25 mm, <15 mm, and <10 mm) and cervical dilatation at physical examination (<2 cm versus >2 cm), according to chorionicity and type of cerclage (McDonald versus Shirodkar). In the McDonald technique, a suture is placed around the cervix in purse-string fashion and securely tied anteriorly. Conversely, the Shirodkar technique requires a transverse incision in the vaginal mucosa of the anterior and posterior cervix to avoid injury of the bladder and rectum, respectively. The lateral angles of the anterior and posterior incisions are then expanded with blunt fingertip dissection of the lateral cervix and a woven thread is then passed through the submucosal tunnel from anterior to posterior on both sides of the cervix. After the suture is placed on both sides of the cervix, the knot is tied in the posterior defect.

Data collection and analysis

Two reviewers (FDA, NA) independently extracted data. Inconsistencies were discussed among the reviewers and consensus reached. For those articles in which data on short cervical length was not reported separately for subgroups of women (<15 mm and 15 to 25 mm), but the methodology was such that the information might have been recorded initially, the authors were contacted, and the data requested.

The risk of bias of the included randomized controlled trial (RCTs) was assessed using the Revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomized trials (RoB 2) [26]. According to this tool, the risk of bias in each included study is judged according to 5 domains: bias arising from the randomization process, bias due to deviations from intended interventions, bias due to missing outcome data, bias in the measurement of the outcome, and bias in the selection of the reported result. Although the RoB2 tool does not provide an overall risk of bias assessment, the overall risk of bias was considered low if 4 or more domains were rated as low risk (not counting “other biases”), with at least one being sequence generation or allocation concealment, according to what was reported in previous systematic reviews of intervention.

The risk of bias in the observational studies was performed using the Newcastle–Ottawa scale (NOS) for cohort studies [27]. According to NOS, each study is judged on 3 broad perspectives: selection of the study groups, comparability of the groups, and ascertainment of the outcome of interest. Assessment of the selection of a study includes the evaluation of the representativeness of the exposed cohort, selection of the nonexposed cohort, ascertainment of exposure, and the demonstration that the outcome of interest was not present at the start of the study. Assessment of the comparability of the study includes the evaluation of the comparability of cohorts based on the design or analysis. Finally, ascertainment of the outcome of interest includes the evaluation of the type of assessment of the outcome of interest, and length and adequacy of follow-up. According to NOS, a study can be awarded a maximum of 1 star for each numbered item within the selection and outcome categories. A maximum of 2 stars can be given for comparability [27]. The conclusions of the meta-analysis on the primary outcome were assessed using the GRADE approach by the first author, who was familiar with GRADE (GRADEpro, Version 20, 2014, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada) [28]. A second author verified the ratings; any disagreements were reconciled after discussion. The pooled analysis of the primary outcome was assessed in relation to the quality of the evidence scored in the 5 domains specified within GRADE: limitations in study design and/or execution (risk of bias), inconsistency of results, indirectness of evidence, imprecision of results, and publication bias [28].

Statistical analysis

We examined a total of 17 maternal and perinatal outcomes, either categorical or continuous, in a sample of women with twin pregnancies at risk of PTB undergoing cerclage (exposed women) versus no cerclage (unexposed women). All analyses were performed 3 times: (a) including women undergoing cerclage for either cervical dilatation or short cervical length at ultrasound; (b) including only women with short cervical length at ultrasound; and (c) including only women undergoing cerclage for dilated cervix.

First, we performed head-to-head meta-analyses and computed (a) summary risk ratios (RR) of the likelihood of detecting each categorical outcome in exposed versus unexposed women; and (b) summary mean differences (MDs) between exposed and unexposed women (for each continuous outcome), with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The relative intra-study heterogeneity was quantified using the I2 metric, and its 95% CIs were computed using the heterogi command in Stata. For categorical outcomes, data were combined using a random-effect generic inverse variance approach that enables the inclusion of diverse estimates of relative risk (i.e., OR and HR) into the same meta-analysis. From each paper, we extracted the adjusted estimates of each outcome, or, when these were not available, the unadjusted estimates. If a paper reported the results of different multivariate models, the most stringently controlled estimates (those from the model adjusting for more factors) were extracted. If different models controlled for the same number of covariates, the model containing the most relevant covariates was used for the analysis. In case different measures of risk were to be included in the same pooled analysis (e.g., OR and RR), the OR was converted into RR [29,30]. Furthermore, we stratified all analyses according to the study design (randomized controlled trial or observational).

Finally, in order to provide some estimates of the crude rates of each categorical outcome, we also performed meta-analysis of proportions, combining the data of women undergoing and not undergoing cerclage separately [29,30]. To account for between-study heterogeneity, the analyses were performed using a random-effect model.

Potential small study effect was assessed graphically, using funnel plots (displaying the ORs from individual comparisons versus their precision [1/SE]), and formally, using Egger’s regression asymmetry test [31]. All analyses were carried out using RevMan 5.4 (The Cochrane Collaboration, 2020) [32] and Stata, version 13.1 (Stata Corp., College Station, TX, 2013).

Results

Study selection and characteristics

A total of 1,070 studies were identified, 60 were assessed with respect to their eligibility for inclusion, and 18 included in the systematic review (Table 1, Fig 1) [15,17,20,3347]. A list of the excluded studies and reasons for their exclusion is provided in S3 Table. These 18 studies included (after removing studies that included overlapping cases) 1,465 twin pregnancies with either short cervical length on ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination. Four studies were randomized and 15 studies were observational.

Table 1. General characteristics of the studies included in the systematic review.

Author Year Country Study design Period considered Inclusion criteria Type of cerclage Gestational age at cerclage placement (weeks) Adjusted analysis* Primary outcome Twin pregnancies (n)
Qiu [33] 2023 China Observational 2015–2021 Twin pregnancies with cervical dilatation (1 cm) at 18–26 weeks McDonald 22, 8Ξ Yesa Gestational age at birth 99
Qiu [34] 2022 China Observational 2015–2021 Twin pregnancies with short CL ≤25 mm at 18–26 weeks McDonald 22, 9 ± 1.7§ Yesa Gestational age at birth 90
Yao [20] 2022 China Observational 2014–2020 Twin pregnancies with short CL ≤25 mm at 16–28 weeks McDonald 16–28ç Yesb PTB <34 weeks 320
Zeng [35] 2022 China Observational 2015–2020 Twin pregnancies with cervical dilatation and prolapsed membranes McDonald 16+0–26+6ç No PTB <28 weeks 97
Pan [36] 2020 China Observational 2015–2019 Twin pregnancies with asymptomatic cervical shortening or dilation at ultrasound and/or physical examination in mid-gestation McDonald 23.7
(14.14–25.86)Ψ
Yesc Gestational age at birth 62
Wu [17] 2020 Taiwan Observational 2000–2017 DCDA twin pregnancies with a short cervical length (25 mm] McDonald NR1 No Gestational age at birth 46
Roman [15] 2020 US RCT 2015–2019 asymptomatic cervical dilation from 1–5 cm between 16 0/7 to 23 6/7 weeks McDonald 20, 7 ± 1, 7§ Yesb PTB <34 weeks 30
Han [37] 2020 US Observational 2003–2016 Twin pregnancies with history of prior preterm birth, ultrasound-identified short cervix ≤2.5 cm, and cervical dilation ≥1.0 cm at 14–26 weeks Shirodkar 20 (12–27)Ψ Yesd PTB <32 weeks 135
Qureshey [38] 2022 US Observational 2006–2016 Twin pregnancies with short CL ≤25 mm at 15–24 McDonald 15–24ç Yesb Gestational age at birth 64
Abbasi [33] 2018 Canada Observational 2003–2014 Dilated cervix and intact membranes before 25–week gestation McDonald 21.5 ± 2.6§ No PTB <34 weeks 36
Adams [40] 2018 US Observational 2008–2014 Twin gestations identified with cervical length of ≤2.5 cm before 24 weeks gestation McDonald 20.8 ± 1.9§ Yese PTB <35 weeks 82
Houlihan [41] 2016 UK Observational 2006–2014 DC twin pregnancies with an ultrasound-determined cervical length of 1–24 mm at 16–24 weeks McDonald NR1 Yesf PTB <32 weeks 80
Roman [42] 2016 US Observational 1997–2014 Twin pregnancies identified with cervical dilation of >1 cm at 16–24 weeks McDonald 20, 7 ± 1, 6§ Yesg PTB <34 weeks 76
Roman [43] 2015 US Observational 1995–2012 Asymptomatic twin pregnancies with TVU CL 25 mm at 16–24 weeks Shirodkar or McDonald NR1 Yesh PTB <34 weeks 140
Roman [44] 2005 US Observational 1996–2002 ALl twin pregnancies with CL ≤25 mm before 24 weeks Shirodkar 20.8 (15.7–23.6)Ψ No PTB <32 weeks 31
Newman [45] 2002 US Observational 1994–2001 Twin pregnancies with short CL ≤25 mm at 18–26 McDonald 18–26ç No PTB 33
Althuisius [46] 2001 The Netherland-Australia RCT 1995–2000 Twin pregnancies with short CL (≤25 mm) McDonald Before 27 weeks No PTB <34 weeks 17
Rust [47] 2000 US RCT 1998–1999 Twin pregnancies with short CL (≤25 mm) McDonald 16–24ç No Gestational age at birth 27

1Detailed inclusion criteria not specified.

*Adjusted analyses referred to whether the computation of the risk analyses for the outcomes observed in the present systematic review were adjusted for any factor potentially associated with PTB.

aAnalysis adjusted for maternal age, pregestational BMI, IVF, operative hysteroscopy, previous cervical surgery, previous spontaneous preterm birth, white blood count, C-reactive protein, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and the shortest cervical length at ultrasound.

bNot specified on which confounders the analyses were adjusted.

cAnalyses adjusted for indomethacin, vaginal progesterone, antibiotics and basic demographic characteristics.

dAnalyses adjusted for cerclage indication, clinical history, age, chorionicity, insurance type, race, BMI, IVF, and multifetal reduction.

eAnalyses adjusted for age, BMI, race, vaginal progesterone use, and gestational age at shortest documented cervical length.

fAnalyses adjusted for maternal age, BMI, racial origin, cigarette smoking, IVF, parity, and prior preterm delivery.

gAnalyses adjusted for amniocentesis and vaginal progesterone administration.

hAnalyses adjusted for gestational age at presentation and short cervical length.

