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. 2023 Aug 2;24:101481. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2023.101481

Table 2.

Weighted distribution of baseline characteristics for the study population, CCHS 2015-16.

Characteristic N Percent 10- year DPoRT risk Predicted diabetes cases, 2025
Overall 22,394,011 100 9.7 2,177,738
Health sufficiency diabetes risk*
 <16.5% 18,397,958 82 6.2 1,136,574
 ≥16.5% 3,996,053 18 26.1 1,041,164
Health equality diabetes risk**
 Low 9,302,101 41 2.5 232,428
 Medium 9,095,857 41 9.9 904,145
 High 3,996,053 18 26.1 1,041,164
Gender
 Women 11,297,217 50 8.2 926,141
 Men 11,096,794 50 11.3 1,251,597
Age
 <45 10,341,848 46 4.7 481,770
 45-64 8,216,239 37 13.5 1,111,142
 ≥65 3,835,925 17 15.3 584,825
BMI
 <23 kg/m2 6,264,712 28 3.3 207,289
 23-24 kg/m2 4,175,076 19 5.9 248,038
 25-29 kg/m2 7,740,505 35 10.6 820,648
 30-34 kg/m2 2,989,928 13 19.1 571,636
 ≥35 kg/m2 1,223,791 5 27.0 330,127
Hypertension
 No 18,898,249 84 7.7 1,448,719
 Yes 3,495,763 16 20.85 729,019
Heart disease
 No 21,529,635 96 9.3 2,003,320
 Yes 840,483 4 20.4 171,482
Ethnicity
 Non-white 5,232,304 23 11.6 606,881
 White 17,161,708 77 9.2 1,570,857
Immigrant
 No 16,575,814 74 9.2 1,526,799
 Yes 5,808,398 26 11.2 650,053
Current smoker
 No 18,150,605 81 9.8 1,780,783
 Yes 4,214,538 19 9.4 393,849
Education
 Less than high school 2,155,824 10 15.0 323,657
 High school grad 4,365,443 19 12.3 534,605
 Trades/certificate below Bachelor's 8,479,506 38 9.1 768,956
 Bachelor's degree or above 7,393,239 33 7.5 550,521
Income
 Quintile 1- low 3,849,408 17 10.7 412,529
 Quintile 2 4,061,715 18 10.5 426,468
 Quintile 3 4,433,547 20 9.9 438,267
 Quintile 4 4,866,658 22 9.2 449,075
 Quintile 5 - high 5,182,683 23 8.7 451,400

*In the health sufficiency diabetes risk scenarios, diabetes risk is dichotomized into above or below the empirically-determined DPoRT high-risk threshold (≥16.5%), where the equity goal is to reduce diabetes risk below that threshold in the entire population.

**In the health equality diabetes risk scenario, diabetes risk was categorized into low (<5% DPoRT risk), medium (5%-<16.5% DPoRT risk) and high (≥16.5% DPoRT risk) diabetes risk using previously defined risk groups (Rivera et al., 2015; Rosella et al., 2014) to enable weight loss interventions to be targeted to medium and high-risk groups.

Health sufficiency: equity is ‘achieved’ when diabetes risk in the entire population is reduced below a threshold (i.e., 16.5%), beyond which remaining inequalities are not considered ethically important to eliminate. Health equality: equity is ‘achieved’ when average diabetes risk is equalized to that observed in the lowest diabetes risk group. Social-health sufficiency: equity is ‘achieved’ when diabetes risk co-varying with lower educational attainment is reduced below a threshold (i.e., 16.5%), beyond which remaining inequalities are not considered ethically important to eliminate. Social-health equality: equity is ‘achieved’ when diabetes risk among those with lower educational attainment is equalized to that observed with higher educational attainment.