Table 1.
Variable | Transition probabilities used in the Markov model | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Probability | Standard Error | Distribution | Source | |
Death (HF) | 0.0089 | 0.001 | Beta | [51] |
Death (in hospitals) | 0.037 | 0.004 | Beta | [52] |
Death (in ICUs) | 0.11 | 0.01 | Beta | [53] |
Ward Hospitalization | 0.156 | 0.05 | Beta | [54] |
ICU Hospitalization | 0.147 | 0.02 | Beta | [54] |
Rehospitalization within 30 days |
0.199(enalapril/candesartan) 0.088 (valsartan) |
0.02 0.006 |
Beta Beta |
[55] [55] |
Effects (risk ratio) of valsartan compares to enalapril (95% CI) | ||||
Target of effect | Risk ratio | Distribution | Source | |
Ward Hospitalization | 0.77 (0.67–0.89) | 0.06 | Log-Normal | [38] |
ICU admission | 0.82 (0.72–0.94) | 0.06 | Log-Normal | [38] |
Death | 0.84 (0.76–0.93) | 0.04 | Log-Normal | [38] |
Effects (risk ratio) of candesartan (95% CI) | ||||
Ward Hospitalization | 0.68 (0.57–0.81) | 0.06 | Log-Normal | [38] |
ICU admission | 1 | [38] | ||
Mortality | 0.87 (0.74–1.03) | 0.14 | Log-Normal | [38] |
Yearly utility scores for HF patients | ||||
Model state | Utility scores (lower bound- upper bound) | Standard Error | Distribution | Source |
No hospitalization | 0.85 | 0.15 | Beta | [40] |
Hospitalization | 0.828 | 0.14 | Beta | [40] |
The cost items of valsartan, enalapril and candesartan (USD) | ||||
Cost items | Costs (USD) | Standard Error | Distribution | Source |
Ward hospitalization | 239 | 190 | Gamma | [43, 44] |
ICU | 1,112 | 873 | Gamma | [43, 44] |
CCU | 556 | 436 | Gamma | [43, 44] |
The average cost of hospitalization for HF per month | 9,312 | 6,392 | Gamma | [43, 44] |
Valsartan | 6.4 | 2.56 | Gamma | Experts’ opinion |
Candesartan | 10.2 | 3.3 | Gamma | [38] |
Enalapril | 4.3 | 1.02 | Gamma | Experts’ opinion |