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. 2023 Sep 15;13:33–57. doi: 10.2147/BLCTT.S272703

Table 3.

Various Risk Stratification Models of Smoldering Multiple Myeloma Progression

Risk Stratification Models of Smoldering Multiple Myeloma
Mayo 20/20/2 Score Model
Risk factors Score
Bone marrow plasma cells >20% 1
M-protein> 2 g/dl 1
FLC ratio >20 1
Risk category Progression Risk
0 - Low 10% at 2 years
23% at 5 years
1 - Intermediate 26% at 2 years
47% at 5 years
>2 - High 47% at 2 years
82% at 5 years
IMWG score model
Risk factors Score
FLC ratio (involved to uninvolved)
0–10 0
>10–25 2
>25–40 3
>40 5
M-protein level (g/dl)
0–1.5 0
>1.5–3 3
>3 4
Bone marrow plasma cells in %
0–15 0
>15–20 2
>20–30 3
>30–40 5
>40 6
FISH t (4;14), t (14;16), +1q, del 13q, monosomy 13 2
Risk category Progression Risk
0–4 – Low 4% at 2 years
20% at 5 years
5–8 – Low-intermediate 26% at 2 years
55% at 5 years
9–12 Intermediate 51% at 2 years
70% at 5 years
>12 – High 73% at 2 years
85% at 5 years
PETHEMA score model
Risk factors Score
≥95% aberrant plasma cells in bone marrow by multiparameter flow cytometry 1
Presence of immunoparesis 1
Risk category (score) Median TTP
0 NR
1 73 months
2 23 months