§Standard deviation.

ΨMedian and interquartile.

çRange.

ΞMean.

BMI, body mass index; CL, cervical length; DC, dichorionic; DCDA, dichorionic diamniotic; IVF, in vitro fertilization; NR, not reported; PTB, preterm birth; RCT, randomized controlled trial; TVU, transvaginal ultrasound.

Fig 1. Systematic review flowchart.

Fig 1

The results of the quality assessment of the included studies using RoB2 tool are presented in Table 2. The study by Roman and colleagues was at low risk of bias, while those by Rust and colleagues and Althuisius and colleagues were at high risk of bias (Table 2).

Table 2. Risk of bias assessed using the Revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomized trials “RoB 2”.

Study ID Randomization process Deviations from intended interventions Missing outcome data Measurement of the outcome Selection of the reported result Overall bias
Roman and colleagues (2020) Low risk Low risk Low risk Low risk Low risk Low risk
Althuisius and colleagues (2001) Low risk High risk Low risk High risk High risk High risk
Rust and colleagues (2000) Low risk High risk Low risk High risk High risk High risk

According to this tool, the risk of bias of each included study is judged according to 5 domains: bias arising from the randomization process, bias due to deviations from intended interventions, bias due to missing outcome data, bias in the measurement of the outcome, and bias in selection of the reported result. Although the RoB2 tool does not provide an overall risk of bias assessment, the overall risk of bias was considered low if 4 or more domains were rated as low risk “not counting ‘other biases,’” with at least 1 being sequence generation or allocation concealment, according to what is reported in previous systematic reviews of intervention.

The results of the quality assessment of the observational studies are reported in Table 3. Most of the studies were of good quality; the main limitations of the included studies were small sample size, observational design, lack of subgroup analyses according to indication for cerclage, and heterogeneity in the outcomes observed and prenatal management of twin pregnancies undergoing cervical cerclage.

Table 3. Quality assessment of the included studies according to the NOS for cohort studies; a study can be awarded a maximum of one star for each numbered item within the Selection and Outcome categories.

A maximum of 2 stars can be given for Comparability*.

Author Year Selection Comparability Outcome
Qiu 2023 ★★★ ★★ ★★
Qiu 2022 ★★
Yao 2022 ★★★ ★★ ★★
Zeng 2022 ★★ ★★ ★★
Pan 2020
Wu 2020 ★★★ ★★ ★★
Han 2020 ★★ ★★ ★★
Qureshey 2019 ★★ ★★ ★★
Abbasi 2018 ★★
Adams 2018 ★★ ★★
Houlihan 2016 ★★ ★★ ★★
Roman 2016 ★★ ★★ ★★
Roman 2015 ★★★ ★★ ★★
Roman 2005 ★★★ ★★ ★★
Newman 2002 ★★ ★★ ★★

*Higher number of stars indicated a better quality of the study.

NOS, Newcastle–Ottawa scale.

Table 4 reports the main maternal and pregnancy characteristics potentially affecting the risk of PTB in twin pregnancies. There was no significant difference in the mean cervical length at ultrasound [p = 0.08] or cervical dilatation at physical examination (p = 0.05) between women receiving compared to those not receiving cervical cerclage. Likewise, there was no difference in the mean maternal age (p = 0.2), BMI (p = 0.3), nulliparity (p = 0.6), prior PTB (n = 0.7), and pharmacological intervention for reducing the risk of PTB, including indomethacin (p = 0.11), antibiotics (p = 0.4), and tocolytic drugs (p = 0.2) between the 2 groups. Women receiving cerclage were more likely to carry dichorionic gestations (RR: 0.63, 95% CI [0.44, 0.90], p = 0.01; 70/691 versus 84/556) and were diagnosed with short cervical length or cervical dilatation at earlier gestational ages compared to those not receiving cerclage (MD: −0.83 weeks, 95% CI [−1.47, −0.19], p = 0.01) (Table 4).

Table 4. Results of the meta-analyses comparing the likelihood of several baseline characteristics [or the mean age] between women undergoing cerclage versus women not undergoing cerclage.

Baseline characteristics Number of studies n/N vs. n/N RR [95% CI] p Value I2 [95% CI], %
Monochorionic twins 11 70/691 vs. 84/556 0.63 [0.44, 0.90] 0.01 16 [0, 56]
Nulliparity 13 539/710 vs. 416/565 1.09 [0.82, 1.45] 0.6 31 [0, 64]
Prior preterm birth 13 61/566 vs. 61/471 0.94 [0.64, 1.38] 0.7 0 [0, 57]
In vitro fertilization 11 451/640 vs. 289/477 1.13 [0.95, 1.34] 0.2 65 [34, 82]
Progesterone use 7 242/445 vs. 173/306 1.00 [0.99, 1.01] 0.9 0 [0, 71]
Indomethacin use 5 148/183 vs. 96/174 1.65 [0.90, 3.02] 0.11 99 [99, 100]
Antibiotics use 8 245/370 vs. 220/322 0.96 [0.88, 1.06] 0.4 86 [74, 92]
Steroids use 6 191/267 vs. 104/169 1.05 [0.79, 1.41] 0.7 80 [58, 81]
Tocolysis 8 245/370 vs. 250/322 0.87 [0.71, 1.06] 0.2 98 [97, 98]
N/N MD [95% CI]
Gestational age at diagnosis [weeks] 15 774/627 −0.83 [−1.47, −0.19] 0.01 77 [62, 86]
Maternal age at baseline 13 753/604 2.70 [−1.41, 6.81] 0.2 98 [98, 99]
Maternal BMI at baseline 12 669/467 2.76 [−1.79, 7.31] 0.3 99 [98, 99]
Cervical length at baseline 12 620/519 −0.54 [−0.94, 0.14] 0.09 60 [24, 79]
Cervical dilatation at baseline 7 319/216 −0.58 [−1.16, 0.00] 0.05 91 [83, 95]

BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; MD, mean difference; RR, risk ratio.

Synthesis of the results

Women with short cervical length at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination

Placement of cervical cerclage in women with a twin pregnancy with a short cervix at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination was associated with a reduced risk of PTB <34 weeks of gestation (RR: 0.73, 95% CI [0.59, 0.91], p = 0.005, corresponding to a 16% difference in the absolute risk, AR) (Fig 2). The strength of such association was due to the reduced risk of PTB in women with cervical cerclage from the included observational studies (RR: 0.72, 95% CI [0.61, 0.86], p < 0.001), but not RCT (p = 0.9). Cervical cerclage was also associated with a reduced risk of PTB <32 (RR: 0.69, 95% CI [0.57, 0.84], p < 0.01, AR: 16.92%), <28 [RR: 0.54, 95% CI [0.43, 0.67], p < 0.01, AR: 18.29%) and <24 (RR: 0.48, 95% CI [0.23, 0.97], p = 0.04, AR: 15.57%) but not 37 weeks (p = 0.2) of gestation (Table 5). Likewise, cervical cerclage in twin pregnancies with either a short cervical length or cervical dilatation was associated with a prolonged gestational age at birth (MD: 2.32 weeks, 95% CI [0.99, 3.66, p < 0.001) and longer presentation to delivery interval (MD: 5.22 weeks, 95% CI [3.86, 6.59], p < 0.001) (Table 6).

Fig 2. Pooled ORs for the risk of PTB <34 weeks of gestation in women with twin pregnancies undergoing compared to those not undergoing cervical cerclage.

Fig 2

OR, odds ratio; PTB, preterm birth.

