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. 2023 Aug 24;20:100. doi: 10.1186/s12966-023-01501-6

Table 4.

Population 6-year risk estimates of overweight/obesity using the g-formula in subgroup of 2203 children with accelerometer data

Observed risk: 17.8 Risk (%) 95% LCL 95% UCL Population risk ratio 95% LCL 95% UCL Population risk difference 95% LCL 95% UCL Cumulative
% interveneda
Average % intervenedb
Natural course 18.1 16.6 21.0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0.0 0.0
All subjects perform at least 60 min MVPA 16.0 14.3 19.3 0.89 0.81 0.96 -2.06 -3.7 -0.8 88.3 79.3
Intervene only in subjects with low/medium parental ISCED 17.6 16.0 20.6 0.97 0.93 1.01 -0.50 -1.35 0.25 34.7 30.8
Intervene only in subjects with mother's BMI > 25 kg/m2 17.5 15.6 20.1 0.96 0.92 0.99 -0.65 -1.45 -0.23 20.0 17.6
All subjects not meeting recommendation increase MVPA by 15 min 16.6 15.0 19.7 0.92 0.87 0.97 -1.50 -2.65 -0.6 88.3 79.3
Intervene only in subjects with low/medium parental ISCED 17.7 16.1 20.6 0.98 0.95 1.01 -0.35 -0.91 0.15 34.7 30.8
Intervene only in subjects with mother's BMI > 25 kg/m2 17.6 16.0 20.2 0.97 0.95 0.99 -0.47 -0.96 -0.16 20.0 17.6

Hypothetical interventions on entire subgroup as well as on children of parents with low/medium ISCED level and children of mother’s with BMI > 25 kg/m2 at baseline using data from W0 to W2. Model allowing contemporaneous effects of exposures on the outcome

aThe cumulative percent intervened on is the percent of the population required to change behavior in at least one wave

bThe average percent intervened on is the average, across all waves, of the percent of the study population required to change behavior in a given wave