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. 2023 Aug 31;228(Suppl 2):S117–S125. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiad287

Table 3.

Association Between Day 0 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 RNA Results and Subsequent Hospitalization/Death Through Day 28

Covariate and Comparison Placebo mAb-Treated
No. Event Frequency (%) Risk Ratio (95% CI) P Value No. Event Frequency (%) Risk Ratio (95% CI) P Value
Day 0 anterior nasal RNA 524 1491
 <LLoQ 4/147 (2.7%) Ref 4/270 (1.5%) Ref
 2–3.99 log10 copies/mL 8/110 (7.3%) 2.67 (0.83–8.65) .10 9/291 (3.1%) 2.09 (0.65–6.70) .22
 4–5.99 log10 copies/mL 12/134 (9.0%) 3.29 (1.09–9.96) .0350 16/416 (3.8%) 2.60 (0.88–7.68) .0848
 ≥6 log10 copies/mL 21/133 (15.8%) 5.80 (2.04–16.47) <.001 20/514 (3.9%) 2.63 (0.91–7.61) .0751
 Per 1 log10 copies/mL above LLoQ higher 1.24 (1.04–1.49) .0167 0.97 (0.84–1.13) .72
Day 0 blood plasma RNA 468 1461
 Not detected 18/379 (4.7%) Ref 18/1073 (1.7%) Ref
 Detected, <LLoQ 14/85 (16.5%) 3.47 (1.80–6.69) <.001 24/369 (6.5%) 3.88 (2.13–7.06) <.001
 2–3.99 log10 copies/mL 3/4 (75.0%) 15.79 (7.66–32.56) <.001 6/19 (31.6%) 18.82 (8.42–42.10) <.001

“Not detected” represents results <1.4 log10 copies/mL; “Detected, <LLoQ” represents results 1.4–1.99 log10 copies/mL.

Event outcome was hospitalization or death through day 28. For the quantitative day 0 plasma RNA model involving placebo recipients, the 95% CIs and 2-sided Wald test P values are from Poisson regression due to convergence issues with log-binomial regression. All other 95% CIs and 2-sided Wald test P values are from log-binomial regression.

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; LLoQ, lower limit of quantification; mAb, monoclonal antibody.