Table 5. Women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination: Results of the head-to-head meta-analyses comparing the risk of selected categorical outcomes in women with twin pregnancies undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage.
Outcomes [Ref.] Number of studies Total women
n/N vs. n/N
RR
[95% CI]
p Value I2 [95% CI], %
Primary outcome:
Preterm birth <34th week 10 258/524 vs. 268/411 0.73 [0.59, 0.91] 0.005 63 [28, 81]
- Randomized evidence 3 24/38 vs. 19/36 1.06 [0.07,17.3] 0.9 78 [29, 93]
- Observational evidence 7 234/486 vs. 249/375 0.72 [0.61, 0.86] <0.001 56 [0, 81]
Preterm birth <37th week 6 275/404 vs. 247/317 0.95 [0.87, 1.03] 0.2 3 [0, 75]
- Randomized evidence 2 19/21 vs. 17/23 3.25 [0.57,18.7] 0.2 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 4 256/383 vs. 230/394 0.94 [0.87,1.02] 0.2 1 [0, 85]
Preterm birth <32nd week 12 239/619 vs. 276/497 0.69 [0.57, 0.84] <0.001 64 [27, 83]
- Randomized evidence 3 19/38 vs. 16/36 1.28 [0.36, 4.54] 0.7 66 [0, 90]
- Observational evidence 9 220/581 vs. 260/461 0.68 [0.55, 0.82] <0.001 64 [26, 82]
Preterm birth <28th week 11 119/523 vs. 188/458 0.54 [0.43, 0.67] <0.001 29 [0, 65]
- Randomized evidence 3 12/38 vs. 12/36 1.35 [0.25, 7.14] 0.3 61 [0, 89]
- Observational evidence 8 107/485 vs. 176/422 0.52 [0.43, 0.64] <0.001 19 [0, 62]
Preterm birth <24th week 7 29/222 vs. 65/227 0.48 [0.23,0.97] 0.04 62 [14, 83]
- Randomized evidence 3 7/38 vs. 11/36 0.77 [0.17,3.54] 0.7 45 [0, 84]
- Observational evidence 4 22/184 vs. 54/191 0.42 [0.116,1.11] 0.08 75 [30, 91]
pPROM 8 105/404 vs. 126/324 0.75 [0.48, 1.16] 0.2 68 [32, 85]
- Randomized evidence 3 16/38 vs. 9/36 1.57 [0.81, 3.04] 0.2 0 [0, 90]
- Observational evidence 5 89/366 vs. 117/288 0.60 [0.39, 0.92] 0.02 66 [12, 87]
Chorioamnionitis 7 37/409 vs. 26/270 1.08 [0.54, 2.17] 0.8 50 [0, 79]
- Randomized evidence 3 12/38 vs. 13/36 1.03 [0.23, 4.65] 0.9 70 [0, 91]
- Observational evidence 4 25/371 vs. 13/234 1.24 [0.70, 2.21] 0.5 0 [0, 85]
Perinatal loss 9 131/980 vs. 223/676 * 0.38 [0.25, 0.60] <0.001 72 [44, 86]
- Randomized evidence 3 9/76 vs. 22/54 0.43 [0.04, 4.63] 0.5 79 [32, 93]
- Observational evidence 6 122/904 vs. 201/622 0.42 [0.28, 0.63] <0.001 71 [31, 87]
Composite adverse outcome 8 418/904 vs. 283/488 0.69 [0.53, 0.90] 0.007 83 [69, 91]
- Randomized evidence 1 14/30 vs. 3/6 0.93 [0.38, 2.27] 0.9 ,,
- Observational evidence 7 404/874 vs. 280/482 0.67 [0.50, 0.90] 0.007 86 [73,93]
5-min Apgar score <7 5 97/346 vs. 126/212 0.46 [0.29, 0.74] 0.001 75 [38,90]
- Randomized evidence 1 9/34 vs. 22/26 0.31 [0.17, 0.56] <0.001 --
- Observational evidence 4 88/312 vs. 104/186 0.50 [0.29, 0.89] 0.02 79 [42,92]
RDS 4 70/224 vs. 56/160 1.13 [0.49, 2.62] 0.8 80 [47,92]
- Randomized evidence 1 14/30 vs. 2/6 1.40 [0.42, 4.62] 0.6 --
- Observational evidence 3 56/194 vs. 54/154 1.09 [0.40, 2.97] 0.9 85 [54, 95]
Sepsis 3 14/138 vs. 20/84 0.45 [0.24, 0.84] 0.01 0 [0, 90]
- Randomized evidence 1 2/30 vs. 1/6 0.40 [0.04, 3.74] 0.4 --
- Observational evidence 2 12/108 vs. 19/78 0.46 [0.24, 0.87] 0.6 0 [––]
Grade 3–4 IVH 4 16/224 vs. 42/160 0.32 [0.11, 0.92] 0.03 56 [0,85]
- Randomized evidence 1 4/30 vs. 1/6 0.80 [0.11, 5.96] 0.8 --
- Observational evidence 3 12/194 vs. 41/154 0.26 [0.08, -0.90] 0.03 63 [0, 89]
ROP 4 14/224 vs. 17/160 0.54 [0.10, 2.98] 0.2 66 [0, 88]
- Randomized evidence 1 5/30 vs. 1/6 1.00 [0.10, 10.5] 0.99 --
- Observational evidence 3 9/194 vs. 16/154 0.46 [0.05, 4.31] 0.50 76 [20, 93]
Birthweight <1,500 g 5 228/638 vs. 264/454 0.49 [0.33, 0.73] <0.001 85 [66, 93]
- Randomized evidence 1 21/34 vs. 24/26 0.13 [0.03, 0.67] 0.01 --
- Observational evidence 4 207/604 vs. 240/428 0.53 [0.36, 0.78] 0.001 87 [69, 95]
NICU admission 7 452/822 vs. 306/464 0.75 [0.63, 0.90] <0.001 74 [46, 88]
- Randomized evidence 1 22/30 vs. 6/6 0.20 [0.01, 4.02] 0.3 --
- Observational evidence 6 430/792 vs. 300/458 0.76 [0.63, 0.91] 0.003 78 [51, 90]

*N. of fetuses.

RR, risk ratio; CI, confidence interval; n/N vs. n/N, number of women with the outcome/total number of women in the exposed [cerclage] and unexposed [no cerclage] group, respectively; PTB, preterm birth; pPROM, preterm premature rupture of membranes; RDS, respiratory distress syndrome; ROP, retinopathy of the prematurity; IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit.

Table 6. Results of the meta-analyses comparing selected continuous perinatal outcomes in women with twin pregnancies undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage.
Outcomes Number of studies
[total sample]
MD
[95% CI]
p Value I2 [95% CI], %
1. Cerclage for reduced cervical length on ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination
Gestational age at birth, (weeks) 17 [1,426] 2.32 [0.99, 3.66] <0.001 86 [78, 90]
- Randomized evidence 2 [48] −0.09 [−0.26, 2.07] 0.9 [––]
- Observational evidence 15 [1,378] 2.54 [1.13, 3.95] <0.001 87 [80, 91]
Presentation to delivery interval, (weeks) 11 [801] 5.22 [3.86, 6.59] <0.001 90 [84, 94]
- Randomized evidence 1 [30] 5.40 [2.20, 8.60] 0.001 --
- Observational evidence 10 [771] 5.21 [3.77, 6.65] <0.001 91 [86, 94]
Birthweight, grams 15 [1,483] 300 [167, 433] <0.001 90 [85, 93]
- Randomized evidence 1 [60] 268 [132, 403] <0.001 --
- Observational evidence 14 [1,423] 805 [467, 1143] <0.001 90 [84, 93]
NICU length of stay, [days] 6 [702] 22.4 [40.1,4.7] 0.01 93 [87 96]
- Randomized evidence 1 [56] −22.2 [−41.4, −3.0] 0.02 --
- Observational evidence 5 [646] −24.1 [−55.2, 7.0] 0.13 94 [89, 97]
2. Cerclage for cervical dilatation at physical examination:
Gestational age at birth, (weeks) 5 [345] 3.64 [1.85, 5.43] <0.001 68 [17, 88]
- Randomized evidence 1 [30] 0.0 [−8.54, 8.54] 0.99 --
- Observational evidence 4 [314] 3.79 [1.92, 5.65] <0.001 75 [30, 91]
Presentation to delivery interval, (weeks) 5 [334] 5.43 [3.28, 7.57] <0.001 95 [92, 97]
- Randomized evidence 1 [30] 5.40 [2.20, 8.60] 0.01 --
- Observational evidence 4 [304] 5.43; [3.04, 7.81] <0.001 97 [94, 98]
Birthweight, grams 5 [375] 500 [297, 703] <0.001 79 [51, 91]
- Randomized evidence 1 [60] 805 [468, 1143] <0.001 --
- Observational evidence 4 [315] 442 [230, 654] <0.001 80 [46, 92]
NICU length of stay, (days) 3 [203] 36.7 [56.4,17.0] <0.001 64 [0, 90]
- Randomized evidence 1 [56] −24.1 [−55.2, 7.0] <0.001 --
- Observational evidence 2 [147] −40.8 [−67.2, −14.4] <0.001 79 [––]
3. Cerclage for reduced cervical length on ultrasound [<25mm]:
Gestational age at birth, (weeks) 10 [989] 1.02 [0.43, 2.46] 0.2 79 [62, 88]
- Randomized evidence 1 [17] −0.10 [−2.34, 2.14] 0.2 --
- Observational evidence 9 [972] 1.16 [−0.44, 2.76] 0.9 81 [65, 90]
Presentation to delivery interval, (weeks)
- Observational evidence only 5 [346] 5.20 [2.29, 8.11] <0.001 88 [74, 94]
Birthweight, grams
- Observational evidence only 8 [911] 183 [−9.9, 376] 0.06 836 [68, 91]
4. Cerclage for reduced cervical length on ultrasound [stratified by cervical length]:
Gestational age at birth, (weeks)- <15 mm
- Observational evidence only 5 [366] 2.34 [1.40, 3.28] <0.001 0 [0, 79]
Gestational age at birth, (weeks)- 15–25 mm
- Observational evidence only 4 [278] 1.36 [−1.26, 3.97] 0.3 57 [0, 89]
Presentation to delivery interval, (weeks)—<15 mm
- Observational evidence only 4 [195] 3.79 [2.42, 5.15] <0.001 0 [0, 85]
Presentation to delivery interval, (weeks)- 15–25 mm
- Observational evidence only 3 [123] 3.00 [0.91, 5.08] 0.05 25 [0, 92]
Birthweight, grams- <15 mm
- Observational evidence only 3 [544] 627 [57.6, 1,196] 0.003 98 [96, 99]
Birthweight, grams- 15–25 mm
- Observational evidence only 2 [382] 78.1 [−3.76, 533] 0.7 85 [––]

CI, confidence interval; MD, mean difference; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit.

Conversely, there was no significant difference in the risk of pPROM (p = 0.2) or chorioamnionitis (p = 0.8) between women receiving and those not receiving cerclage. Pooled proportions for each of the explored outcomes in women with twin pregnancies receiving compared to those not receiving cerclage are reported in S4 Table.

Cerclage in twin pregnancy with short cervical length or cervical dilatation was also associated with a reduced risk of perinatal loss (RR: 0.38, 95% CI [0.25, 0.60], p < 0.001 AR: 19.62%), composite adverse outcome (RR: 0.69, 95% CI [0.53, 0.90], p = 0.007; AR: 11.75%), 5-min Apgar score <7 (RR: 0.46, 95% CI [0.29, 0.74], p = 0.00), neonatal sepsis (RR: 0.45, 95% CI [0.24, 0.84], p = 0.01), grade III or IV IVH (RR: 0.32, 95% [CI 0.11, 0.92], p = 0.03), birthweight <1,500 grams (RR: 0.49, 95% CI [0.33, 0.73], p < 0.01), and NICU admission (RR: 0.75, 95% CI [0.63, 0.90], p < 0.001] but not of RDS (p = 0.8) or ROP (p = 0.2).

Mean birthweight was also greater in twin pregnancies receiving cerclage [MD: 300 grams, 95% CI 167, 433; p < 0.01], while the length of stay in NICU was shorter [MD: −22.4 days, 95% CI −40.1, −4.7; p = 0.01]. When assessing the contribution of the different types of studies included in the reported results, the association between cervical cerclage and adverse maternal or perinatal outcome was exclusively due to the inclusion of observational studies but not RCTs.

Subgroup analyses according to the specific indication for cerclage (short cervical length at ultrasound or cervical dilation at physical examination) are presented in Tables 68.

