Table 3.
Discrimination of the models in predicting gastric intestinal metaplasia (GIM) and extensive GIM the in development and validation cohorts, reported as area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and 95% confidence interval (CI) for 3 models: 1) baseline model containing sex, age, race/ethnicity, and smoking status, 2) H. pylori only model, and 3) expanded model that included H. pylori and baseline model
MEDVAMC (development) | CHI-St. Luke’s (validation) | Pooled MEDVAMC & CHI-St. Luke’s | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUROC | 95 % CI | AUROC | 95 % CI | AUROC | 95% CI | |
GIM models | ||||||
Baseline model | 0.67 | 0.64–0.70 | 0.59 | 0.54–0.64 | 0.70 | 0.68–0.72 |
H. pylori only model | 0.66 | 0.63–0.68 | 0.57 | 0.53–0.60 | 0.64 | 0.62–0.66 |
Baseline + H. pylori | 0.73 | 0.71–0.76 | 0.62 | 0.57–0.66 | 0.74 | 0.71–0.76 |
Extensive GIM models | ||||||
Baseline model | 0.77 | 0.72–0.81 | 0.69 | 0.62–0.78 | 0.79 | 0.75–0.83 |
H. pylori only model | 0.69 | 0.64–0.73 | 0.59 | 0.52–0.65 | 0.67 | 0.63–0.71 |
Baseline + H. pylori | 0.82 | 0.78–0.85 | 0.71 | 0.63–0.79 | 0.82 | 0.78–0.85 |