Extended Data Fig. 5. Coral cover change following the 2015 marine heatwave on positive versus negative coral cover trajectory reefs.

a, Coral cover on positive (blue; n = 10) and negative (red; n = 8) trajectory reefs surveyed (see Fig. 2b in main manuscript) prior to (2014) and 1-year following (2016) the marine heatwave. b, Positive trajectory reefs have a higher mean coral cover both prior to, and to a lesser extent, following the marine heatwave compared to negative trajectory reefs. c, Positive trajectory reefs experience increased absolute coral cover loss following the marine heatwave (underlying relationship shown in panel d), but this difference is largely absent once starting coral cover condition is accounted for (underlying relationship shown in panel e).