Table 8. Women with cervical dilatation at physical examination: Results of the head-to-head meta-analyses comparing the risk of selected categorical outcomes in women with twin pregnancies undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage.
Outcomes Number of studies Total women
n/N vs. n/N
RR
[95% CI]
p Value I2 [95% CI], %
Primary outcome:
Preterm birth <34th week 5 111/194 vs. 107/116 0.68 [0.57, 0.80] <0.001 43 [0, 78]
- Randomized evidence 1 12/17 vs. 13/13 0.08 [0.00, 1.68] 0.11 --
- Observational evidence 4 99/177 vs. 94/103 0.66 [0.53, 0.82] 0.002 60 [0, 84]
Preterm birth <32nd week 6 130/246 vs. 147/163 0.59 [0.50, 0.70] <0.001 19 [0, 70]
- Randomized evidence 1 11/17 vs. 13/13 0.66 [0.46, 0.95] 0.03 --
- Observational evidence 5 119/229 vs. 130/154 0.61 [0.44, 0.83] 0.002 85 [59, 90]
Preterm birth <28th week 5 82/192 vs. 126/146 0.47 [0.36, 0.62] <0.001 39[0, 79]
- Randomized evidence 1 7/17 vs. 11/13 0.49 [0.26, 0.90] 0.02 --
- Observational evidence 4 75/175 vs. 115/133 0.50 [0.39, 0.66] <0.001 53 [0, 83]
Preterm birth <24th week 4 25/140 vs. 56/99 0.32 [0.21, 0.48] <0.001 0 [0, 68]
- Randomized evidence 1 5/17 vs. 11/13 0.35 [0.16, 0.75] 0.007 --
- Observational evidence 3 20/123 vs. 45/86 0.31 [0.18, 0.42] <0.001 16 [0, 77]
pPROM 4 62/192 vs. 71/146 0.68 [0.33, 1.40] 0.3 80 [18, 91]
- Randomized evidence 1 11/17 vs. 5/13 1.78 [0.68, 3.74] 0.2 --
- Observational evidence 4 51/175 vs. 66/133 0.62 [0.33, 1.14] 0.07 74 [0, 89]
Chorioamnionitis 3 17/102 vs. 12/61 1.95 [0.32, 11.7] 0.5 93 [85, 97]
- Randomized evidence 1 6/17 vs. 11/13 0.42 [0.21, 0.83] <0.001 --
- Observational evidence 3 11/85 vs. 1/48 2.90 [0.56, 14.98] 0.203 0 [––]
Perinatal loss * 3 59/226 vs. 129/180 0.30 [0.16, 0.55] <0.001 77 [26, 93]
- Randomized evidence 1 6/34 vs. 20/26 0.06 [0.02, 0.23] <0.001 --
- Observational evidence 2 53/192 vs. 109/154 0.39 [0.28, 0.53] <0.001 34 [––]
Composite adverse outcome 4 114/258 vs. 72/116 0.64 [0.39, 1.04] 0.07 79 [42, 92]
- Randomized evidence 1 14/30 vs. 3/26 0.93 [0.38, 2.27] 0.9 --
- Observational evidence 3 100/228 vs. 69/90 0.59 [0.34, 1.03] 0.07 84 [52, 95]
5-min Apgar score <7 4 84/280 vs. 89/150 0.49 [0.27, 0.90] 0.02 80 [46, 92]
- Randomized evidence 1 9/30 vs. 22/26 0.31 [0.17, 0.56] <0.001 --
- Observational evidence 3 75/250 vs. 67/124 0.59 [0.27, 1.21] 0.14 83 [50, 95]
RDS 2 39/84 vs. 41/68 0.71 [0.27, 1.83] 0.5 63 [––]
- Randomized evidence 1 14/30 vs. 2/26 0.40 [0.42, 4.62] 0.6 --
- Observational evidence 1 25/54 vs. 39/42 0.50 [0.37, 0.68] <0.001 --
Sepsis 2 9/84 vs. 11/68 0.52 [0.23, 1.15] 0.11 0 [––]
- Randomized evidence 1 2/30 vs. 1/26 0.40 [0.04 3.74] 0.4 --
- Observational evidence 1 7/54 vs. 10/42 0.54 [0.23, 1.27] 0.2 --
Grades 3–4 IVH 2 6/84 vs. 18/68 0.24 [0.03, 2.03] 0.2 66 [––]
- Randomized evidence 1 4/30 vs. 1/26 0.80 [0.11, 5.96] 0.8 --
- Observational evidence 1 2/54 vs. 17/42 0.09 [0.02, 2.41] 0.002 --
ROP 2 6/84 vs. 10/68 0.29 [0.03, 3.05] 0.3 53 [––]
- Randomized evidence 1 5/30 vs. 1/26 1.00 [0.10, 10.5] 0.99 --
- Observational evidence 1 1/54 vs. 9/42 0.09 [0.01, 0.81] 0.03 --
Birthweight <1,500 g 3 84/202 vs. 115/126 0.41 [0.31, 0.55] <0.001 32 [0, 93]
- Randomized evidence 1 31/34 vs. 24/26 0.13 [0.03, 0.67] 0.001 --
- Observational evidence 2 63/168 vs. 91/100 0.43 [0.35, 0.54] <0.001 0 [––]
NICU admission 3 117/176 vs. 71/92 0.67 [0.52, 0.88] 0.003 63 [0, 89]
- Randomized evidence 1 22/30 vs. 6/26 0.20 [0.01, 4.02] 0.3 --
- Observational evidence 2 95/168 vs. 65/100 0.68 [0.52, 0.89] 0.006 79 [––]

*N. of fetuses.

RR, risk ratio; CI, confidence interval; n/N vs. n/N, number of women with the outcome/total number of women in the exposed [cerclage] and unexposed [no cerclage] group, respectively; pPROM, preterm premature rupture of membranes; RDS, respiratory distress syndrome; ROP, retinopathy of the prematurity; IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit.

In women with a CL ≤15 mm, placement of a cervical cerclage was associated with a reduced risk of PTB <34 weeks (RR: 0.74, 95% CI [0.58, 0.95], p < 0.001, AR: 29.17%) and composite adverse neonatal outcome (RR: 0.75, 95% CI [0.61, 0.92; 0.03], p = 0.003, AR: 22.64%) (Table 7). Cerclage was also associated with a later gestational age at birth (MD: 2.34, 95% CI 1.40, 3.28, p < 0.001) and a longer presentation to delivery interval (MD: 3.79, 95% CI [2.42, 5.15], p < 0.001) and neonatal birthweight (MD: 627 grams, 95% CI [57.6, 1,196], p = 0.003). The association between cerclage and reduced risk of maternal and perinatal outcome was due to the inclusion of observational studies, while the RCT did not show any potential beneficial effect of cerclage in affecting such outcomes.

Table 7. Women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound: Results of the head-to-head meta-analyses comparing the risk of selected categorical outcomes in women with twin pregnancies undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage.
Outcomes Number of studies Total women
n/N vs. n/N
RR
[95% CI]
p Value I2 [95% CI], %
Primary outcome:
Preterm birth <34th week 5 143/248 vs. 135/251 0.99 [0.68, 1.45] 0.9 55 [0, 83]
- Randomized evidence 2 12/21 vs. 6/23 3.01 [0.17, 51.9] 0.5 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 3 131/263 vs. 129/228 0.90 [0.76, 1.07] 0.2 0 [0, 90]
By cervical length:
Preterm birth <34th week—<15mm
- Observational evidence only 2 29/56 vs. 51/63 0.74 [0.58, 0.95] 0.02 0 [––]
Preterm birth <34th week—15–25mm
- Observational evidence only 1 11/21 vs. 17/21 0.65 [0.41, 1.02] 0.07 --
Preterm birth <37th week 5 237/308 vs. 223/278 0.96 [0.88, 1.04] 0.3 0 [0, 79]
- Randomized evidence 2 19/21 vs. 17/23 3.25 [0.57, 18.7] 0.2 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 3 218/287 206/255 0.96 [0.88, 1.04] 0.2 0 [0, 90]
Preterm birth <32nd week 6 110/327 vs. 108/290 0.90 [0.71, 1.13] 0.9 5 [0, 76]
- Randomized evidence 2 8/21 vs. 3/23 2.89 [0.86, 9.78] 0.09 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 4 102/306 vs. 105/267 0.86 [0.70, 1.07] 0.2 5 [0, 76]
Preterm birth <28th week 6 46/327 vs. 55/290 0.75 [0.53, 1.08] 0.13 0 [0, 75]
- Randomized evidence 2 5/21 vs. 1/23 3.98 [0.72, 22.0] 0.11 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 4 41/306 vs. 54/267 0.70 [0.48, 1.01] 0.06 0 [0, 85]
Preterm birth <24th week 3 9/78 vs. 5/106 2.08 [0.80, 5.39] 0.13 0 [0, 90]
- Randomized evidence 2 2/21 vs. 0/23 2.23 [0.32, 15.7] 0.4 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 1 7/57 vs. 5/83 2.03 [0.68, 6.06] 0.2 --
pPROM 3 46/208 vs. 47/156 0.76 [0.44, 1.32] 0.3 12 [0, 91]
- Randomized evidence 2 5/21 vs. 4/23 1.36 [0.31, 6.07] 0.7 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 1 41/187 vs. 43/133 0.68 [0.47, 0.98] 0.04 --
Chorioamnionitis 3 8/208 vs. 3/156 2.29 [0.76, 6.93] 0.14 0 [0, 90]
- Randomized evidence 2 6/21 vs. 2/23 2.54 [0.74, 8.79] 0.7 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 1 2/187 vs. 1/133 1.52 [0.13, 17.8] 0.14 --
Perinatal loss 4 61/502 vs. 60/372 * 0.77 [0.55, 1.07] 0.12 0 [0, 85]
- Randomized evidence 2 3/42 vs. 2/28 0.50 [0.31, 7.20] 0.6 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 2 58/460 vs. 58/344 0.74 [0.52, 1.05] 0.09 1 [––]
Composite adverse outcome 4 185/449 vs. 144/340 1.11 [0.63, 1.96] 0.7 68 [7, 89]
- Randomized evidence 2 18/42 vs. 12/46 0.87 [0.74, 1.02] 0.06 87 [––]
- Observational evidence 2 167/407 vs. 132/294 1.65 [0.23, 11.8] 0.9 0 [––]
By cervical length:
Composite adverse outcome—<15 mm
- Observational evidence only 2 54/104 vs. 85/114 0.75 [0.61, 0.92] 0.03 4 [––]
Composite adverse outcome—15–25 mm
- Observational evidence only 1 14/41 vs. 22/30 0.47 [0.29, 0.75] 0.002 --
RDS 3 29/128 vs. 15/122 2.32 [0.66, 8.10] 0.2 64 [0, 90]
- Randomized evidence 2 14/86 vs. 12/76 1.03 [0.51, 2.08] 0.9 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 1 15/42 vs. 3/46 4.78 [1.65, 13.8] 0.004 --
Sepsis
- Randomized evidence only 2 0/42 vs. 2/46 0.54 [0.07, 3.96] 0.5 0 [––]
Grades 3–4 IVH 3 4/128 vs. 5/122 0.85 [0.25, 2.88] 0.8 0 [0, 90]
- Randomized evidence 2 1/42 vs. 3/46 0.56 [0.10, 3.06] 0.5 0 [––]
- Observational evidence 1 3/86 vs. 2/76 1.33 [0.23, 7.69] 0.8 --
Birthweight <1,500 g—all studies 3 139/416 vs. 105/312 1.53 [0.51, 4.59] 0.5 81 [41, 94]
- Randomized evidence 2 19/42 vs. 7/46 2.73 [1.00, 7.42] 0.05 23 [––]
- Observational evidence 1 120/374 vs. 98/266 0.87 [0.70, 1.08] 0.2 --
NICU admission—all studies 3 2036/423 vs. 170/312 0.90 [0.77, 1.07] 0.2 12 [0, 91]
- Randomized evidence 1 5/16 vs. 9/18 0.63 [0.26, 1.48] 0.3 --
- Observational evidence 2 201/407 vs.161/294 0.92 [0.76, 1.12] 0.4 37 [––]

