Table 2.

The effect of moves into v. out of employment on likelihood of CMD (direct effect blocks pathway via income)

	Becoming employed		Becoming unemployed
	Total effect (95% CI)	Direct effect (95% CI)	Total effect (95% CI)	Direct effect (95% CI)
Odds ratio	0.65 (0.58–0.72)	0.68 (0.61–0.75)	1.73 (1.61–1.85)	1.61 (1.49–1.73)
% change	−6.35% (−7.83 to −4.86)	−5.79% (−7.33 to −4.24)	7.42% (6.38–8.47)	6.30% (5.15–7.46)
Unexp prev.	29.41% (28.97–29.85)	29.62% (29.16–30.08)	16.43% (16.21–16.64)	16.51% (16.27–16.76)
PAF	−12.18%	−11.19%	18.32%	15.90%
% mediation	8.77% (0.36–17.19)		15.10% (6.81–23.39)
	n = 18 353; obs = 51 224		n = 36 610; obs = 150 932

PAF = population attributable fraction