Table 5.
Trend analysis of active student density/100,000 population by region, state, and type of institution (public or private) in the period 2010–2021
| Total | Public | Private | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region/State | APV (%) | LL | UL | p-value | Trend | APV (%) | LL | UL | p-value | Trend | APV (%) | LL | UL | p-value | Trend |
| Center-West | 24.5 | 19.3 | 30.0 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 29.5 | 19.3 | 40.6 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 20.8 | 17.9 | 23.8 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Federal District | 10.0 | 6.5 | 13.6 | < 0.001 | ↑ | -1.0 | -2.5 | 0.5 | 0.169 | − | 17.8 | 11.7 | 24.2 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Goiás | 46.3 | 42.0 | 50.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 58.5 | 29.8 | 93.4 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 35.0 | 24.0 | 46.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Mato Grosso | 15.0 | 9.3 | 20.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 28.7 | 10.4 | 50.1 | 0.005 | ↑ | 7.2 | -0.1 | 15.0 | 0.054 | − |
| Mato Grosso do Sul | 16.5 | 10.5 | 22.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 18.6 | 9.3 | 28.7 | 0.001 | ↑ | 13.1 | 5.9 | 20.7 | 0.002 | ↑ |
| Northeast | 19.8 | 15.6 | 24.3 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 7.9 | 5.0 | 10.8 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 28.2 | 23.3 | 33.3 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Alagoas | 33.7 | 24.2 | 43.9 | 0.001 | ↑ | 6.2 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 0.011 | ↑ | 154.9 | 110.0 | 209.3 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Bahia | 31.7 | 21.4 | 43.0 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 17.7 | 12.4 | 23.2 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 41.4 | 26.7 | 57.8 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Ceará | 11.4 | 9.8 | 13.1 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 2.0 | -3.0 | 7.3 | 0.405 | − | 17.9 | 13.9 | 22.0 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Maranhão | 21.1 | 15.6 | 26.8 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 18.3 | 12.9 | 24.1 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 24.2 | 14.3 | 35.1 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Paraíba | 15.6 | 12.5 | 18.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ | -3.8 | -8.1 | 0.7 | 0.091 | − | 24.1 | 21.3 | 27.0 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Pernambuco | 24.5 | 19.8 | 29.5 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 5.1 | 3.4 | 6.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 57.4 | 50.1 | 65.2 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Piauí | 17.0 | 10.5 | 23.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 13.9 | 11.3 | 16.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 19.3 | 10.2 | 29.2 | 0.001 | ↑ |
| Rio Grande do Norte | 16.7 | 13.1 | 20.4 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 15.5 | 11.5 | 19.6 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 19.3 | 12.7 | 26.4 | 0.001 | ↑ |
| Sergipe | 23.4 | 19.2 | 27.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 6.5 | 3.4 | 9.6 | 0.001 | ↑ | 80.7 | 54.7 | 111.2 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| North | 11.9 | 3.0 | 18.2 | 0.014 | ↑ | 2.0 | -0.6 | 11.6 | 0.122 | − | 19.1 | 7.5 | 20.6 | 0.004 | ↑ |
| Acre | 38.4 | 29.3 | 48.1 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 12.0 | 5.5 | 18.8 | 0.002 | ↑ | 167.6 | 123.6 | 220.3 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Amazonas | 2.4 | -3.4 | 8.7 | 0.391 | − | -8.0 | -14.3 | -1.1 | 0.029 | ↓ | 19.3 | 0.7 | 41.3 | 0.045 | − |
| Amapá | 56.4 | 26.1 | 94.0 | 0.001 | ↑ | 56.4 | 26.1 | 94.0 | 0.001 | ↑ | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pará | 12.2 | 8.6 | 15.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | -4.7 | -8.7 | -0.6 | 0.031 | ↓ | 44.4 | 37.6 | 51.6 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Rondônia | 7.3 | -2.1 | 17.7 | 0.123 | − | -9.3 | -15.4 | -2.8 | 0.011 | ↓ | 9.7 | -0.8 | 21.4 | 0.071 | − |
| Roraima | 18.6 | 11.7 | 25.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 18.6 | 11.7 | 25.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tocantins | 4.3 | -4.1 | 13.4 | 0.293 | − | 2.2 | -2.7 | 7.3 | 0.357 | − | 5.4 | -6.1 | 18.3 | 0.339 | − |
| Southeast | 12.9 | 8.4 | 17.6 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 6.7 | 4.1 | 9.4 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 15.0 | 9.5 | 20.8 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Espírito Santo | 6.3 | 1.7 | 11.2 | 0.012 | ↑ | -2.9 | -4.9 | -0.9 | 0.011 | ↓ | 8.0 | 2.3 | 14.0 | 0.011 | ↑ |
| Minas Gerais | 12.9 | 9.6 | 16.2 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 10.4 | 8.6 | 12.2 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 14.1 | 9.7 | 18.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Rio de Janeiro | 3.5 | -1.6 | 9.0 | 0.164 | − | 0.4 | -0.7 | 1.6 | 0.43 | − | 4.5 | -2.3 | 11.8 | 0.183 | − |
| São Paulo | 20.6 | 14.5 | 14.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 8.4 | 2.8 | 14.8 | 0.008 | ↑ | 24.8 | 18.4 | 14.8 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| South | 15.8 | 11.7 | 20.0 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 5.6 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 0.015 | ↑ | 22.5 | 18.1 | 27.0 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Paraná | 22.9 | 20.0 | 25.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 9.4 | 7.4 | 11.4 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 31.6 | 29.7 | 33.5 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Rio Grande do Sul | 11.1 | 7.1 | 12.9 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 3.4 | 2.2 | 4.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 17.6 | 10.9 | 24.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Santa Catarina | 12.9 | 6.3 | 20.0 | 0.001 | ↑ | 5.8 | -12.7 | 28.2 | 0.535 | − | 15.5 | 9.6 | 21.7 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
| Brazil | 15.5 | 10.9 | 20.3 | < 0.001 | ↑ | 8.7 | 4.6 | 13.0 | 0.001 | ↑ | 19.2 | 13.7 | 24.8 | < 0.001 | ↑ |
APV annual percentage variation, LL lower limit, UL upper limit