*N. of fetuses.

RR, risk ratio; CI, confidence interval; n/N vs. n/N, number of women with the outcome/total number of women in the exposed [cerclage] and unexposed [no cerclage] group, respectively; pPROM, preterm premature rupture of membranes; IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; NICU, neonatal intensive care unit; RDS, respiratory distress syndrome.

Conversely, cerclage in women with a cervical length between 15 and 25 mm was not associated with a reduced risk of any of the main ofutcomes assessed in this systematic review.

In women with twin pregnancy and cervical dilatation at physical examination, placement of a cervical cerclage was associated with a reduced risk of PTB <34 (RR: 0.68, 95% CI [0.57, 0.80], p = 0.001), <32 (RR: 0.59, 95% CI [0.50, 0.70], p = 0.001), <28 (RR: 0,47 95% CI [0.36, 0.62], p < 0.001), and <24 weeks (RR: 0.32 95% CI [0.21, 0.48], p < 0.001), but not that of pPROM (p = 0.3), chorioamnionitis (p = 0.5). Cerclage in these women also reduced the risk of perinatal loss (RR: 0.30, 95% CI [0.16, 0.55], p < 0.001), Apgar score <7 at 5 min (RR: 0.49, 95% CI [0.27, 0.90], p < 0.001), birthweight <1,500 grams (RR: 0.41, 95% CI [0.31, 0.55], p < 0.001), and admission to NICU (RR: 0.67, 95% CI [0.52, 0.88], p = 0.003), but not that of RDS (p = 0.5), grades III and IV IVH (p = 0.2) or ROP (p = 0.3) (Table 8). Such association was due to the inclusion of observational studies but no RCTs. Unfortunately, we could not perform meaningful pooled subgroup analyses according to different degrees of cervical dilatation [>2, >3, >4 cm]. Likewise, we could not perform sub-analyses according to chorionicity.

Grade

Assessment of the quality of retrieved evidence according to GRADE is presented in S5 Table. Overall, a low quality of evidence showed that cerclage can reduce the risk of PTB <34 weeks of gestation in women with a short cervix at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination and this could be due to the considerable inclusion of observational studies, indirectness of evidence, imprecision of results, and publication bias.

Discussion

The findings from this systematic review showed that there is still a low grade of evidence that cerclage may prevent PTB in twin pregnancies. Although the placement of cervical cerclage in women with short cervical length <15 mm or cervical dilatation may be potentially associated with a reduced risk of PTB and adverse perinatal outcome compared with no intervention, this evidence is mainly supported by observational studies, but no RCTs, although only 1 trial was published in the last few years.

This is, to the best of our knowledge, the largest and most up-to-date systematic review and meta-analysis on the role of cervical cerclage in affecting PTB in twin pregnancies. Previous systematic reviews have addressed the association between cerclage and perinatal outcome in twins [12,4851]. Compared to this review, the present study includes a well-defined population of twin pregnancies at high risk of PTB, defined as the presence of a short cervical length at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination, a large number of outcomes explored, stratification of the analyses according to cervical length at ultrasound or cervical dilatation, and computation of the observed outcome according to the study design (observational versus RCT).

The small number of cases in some of the included studies, their nonrandomized design, lack of standardized criteria for prenatal assessment, and management of twin pregnancies at higher risk of PTB represent the main limitation of the present review. The most significant limitation of the present systematic review relies on the inclusion of mainly observational studies. The large majority of RCTs were old, with a very small number of cases and a heterogeneous population of twin pregnancies, thus considerably limiting the robustness of their findings. Only 1 RCT was published in the recent past, showing a potential beneficial role of cerclage in women with cervical dilatation. However, even this trial, despite being powered for its primary outcome, was limited by a very small number of included cases and also by potential confounders such as the use of indomethacin and antibiotics in the intervention arm. The assessment of the role of cerclage in twin pregnancies with different cut-offs of cervical length was limited by the small number of included cases and an even smaller number of events that might have precluded a robust assessment of the strength of association between cerclage placement and neonatal morbidity in twins.

PTB is the leading cause of perinatal mortality and morbidity worldwide with an estimated societal economic burden in the United States of $26.2 billion annually. Therefore, identifying pregnancies at higher risk of PTB is pivotal in applying preventive strategies. In singleton pregnancies, assessment of cervical length at mid-gestation allows the identification of women with a higher likelihood of delivering preterm. Several preventive strategies for PTB in singleton pregnancies have been proposed. A recent network meta-analysis comparing progesterone, pessary, or cerclage for the prevention of PTB in singleton pregnancies has reported that vaginal progesterone in pregnancies at high risk was the only intervention with consistent effectiveness and was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of PTB <34 and <37 weeks’ gestation and in the risk of neonatal death [10]. Placement of cervical cerclage is commonly considered a secondary preventive strategy for PTB, especially in asymptomatic women with reduced cervical length already taking progesterone therapy. A recent individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis comparing insertion of cerclage with expectant management reported no significant reduction in PTB <35 weeks’ gestation in asymptomatic women with a singleton pregnancy and a short second trimester cervical length (<25 mm). However, a subgroup analysis of the same cohort including women with cervical length <10 mm demonstrated a significant reduction in PTB <35 weeks [52]. On this basis, most relevant national and international societies suggest follow-up ultrasound scans every 1 to 2 weeks up to 24 weeks’ gestation in women with reduced cervical length and recommend cerclage placement in those whose cervix shortens to <10 mm despite using progesterone [53].

Screening for PTB in twin pregnancies is more controversial. The International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology (ISUOG) recommends that cervical length should be assessed in both monochorionic and dichorionic twin pregnancies at 20 weeks of gestation [54]. However, although in asymptomatic women with twin pregnancies, a short cervical length at ultrasound is associated with a higher risk of PTB, the diagnostic performance of this test is lower than in singletons [55,56]. Furthermore, the optimal cut-off of cervical length to define a twin pregnancy at increased risk of PTB remains controversial. Conventionally, a cut-off of 25 mm, as in singletons, is used.

The effectiveness of the most common strategies for the prevention of PTB is also controversial. Bed rest, progesterone therapy, Arabin cervical pessary, or oral tocolytics do not reduce the risk of PTB in twin pregnancies. A recent network meta-analysis reported that cervical pessary, progesterone, and cerclage do not show a significant effect in reducing the rate of PTB or perinatal morbidity in twins, either in an unselected population of twins or in pregnancies with a short cervix [12]. However, in this review, only 3 small RCTs on cerclage in twins were included. These studies were published almost 2 decades ago and were limited by the very small number of included cases and an even smaller number of events, as well as large heterogeneity in the prenatal management of twin pregnancies with risk factors for PTB, thus preventing robust conclusions on the lack of effectiveness of cerclage in twin pregnancies. More recently, an RCT by Roman and colleagues has reported that, in asymptomatic twin pregnancies with cervical dilation of 1 to 5 cm between 16+0 and 23+6 weeks of gestation, placement of cervical cerclage was associated with a significant reduction of PTB <34, 32, 28, and 24 weeks of gestation and a higher mean gestational age at birth (29.05 ± 1.7 versus 22.5 ± 3.9 weeks). Perinatal mortality was also significantly reduced in the cerclage group compared with the no cerclage group [15]. Since the publication of this trial, many observational studies on the role of cerclage in twin pregnancies have been published, challenging the old dogma of its lack of effectiveness in preventing PTB.

In the current review, we have also confirmed the potential beneficial role of cerclage in reducing the risk of PTB and neonatal morbidity in twin pregnancies with a cervical length <15 mm, similar to that reported in singleton pregnancies. Conversely, in women with a cervical length of 15 to 25 mm, cerclage was not associated with a reduction in the risk of any of the outcomes assessed. These findings are consistent with those of studies on the predictive accuracy of ultrasound in twin pregnancies that report that lower cut-offs of cervical length compared to those used in singletons better predict PTB in multiple gestations [57]. Mid-trimester mean cervical length is less in twin compared to singleton gestations and it is biologically plausible that this reduction may be due to the effect of uterine overdistension on the cervix, leading to a relative shortening compared to singletons, without being associated with an increased risk of PTB. On this basis, placement of cervical cerclage in women with cervical length >15 mm on ultrasound should not be recommended, although these findings are based on observational evidence.

