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. 2023 Mar 16;146(9):3816–3825. doi: 10.1093/brain/awad089

Table 4.

Prognostic factors for an unfavourable outcome (GOS score of 1–4) 30 days after discharge in adults with viral meningitis

Prognostic factor Unfavourable outcome Modified Poisson regression
n/N (%) Crude RR (95% CI) Adjusteda RR (95% CI)
Age, years
 18–30 71/417 (17) Reference Reference
 31–50 95/446 (21) 1.25 (0.95–1.65) 1.30 (0.98–1.74)
 ≥51 50/192 (26) 1.53 (1.11–2.10) 1.26 (0.85–1.87)
Sex
 Male 82/486 (17) Reference Reference
 Female 134/569 (24) 1.40 (1.09–1.79) 1.34 (1.03–1.75)
Immunosuppression
 No 193/973 (20) Reference Reference
 Yes 23/82 (28) 1.41 (0.98–2.05) 1.19 (0.76–1.86)
Duration of symptoms, days
 0–1 78/396 (20) Reference Reference
 ≥2 137/655 (21) 1.06 (0.83–1.36) 1.05 (0.80–1.37)
Triad of signs and symptomsb
 No 144/690 (21) Reference Reference
 Yes 50/259 (19) 0.93 (0.69–1.23) 0.88 (0.66–1.17)
CSF leucocyte count, cells/µl
 0–100 87/381 (23) Reference Reference
 101–500 98/502 (20) 0.85 (0.66–1.10) 0.81 (0.60–1.09)
 ≥501 31/172 (18) 0.79 (0.55–1.14) 0.85 (0.54–1.32)
CSF protein, g/l
 0.0–0.5 77/392 (20) Reference Reference
 0.6–1.0 94/424 (22) 1.13 (0.86–1.48) 1.08 (0.81–1.45)
 ≥1.1 44/213 (21) 1.05 (0.76–1.46) 0.90 (0.59–1.38)
Aetiology
 Unidentified pathogen 49/281 (17) Reference Reference
 EVs 82/416 (20) 1.13 (0.82–1.56) 1.34 (0.95–1.88)
 HSV-2 38/166 (23) 1.31 (0.90–1.92) 1.55 (1.00–2.41)
 VZV 40/162 (25) 1.42 (0.98–2.05) 1.51 (0.98–2.33)
 Miscellaneous viruses 7/30 (23) 1.34 (0.67–2.69) 1.37 (0.61–3.05)
Dexamethasone for bacterial meningitis
 No 138/675 (20) Reference Reference
 Yes 77/376 (20) 1.00 (0.78–1.28) 1.16 (0.88–1.54)

Owing to missing values, 922 episodes were used in the adjusted analysis.

Adjusted for all prognostic factors listed in the table.

Triad of headache, neck stiffness and hyperacusis or photophobia.