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. 2023 Jun 9;49(5):2193–2202. doi: 10.1007/s00068-023-02286-w

Table 5.

AUC values with 95% CI for long-term mortality and poor outcome, for each scale and rater. The results from the comparison with the GCS are also shown

Rater Senior Consultant Junior Consultant Resident Nurse
AUC 95% CI p AUC 95% CI p AUC 95% CI p AUC 95% CI p
6-Month mortality
 GCS 0.923a 0.845–0.969 0.918a 0.838–0.966 0.910a 0.828–0.961 0.939a 0.865–0.979
 SMS 0.852b 0.759–0.919 0.003* 0.857b 0.765–0.923 0.040* 0.846b 0.752–0.915 0.062 0.891b 0.806–0.948 0.097
 MGMR 0.826b 0.730–0.900  < 0.001* 0.853b 0.760–0.920 0.051 0.839b 0.745–0.910 0.031* 0.864b 0.773–0.929 0.017*
AVPU 0.833b 0.737–0.904  < 0.001* 0.854b 0.762–0.921 0.017* 0.853b 0.760–0.920 0.047* 0.899b 0.816–0.954 0.147
6-Month mRS 3–6
 GCS 0.947a 0.876–0.984 0.959a 0.892–0.990 0.960a 0.895–0.991 0.962a 0.896–0.991
 SMS 0.849b 0.756–0.917 0.002* 0.885b 0.799–0.944 0.009* 0.891b 0.805–0.948 0.021* 0.893b 0.807–0.949 0.005*
 MGMR 0.823b 0.726–0.897  < 0.001* 0.884b 0.797–0.943 0.010* 0.874b 0.785–0.936 0.005* 0.875b 0.786–0.937 0.001*
AVPU 0.848b 0.755–0.916  < 0.001* 0.881b 0.793–0.941 0.001* 0.881b 0.793–0.941 0.002* 0.913a 0.833–0.963 0.022*
6-Month GOSE 1–4
GCS 0.955a 0.888–0.988 0.970a 0.908–0.995 0.971a 0.910–0.995 0.969a 0.907–0.994
SMS 0.842b 0.747–0.912  < 0.001* 0.907a 0.825–0.959 0.025* 0.863b 0.796–0.942 0.002* 0.899b 0.815–0.954 0.005*
MGMR 0.815b 0.717–0.891  < 0.001* 0.899b 0.815–0.954 0.020* 0.864b 0.775–0.930  < 0.001* 0.890b 0.805–0.948 0.003*
AVPU 0.843b 0.749–0.913  < 0.001* 0.898b 0.814–0.953 0.004* 0.865b 0.787–0.937  < 0.001* 0.931a 0.855–0.974 0.047*

AUC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AVPU alert/verbal/painful/unresponsive scale, CI confidence interval, GCS Glasgow coma scale, GOSE Glasgow outcome scale-extended, mRS modified Rankin scale, MGMR modified GCS motor response, p p values for the comparison with the GCS, SMS simplified motor scale

*Denotes statistically significant difference (p < 0.050)

aDenotes excellent predictive validity

bDenotes very good predictive validity

cDenotes good predictive validity