Although the findings from this meta-analysis suggest a potential beneficial role of cervical cerclage in reducing the risk of PTB and improving neonatal outcome in women at risk, the inclusion of mainly observational studies significantly affect the robustness of the results and should be confirmed in adequately powered RCTs. Only 3 RCTs were included, with a very small number of women allocated to cerclage or standard care. Ideally, an RCT of the role of cerclage in twin pregnancies should include women with short cervix on ultrasound or cervical dilatation separately and be adequately powered to investigated maternal and neonatal outcomes. Furthermore, this trial should share an objective protocol of prenatal assessment of women at risk and management of women before and after cerclage placement, including the timing of ultrasound assessment of cervical and preventive strategies of PTB, including progesterone and tocolysis.

Twin pregnancies undergoing cerclage for short cervix at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination have a lower risk of PTB and perinatal mortality and morbidity compared to those not undergoing such intervention. However, these findings are driven mainly from observational studies, thus limiting the robustness of the results. The findings from the present systematic review highlight the need for designing an appropriately powered RCT to elucidate whether the placement of a cervical cerclage may prevent PTB in women presenting with short cervical length at ultrasound assessment or cervical dilatation at physical examination.

Supporting information

S1 Table. Search strategy.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Prisma checklist.

(DOCX)

S3 Table. Excluded studies and reason for exclusion.

(DOCX)

S4 Table. Pooled proportions for the perinatal outcomes explored in the present systematic review (95% confidence intervals between parentheses) in twin compared pregnancies undergoing compared to those not undergoing cerclage.

(DOCX)

S5 Table. GRADE assessment of the primary outcome.

(DOCX)

S1 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: risk of preterm birth <34th week in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

(DOCX)

S2 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: risk of preterm birth <32nd week in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

(DOCX)

S3 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: risk of preterm birth <28th week in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

(DOCX)

S4 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: gestational age in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

(DOCX)

S5 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: gestational age in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound).

(DOCX)

S6 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: presentation to delivery interval in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

(DOCX)

S7 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: birthweight in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

(DOCX)

Abbreviations

AR

absolute risk

CI

confidence interval

IPD

individual patient data

ISUOG

International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology

IVH

intraventricular hemorrhage

MC

monochorionic

MD

mean difference

MeSH

medical subject heading

NEC

necrotizing enterocolitis

NICU

neonatal intensive care unit

NOS

Newcastle–Ottawa scale

pPROM

preterm prelabor rupture of the membrane

PTB

preterm birth

RCT

randomized controlled trial

RDS

respiratory distress syndrome

ROP

retinopathy of prematurity

RR

risk ratio

sFGR

selective fetal growth restriction

TTTS

twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome

Data Availability

All relevant data is available within the manuscript and Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

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Decision Letter 0

Philippa C Dodd

29 Dec 2022

Dear Dr D'Antonio,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript entitled "Cervical cerclage for prevention of preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcome in twin pregnancies: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis" for consideration by PLOS Medicine.

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Decision Letter 1

Philippa C Dodd

21 Mar 2023

Dear Dr. D'Antonio,

Thank you very much for submitting your manuscript "Cervical cerclage for prevention of preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcome in twin pregnancies: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis" (PMEDICINE-D-22-03921R1) for consideration at PLOS Medicine.

Your paper was evaluated by a senior editor and discussed among all the editors here. It was also discussed with an academic editor with relevant expertise, and sent to independent reviewers, including a statistical reviewer. The reviews are appended at the bottom of this email and any accompanying reviewer attachments can be seen via the link below:

[LINK]

In light of these reviews, I am afraid that we will not be able to accept the manuscript for publication in the journal in its current form, but we would like to consider a revised version that addresses the reviewers' and editors' comments. Obviously we cannot make any decision about publication until we have seen the revised manuscript and your response, and we plan to seek re-review by one or more of the reviewers.

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To enhance the reproducibility of your results, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io, where a protocol can be assigned its own identifier (DOI) such that it can be cited independently in the future. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option to publish peer-reviewed clinical study protocols. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols

Please ensure that the paper adheres to the PLOS Data Availability Policy (see http://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/s/data-availability), which requires that all data underlying the study's findings be provided in a repository or as Supporting Information. For data residing with a third party, authors are required to provide instructions with contact information for obtaining the data. PLOS journals do not allow statements supported by "data not shown" or "unpublished results." For such statements, authors must provide supporting data or cite public sources that include it.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Sincerely,

Philippa Dodd, MBBS MRCP PhD

PLOS Medicine

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-----------------------------------------------------------

Requests from the editors:

GENERAL

Please respond to all editor and reviewer comments detailed below, in full.

Thank you for reporting your SRMA according to PRISMA. Please provide the completed PRISMA checklist.

When completing the checklist, please use section and paragraph numbers, rather than page or line numbers as these often change in the event of publication.

Please modify the statement in the Methods section to signpost the checklist: "This study is reported as per the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline (S1 Checklist)." Or similar.

*** The reviewers and academic editor have raised specific concerns regarding the design and methodological approaches used in your study. Please see below for specific comments which we agree with. ***

COMMENTS FROM THE ACADEMIC EDITOR

1. The paper cannot be published in its present form.

2. The authors seem to interpret their results as making the case for cerclage in all twins with a short cervix (<15mm). But the vast bulk of the data come from observational studies and, as the stats review points out, the RCTs differ from the observational studies and there is obviously huge potential for bias when comparing women having and not having an intervention in an observational study design.

3. Even the RCT data are poor. Much of it is old, and even the more recent Roman paper only included 34 women and the intervention also included indomethacin and antibiotics, so it is not clear that any effect in this group was due to cerclage.

I think that this paper best serves to provide the data required to design the RCT that could change clinical practice. I recommend:

1. That they need to remove all analyses where they just lump all twin pregnancies together, i.e. there should be separate analysis of those where cerclage was indicated and those where it was not and no analysis where these two groups are pooled.

2. That they provide separate analysis of RCTs and observational studies and they should formally test for differences in the estimate of effect size between the two groups.

3. They re-focus the discussion around how their analyses inform a trial - inclusion criteria, comparison group, primary outcome, sample size etc.

ABSTRACT

Please ensure that your abstract is reported according to PRISMA for abstracts, following the PLOS Medicine abstract structure (Background, Methods and Findings, Conclusions) http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001419

Abstract methods and findings: this reads very nicely but does seem to be rather long. Perhaps fewer of the secondary outcomes could be listed (those considered most important) and the same examples then evidenced with statistical information.

Please provide the beginning and dates of the (updated) search, data sources, number of studies included, types of study designs included, and synthesis/appraisal methods

Line 85: “The level of evidence was downgraded…” the sentence is rather vague (“imprecision of results” and “indirectness of evidence”) and somewhat discredits your own data. Suggest revising this statement and concluding this section with a sentence that details the main limitations of your study.

AUTHOR SUMMARY

At this stage, we ask that you include a short, non-technical Author Summary of your research to make findings accessible to a wide audience that includes both scientists and non-scientists. The Author Summary should immediately follow the Abstract in your revised manuscript. This text is subject to editorial change and should be distinct from the scientific abstract. Please see our author guidelines for more information: https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/s/revising-your-manuscript#loc-author-summary

METHODS and RESULTS

Please update your search to the present time. We require that SRMAs are updated to within roughly 6 months of the expected publication date.

Please provide the beginning and end dates of your search.

Please also note the comments from the methodological reviewer (reviewer #1) regarding inclusion of non-English language sources of studies which we agree with. Please include non-English language sources of studies in your search.

Thank you for reporting your SRMA according to PRISMA. Please remove the repeated statement at lines 132-133.

TABLES

To help facilitate transparent data reporting, PLOS medicine requests that where adjusted analyses are presented unadjusted analyses are also presented for comparison. We understand from your methods section that you extracted a combination of adjusted and unadjusted estimates from the studies included in your meta-analysis. We appreciate that this may not be feasible (or necessary) to present both in this case but it may be helpful if you could indicate which of the extracted data are adjusted and which are not and if the data are available might it also be helpful to include factors that were adjusted for? Perhaps in table 1?

When reporting p values please report as p<0.001 or where higher as p=0.002, for example. Please check and amend throughout including in the supporting files where relevant.

SUPPORTING INFORMATION

Table S4 – is there a typo in column 3 (chorioamnionitis RCTs)?

DISCUSSION

Please remove all sub-headings from the discussion such that it reads as a single piece of continuous prose starting with a short, clear summary of the article's findings; what the study adds to existing research and where and why the results may differ from previous research; strengths and limitations of the study; implications and next steps for research, clinical practice, and/or public policy; and ending in a one paragraph conclusion.

Comments from the reviewers:

Reviewer #1: See attachments

Michael Dewey

Reviewer #2: The paper presents a systemic review and meta-analysis of cervical cerclage for prevention of preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcome in twin pregnancies. The description of the study rationale, the interpretation of the results and the discussion are balanced. However, similar articles have been published in the peer-reviewed scientific literatures such as,

Su J, Li D, Yang Y, Cao Y, Yin Z. Cerclage placement in twin pregnancies with cervical dilation: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med. 2022 Dec;35(25):9112-9118. doi: 10.1080/14767058.2021.2015577. Epub 2021 Dec 14. PMID: 34906023.

Li C, Shen J, Hua K. Cerclage for women with twin pregnancies: a systematic review and metaanalysis. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2019 Jun;220(6):543-557.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2018.11.1105. Epub 2018 Dec 7. PMID: 30527942.

Li C, Hua K. Efficacy of physical examination-indicated cerclage in twin pregnancies compared with singleton pregnancies: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Minerva Obstet Gynecol. 2021 Feb;73(1):111-120. doi: 10.23736/S2724-606X.20.04518-9. Epub 2020 Apr 21. PMID: 32315128.

Saccone G, Rust O, Althuisius S, Roman A, Berghella V. Cerclage for short cervix in twin pregnancies: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized trials using individual patient-level data. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2015 Apr;94(4):352-8. doi: 10.1111/aogs.12600. Epub 2015 Mar 1. PMID: 25644964.

The authors should mention the previous studies and discuss the additional information of this manuscript compared with previous studies. Besides, PPROM should be preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 217: Prelabor Rupture of Membranes. Siegler Y, et al. Obstet Gynecol. 2020. PMID: 33093409).

