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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Estuar Coast Shelf Sci. 2022 Dec;279:1–14. doi: 10.1016/j.ecss.2022.108146

Table 3.

Area (km2) of Pensacola Bay that exceeds a given Δσt (kg m−3) during spring 2014, summer 2016, and summer 2017 for present-day and T+D+SLR+W models. Percent of the total Bay area (350 km2) is also reported for present-day and T+D+SLR+W models in parenthesis. Analysis does not include grid cells within Gulf of Mexico or Santa Rosa Sound.

DATE MODEL Vertical Density Stratification Δσt (kg m−3)
5 10 12 15 16 17 18

Mar 15 – Jun 30, 2014 present-day 232 (66%) 121 (34%) 92.9 (27%) 43.3 (12%) 26.1 (7.5%) 2.97 (0.8%) 0.00
T 236 123 96.4 45.5 30.0 6.53 0.00
D 226 118 93.4 47.0 32.4 6.88 0.43
SLR 280 144 108 53.6 34.6 10.8 0.00
W10 222 115 87.9 40.6 19.8 0.77 0.00
T+D+SLR+W10 270 (77%) 136 (39%) 107 (30%) 56.8 (16%) 39.1 (11%) 17.5 (5.0%) 0.00
T+D+SLR+W30 253 (72%) 125 (36%) 96.8 (28%) 44.4 (13%) 29.1 (8.3%) 8.31 (2.4%) 0.00
T+D+SLR+W50 228 (65%) 111 (32%) 84.6 (24%) 38.4 (11%) 17.6 (5.0%) 0.34 (0.1%) 0.00
Jun 1 – Aug 31, 2016 present-day 190 (54%) 46.3 (13%) 2.04 (0.6%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
T 191 51.2 2.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
D 192 57.6 8.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SLR 213 53.4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
W10 178 36.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
T+D+SLR+W10 206 (59%) 58.3 (17%) 3.20 (1.0%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
T+D+SLR+W30 187 (53%) 32.5 (9.3%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
T+D+SLR+W50 167 (48%) 13.9 (4.0%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jun 1 – Aug 31, 2017 present-day 215 (62%) 108 (31%) 77.5 (22%) 6.64 (1.9%) 0.00 0.00 0.00
T 218 110 79.1 7.90 0.00 0.00 0.00
D 212 107 78.6 11.6 0.00 0.00 0.00
SLR 260 123 86.5 10.4 0.00 0.00 0.00
W10 196 97.7 67.6 1.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
T+D+SLR+W10 247 (71%) 118 (34%) 84.8 (24%) 11.7 (3.3%) 0.00 0.00 0.00
T+D+SLR+W30 217 (62%) 101 (29%) 65.9 (19%) 0.68 (0.2%) 0.00 0.00 0.00
T+D+SLR+W50 182 (52%) 85.1 (24%) 46.6 (13%) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00