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. 2023 Jul 27;7(9):1503–1514. doi: 10.1038/s41559-023-02145-2

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Extended Data Fig. 4 — Precision-recall curves for the S* statistic as implemented in sstar³¹ and for hmmix. Main model refers to a model taking the weighted median posteriors from the ABC-based null demography presented herein (Extended Data Fig. 2A). Worst model refers to a model taking the maximum value of the 95% credible interval for all ancestral Ne parameters from the ABC-based null demography. For the S* statistic we consider the target population as alternately eastern lowland or mountain gorillas, eg Main Model EL. Worst mis-specified is where we generate simulated data under the worst model but run the S* analysis using the ‘quantile’ or outlier values inferred under the main model. Skov=hmmix method, EL=eastern lowland gorillas, M=mountain gorillas.