Reviewer #3: This systematic review addresses the important question of cerclage in twins. Historically cerclage has been said to be contraindicated, and this was based on a small meta analysis by Berghella that was under powered to inform on the rarer women with a very short cervical length. Indeed, in the UK, NICE, as an arbitor of clinical practice, until recently specifically advised against cervical scanning in women with twins. More recently a number of small series or trials in various heterogeneous groups have presented data that challenges this.

A synthesis of the results looks at

1. Overall, 'in pregnancy' cerclage (<25mm or physical exam), or whatever the authors wish to call it, but not emergency cerclage.

Subgroups of indication for 'in pregnancy' cerclage:

2. Cervical length <15 mm

3. Physical examination

Then:

4. Pessary (without conclusions)

5. Twins versus singletons

This is a highly appropriate paper and should be published.

Points.

1. I am not an expert in the methodology and so am not qualified to comment on this.

2. The authors have confused me on definitions. They define emergency cerclage as that where the cervix is <25mm or 'open' physical examination. This is not correct by conventional terminology. It is not unreasonable to group these together but this perhaps should be defined as non-elective or 'short cervix/ physical examination'.

3. Even though putting cervical cerclage at 0mm cervical length, short cervical length +/- with bulging membranes together with 'physical examination indicated' is pragmatic, it is still a bit problematic because of the heterogeneity: the US RCT of physical examination indicated cerclage (Roman et al) did not specify cervical length in all women and some were clearly not that short. The heterogeneity of this group should be emphasised, and perhaps a later comment about the different practice in Europe (cervical length) and the US (physical examination)

4. Line 302: 'Conversely, cerclage in women with a cervical length between 5 and 25 mm was not.. ' This is a typo? Should 5 not be 15?

5. I would like to see data in the text as to effect sizes particularly whether any outcomes were increased (as opposed to not reduced) in the 15-25mm cervical length group.

6. Could the authors differentiate between monochorionic and dichorionic twins?

7. Given the importance of the findings and the need for evidence-based practice I would like to see, in the conclusions, a recommendation regarding best practice, including recommending against cervical cerclage where the cervix is >25mm.

Reviewer #4: The authors present a meta-analysis of both observational and randomised control trials of cerclage in twins. This is in a currently challenging area with considerable uncertainty and variation in clinical practice. The topic is important and worthy of publication. However we believe that more data could be derived from their analysis that would have important clinical implications.

The authors have subdivided their groups for analysis into two main categories:

Those with dilated cervix and/or those with a shortened cervix <25mm

Elective cerclage (who have presumably not got a short cervix, but this is not clear)

Those in the first group may be substantially different, depending on whether the cervix id dilated or not, and cerclage could have varying treatment affects in these groups. A dilated cervix with exposed membranes will allow immediate ascending infection and a cerclage in effect is trying to reverse a high risk situation. However the group with a cervix <25mm may be upstream in the pathophysiological process and a cerclage is more preventative. It is unclear why they have combined these groups. Indeed their sub-analysis demonstrates a difference in those with cervix >15mm and <15mm, suggesting the concerns above are valid. We are a little concerned that this combination may have been performed to avoid a type II error in one of these sub-groups.

We strongly recommend primary analysis is performed separately for women with dilated cervix and in those with a short cervix, as well as those with an elective procedure (i.e. three groups in total). Or alternatively reasons for not doing this described.

An additional analysis which would be clinically very relevant would be those with symptomatic and asymptomatic presentations. Outcomes following emergency cerclage are very different if women present with discharge and pain at presentation and subsequently had a cerclage versus those who were incidentally found to have a short cervix. We don't feel as strongly about this point but some exploratory analysis whether this clinical factors are important, should they be available in their data, would be worthwhile.

The terminology used for elective cerclage is 'unselected population'. This is not a commonly used terminology and is ambiguous as it implied all comers including those with a short cervix, etc. Again this should be clarified and we believe the term is elective cerclage is more ubiquitous.

In the group with elective cerclage, a problem with all research in twin pregnancies is that low risk women are often recruited, as they are easy to obtain for clinical trials. However, are there are sound pathophysiological reasons why women with risk factors may behave differently. At very least they should discuss if studies evaluated these sub-groups and ideally perform a separate analysis if the data if the data is available.

A general comment is that it may be wise to improve the readability of the article, as we must confess to having to read several paragraphs multiple times. We appreciate the challenge of writing in a language that is not one's native language, however the team will likely have the expertise to improve this.

This is an important piece of work and the team have done well with good analysis and correct endpoints. We believe with extra analysis, significantly more clinically relevant findings could be obtained (if the data is available). We strongly recommend this with a view to publication.

Reviewer #5: nicely written concise systematic review with sound methodology and appropriately utilised tools for the meta-analysis.

Reviewer #6: This paper is confusing.

My main concern is that the authors pool everything together and this does not facilitate using this paper in clinical practice (see also comments below).

They pool cases with an ultrasound indicated cerclage with those of physical examination indicated cerclage in patients with cervical dilatation, generally referred to as 'emergency cerclage'. I advise you to differentiate between those 2 groups.

Moreover, as stated in sentence 136 and 137: inclusion criteria were studies in which twin pregnancies were allocated to cerclage for the prevention of PTB or to a control group (e.g. placebo or treatment as usual). Thus the studies comparing with pessary should not be included, this is confusing.

The paper would benefit if the authors would put their results into more context (and not just a repetition that preterm birth is a large problem....). But what does this study add. How do we proceed from here? What is needed? I miss some depth in the discussion.

Abstract

-The abstract is a bit long; consider reporting only the primary outcome and the most important secondary outcomes.

Introduction

- Sentence 95: 'The risk' probably refers to the risk of perinatal morbidity and mortality, this is however not very clear. In addition, I would recommend adding a reference to this sentence.

- Sentence 103: If this sentence refers to singleton pregnancies, I would advise you to state this more clearly and choose a different study to refer to as this study is meanly about twin pregnancies.

Methods

- Sentence 136: Add to the inclusion criteria that you included only randomized controlled trials (RCTs), prospective studies, and retrospective studies.

- Describe your secondary outcomes in a sentence rather than point by point.

- Generally 'Emergency cerclage' is defined as cerclage placed for cervical dilatation at a physical examination. An ultrasound indicated cerclage is placed for a short cervix (<25mm) at the ultrasound. To prevent confusion, please consider describing these groups separately as 'ultrasound indicated cerclage' and 'physical examination indicated cerclage'.

- Which software was just for the statistical analyses?

- As stated in the article, adjusted data was extracted from the studies or, when these were not available, the unadjusted estimates. (is this correct: question for statistician).

Results

- Check if Figure 1 is correct, in the text it is stated that 38 studies were included in the meta-analyses while the figure shows 53 studies.

- If the inclusion criteria for the review were studies in which women with a cerclage were compared to a control (placebo or treatment as usual), why were two studies comparing a cerclage to a pessary included? I would exclude these studies from your review because this is not relevant to this article.

- I would advise you to switch paragraphs 2 (from sentence 244) and three (from sentence 253) because paragraph three (quality assessments) is still part of your study selection.

- Please check all the table numbers as you have two tables 2.

- Sentence 256: Is the ROBINS-I tool used (as described here) to access the risk of bias in the observational studies or, as described in the methods, the NOS?

- Sentence 271. The p-value in the text does not match the one in the table. (table 0,011 vs. text 0,001)

- It is expected that women with a short cervix and cervical dilatation have a different risk of PTB. I therefore recommend you to analyze / describe the results of these groups only separately. Remove table 3. Describe the results of women with a short cervix (now table 5) and women with cervical dilatation (now table 6) more comprehensive. Remove table 4 and add this information to the other tables.

- You made two forest plots (PTB <34 weeks and composite morbidity), however, this is not mentioned in the text.

- Was a sensitivity analysis done?

Discussion

- The paragraph 'interpretation of results ….' is missing the research implications: How can future research build on these observations and what are the key experiments that must be done?

- I miss the interpretation of the results paragraph. For example, you report that no difference in PPROM or Chorioamnionitis was found between women who received an emergency cerclage and women with expected management. Can you explain this? Was PPROM ruled out before cerclage placement in some of the studies? Did all studies describe the use of antibiotics or tocolytics?

- How do the conclusions of your review affect the existing knowledge in the field?

- Sentence 381: add a reference.

- Sentence 430 is hard to read.

Any attachments provided with reviews can be seen via the following link:

[LINK]

Attachment

Submitted filename: dantonio.pdf

Decision Letter 2

Philippa C Dodd

6 Jun 2023

Dear Dr. D'Antonio,

Thank you very much for re-submitting your manuscript "Cervical cerclage for prevention of preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcome in twin pregnancies with short cervical length or cervical dilatation: a systematic Review and Meta-analysis" (PMEDICINE-D-22-03921R2) for review by PLOS Medicine.

I have discussed the paper with my colleagues and the academic editor and it was also seen again by 3 reviewers. I am pleased to say that provided the remaining editorial and production issues are dealt with we are planning to accept the paper for publication in the journal.

The remaining issues that need to be addressed are listed at the end of this email. Any accompanying reviewer attachments can be seen via the link below. Please take these into account before resubmitting your manuscript:

[LINK]

***Please note while forming your response, if your article is accepted, you may have the opportunity to make the peer review history publicly available. The record will include editor decision letters (with reviews) and your responses to reviewer comments. If eligible, we will contact you to opt in or out.***

In revising the manuscript for further consideration here, please ensure you address the specific points made by each reviewer and the editors. In your rebuttal letter you should indicate your response to the reviewers' and editors' comments and the changes you have made in the manuscript. Please submit a clean version of the paper as the main article file. A version with changes marked must also be uploaded as a marked up manuscript file.

Please also check the guidelines for revised papers at http://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/s/revising-your-manuscript for any that apply to your paper. If you haven't already, we ask that you provide a short, non-technical Author Summary of your research to make findings accessible to a wide audience that includes both scientists and non-scientists. The Author Summary should immediately follow the Abstract in your revised manuscript. This text is subject to editorial change and should be distinct from the scientific abstract.

We expect to receive your revised manuscript within 1 week. Please email us (plosmedicine@plos.org) if you have any questions or concerns.

We ask every co-author listed on the manuscript to fill in a contributing author statement. If any of the co-authors have not filled in the statement, we will remind them to do so when the paper is revised. If all statements are not completed in a timely fashion this could hold up the re-review process. Should there be a problem getting one of your co-authors to fill in a statement we will be in contact. YOU MUST NOT ADD OR REMOVE AUTHORS UNLESS YOU HAVE ALERTED THE EDITOR HANDLING THE MANUSCRIPT TO THE CHANGE AND THEY SPECIFICALLY HAVE AGREED TO IT.

Please ensure that the paper adheres to the PLOS Data Availability Policy (see http://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/s/data-availability), which requires that all data underlying the study's findings be provided in a repository or as Supporting Information. For data residing with a third party, authors are required to provide instructions with contact information for obtaining the data. PLOS journals do not allow statements supported by "data not shown" or "unpublished results." For such statements, authors must provide supporting data or cite public sources that include it.

To enhance the reproducibility of your results, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io, where a protocol can be assigned its own identifier (DOI) such that it can be cited independently in the future. Additionally, PLOS ONE offers an option to publish peer-reviewed clinical study protocols. Read more information on sharing protocols at https://plos.org/protocols?utm_medium=editorial-email&utm_source=authorletters&utm_campaign=protocols

Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript.

Please note, when your manuscript is accepted, an uncorrected proof of your manuscript will be published online ahead of the final version, unless you've already opted out via the online submission form. If, for any reason, you do not want an earlier version of your manuscript published online or are unsure if you have already indicated as such, please let the journal staff know immediately at plosmedicine@plos.org.

If you have any questions in the meantime, please contact me or the journal staff on plosmedicine@plos.org.  

We look forward to receiving the revised manuscript by Jun 13 2023 11:59PM.   

Sincerely,

Philippa Dodd, MBBS MRCP PhD

Senior Editor 

PLOS Medicine

plosmedicine.org

------------------------------------------------------------

Requests from Editors:

GENERAL

Thank you for your detailed and considered responses to previous editor and reviewer comments.

Please see below for further comments which we require you address in full, prior to publication.

Throughout, please replace the term ‘retrospective’ with ‘observational’ when describing your study.

STATISTICAL REPORTING

Suggest separating upper and lower bounds of CIs with commas as opposed to hyphens which can be confused with reporting of negative values.

PLOS requests that where 95% CIs are reported p values are also reported, please include. Please report p values as <0.001 and where higher as p=0.002, for example.

Suggest reporting statistical information as follows, ‘(RR: 0.73, 95% CI [0.59,0.91], p=/<)’ for improved reader accessibility. Please check and amend throughout the main manuscript, tables and figures where relevant, including in the supporting information.

ABSTRACT

Line 47 – please expand the background to (briefly) provide wider context of why the study question is important. The statement currently written at line 47 should constitute the last sentence of the Abstract Background.

Line 51 – thank you for updating your search. Please include the search start date – e.g. inception or a specific date and in the event that you report a specific date please briefly justify the reasons for its choice.

Line 65 onward - please include the actual amounts and/or absolute risk(s) of relevant outcomes, not just relative risks or correlation coefficients (example for absolute risks: PMID: 28399126).

Line 72 onward – as above, suggest separating upper and lower bounds of CIs with commas as opposed to hyphens which can be confused with reporting of negative values. PLOS requests that where 95% CIs are reported p values are also reported, please include. Please report p values as <0.001 and where higher as p=0.002, for example.

Line 74 – please define MD (? Mean difference) prior to first use here – perhaps at line 66?

AUTHOR SUMMARY

Thank you for including an author summary. Please see below for suggested revisions to formatting and minor changes to the content:

Why Was This Study Done?

* Twin pregnancies are at higher risk of preterm birth (PTB).

* Recent evidence suggests that placement of cervical cerclage in twin pregnancies with short cervical length at ultrasound or cervical dilatation at physical examination might be associated with a reduced risk of PTB.

* However, such evidence is based mainly on small studies thus questioning the robustness of these findings.

What Did the Researchers Do and Find?

* We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to elucidate whether cervical cerclage in women with twin pregnancy with short cervical length or cervical dilatation may prevent PTB. We included eighteen studies. The primary outcome was PTB <34 weeks of gestation.

* We found that cervical cerclage in women with short cervical length or cervical dilatation was associated with a reduced risk of PTB <34 weeks, gestational age at birth and adverse neonatal outcome.

* The strength of association between cerclage and reduced risk of PTB was maintained when considering women with short cervix on ultrasound and those with cervical dilatation at physical examination separately.

What Do These Findings Mean?

* Cervical cerclage in twin pregnancies with short cervical length or cervical dilatation may be potentially associated with a reduced risk of PTB and improved neonatal outcomes.

* However, these findings are mainly based on observational studies and, to improve robustness of evidence, confirmation of these outcomes in large and appropriately designed RCTs is required.

METHODS and RESULTS

As for the abstract please include details of the beginning dates of your search.

Line 192 – ‘(McDonald vs Shirodkar)’ please indicate for the reader that these are different techniques and the most utilised approaches for cerclage.

Line 252-3 – please apply PLOS Medicine’s required referencing format here.

Line 267 onward – please use either numbers or words to depict numerical values as opposed to a combination of both.

Lines 288-290 – see above under statistical reporting. Here you use the word ‘to’ to separate upper and lower bounds in view of negative values, suggest instead using commas throughout.

Line 293 onward – please amend statistical reporting as detailed above. Please check and amend throughout.

Line 308 – ‘pPROM’ please ensure this has been defined at first use for the reader – apologies if I have missed it.

TABLES

Table 1 – column ‘Gestational age at cerclage placement’ please define the age measurements (weeks/days). Please define the numerical values contained within parentheses. Does the +/- refer to days or weeks or both? Throughout, please define ‘NR’ for the reader. Please replace ‘retrosp.’ with ‘OBS’ or similar to describe the studies as observational and please define the abbreviation in the caption for the reader.

Table 3 – please indicate if more (or less) stars equate to higher (or lower) quality.

Table 4 – throughout where reporting 95% CIs please separate upper and lower bounds with commas (not semi-colons or hyphens). Is there room to write ‘Number of studies’ in the column 2 header? Please change the penultimate column header to ‘p value’.

Table 5, 6, 7 & 8 – as above

DISCUSSION

Line 466 – please remove the sub-heading ‘Conclusions’

Line 474 – please remove the funding statement and include only in the manuscript submission form when you resubmit the manuscript, it will be compiled as metadata at the time of publication.

REFERENCES

Ref 28 – appears incomplete

SUPPORTING INFORMATION

Thank you for including the PRISMA checklist. Please revise to refer to section and paragraph numbers as opposed to page (and/or line) numbers as these often change at publication.

SOCIAL MEDIA

If not already done so, to help us extend the reach of your research, please detail any Twitter handles you wish to be included when we tweet this paper (including your own, your coauthors’, your institution, funder, or lab) in the manuscript submission form when you re-submit the manuscript.

Comments from Reviewers:

Reviewer #1: The authors have addressed all my points.

Michael Dewey

Reviewer #3: The heterogeneity of studies included (observational and randomised; physical exam indicated, emergency and cervical length/ different cervical lengths) were always going to make this analysis difficult and limit its conclusions.

The authors have performed considerable work to address the issues raised by the multiple reviewers and I believe have done as good a job as is possible. Although I remain slightly concerned about the different conclusions regarding observation and randomised studies with the statistical reviewer 1, I am not convinced this matters too much as the conclusions are clear that the 'positive' findings apply to observational rather than randomised studies. This limits their robustness but again the authors are clear about this.

Reviewer #6: Nicely performed systematic review. I am satified with the modifications made.

Any attachments provided with reviews can be seen via the following link:

[LINK]

Decision Letter 3

Philippa C Dodd

23 Jun 2023

Dear Dr D'Antonio, 

On behalf of my colleagues and the Academic Editor, Professor Gordon Smith, I am pleased to inform you that we have agreed to publish your manuscript "Cervical cerclage for prevention of preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcome in twin pregnancies with short cervical length or cervical dilatation: a systematic Review and Meta-analysis" (PMEDICINE-D-22-03921R3) in PLOS Medicine.

Prior to publication we require that you address the following issues:

1) Please ensure the authors summary is divided into bullet points as requested previously. This is a formatting requirement

2) Line 361 – please replace hyphen with comma ‘95% CI [0.52-0.88]’ here

3) Table 4&5 – please replace uppercase P with lowercase p in column header

4) Bibliography - please ensure no more than 6 authors are listed followed by et al (ref 31 for example)

5) PRISMA Checklist – please update the checklist to refer to section and paragraph numbers rather than page and/or line numbers as these often change at publication

6) Supplementary Table 1 – you updated your search as part of major revision but the table doesn’t reflect that please amend

7) Supplementary Table 4 – contains a header referring to supplementary table 3 please clarify/revise. Please also replace hyphens with commas when reporting CIs here

8) Supplementary figure 1 – please report lowercase p, please replace ‘to’ with hyphens when reporting CIs here

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Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Table. Search strategy.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Table. Prisma checklist.

    (DOCX)

    S3 Table. Excluded studies and reason for exclusion.

    (DOCX)

    S4 Table. Pooled proportions for the perinatal outcomes explored in the present systematic review (95% confidence intervals between parentheses) in twin compared pregnancies undergoing compared to those not undergoing cerclage.

    (DOCX)

    S5 Table. GRADE assessment of the primary outcome.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: risk of preterm birth <34th week in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

    (DOCX)

    S2 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: risk of preterm birth <32nd week in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

    (DOCX)

    S3 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: risk of preterm birth <28th week in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

    (DOCX)

    S4 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: gestational age in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

    (DOCX)

    S5 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: gestational age in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound).

    (DOCX)

    S6 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: presentation to delivery interval in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

    (DOCX)

    S7 Fig. Funnel plot of the effect estimates vs. their standard errors (outcome: birthweight in women undergoing cerclage versus no cerclage—women with a reduced cervical length on ultrasound and/or cervical dilatation at examination).

    (DOCX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: dantonio.pdf

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Reply_to_rviewers-and_editors_queries.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Reply_to_reviewers.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data is available within the manuscript and Supporting Information files.


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