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. 2023 Oct 3;23:1906. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-16662-z

Table 3.

Projected top 50 highest hypertension prevalence countries/territories for 2040 (Both sexes) and their income groups

Income group* Overall rank Country 2015 2040 ∆%b Lc Uc Income group Overall rank Country 2015 2040 ∆%b Lc Uc
Low-income Lower-middle-income
1 1 Chad 32.9 34.9 6.2 32.6 37.2 1 6 Pakistan 30.5 32.9 7.7 31.8 33.9
2 2 Burundi 29.2 34.9 19.6 33.6 36.1 2 10 Nepal 29.4 32.2 9.4 30.8 33.4
3 3 Niger 33.4 34 1.8 32.4 35.5 3 18 Papua New Guinea 25.6 30.6 19.6 29.6 31.5
4 4 Mali 32.6 33.2 1.7 31.4 34.8 4 20 Comoros 27.9 30.5 9.2 29 31.9
5 5 Malawi 28.9 32.9 13.7 31.6 34.1 5 24 Eswatini 29.8 29.4 -1.3 25.6 33.1
6 7 Uganda 27.3 32.8 20.1 31.9 33.6 6 25 Lesotho 29 29.4 1.3 28.1 30.8
7 8 Burkina Faso 32.6 32.7 0.3 30.2 35.1 7 26 Tanzania 27.3 29 6.2 28.1 29.9
8 9 Afghanistan 30.6 32.4 5.8 31.1 33.7 8 27 Timor-Leste 27.6 28.8 4.4 27.2 30.5
9 11 Somalia 32.9 31.9 -3.1 29.5 34.3 9 28 Micronesia 25 28.8 15.3 27.3 30.3
10 12 Eritrea 29.1 31.6 8.7 33 50 10 30 Cambodia 26.1 28.7 9.8 26.1 31
11 13 Yemen 30.7 31.6 2.9 28.3 34.9 11 31 Bhutan 28.1 28.6 1.9 27.2 30
12 16 Sudan 30.2 31.1 3 29.1 33 12 32 Tajikistan 26.1 28.5 9.1 26.4 30.6
13 17 Central African Republic 31.2 30.7 -1.6 29.1 32.3 13 33 Kenya 26.7 28.4 6.4 27 29.8
14 21 Guinea 30.3 30.3 0.1 28.7 32 14 41 Angola 29.7 27 -9.1 24.9 29.2
15 22 Mozambique 29.1 30 3 28 31.9 15 43 India 25.8 26.8 4 26 27.6
16 34 Rwanda 26.7 28.2 5.6 25.2 30.9 16 44 Senegal 30.2 26.7 -11.5 24.4 29.1
17 35 Madagascar 28.1 28.1 0.1 26.9 29.5 17 45 Vanuatu 24.2 26.7 10.3 25.1 28.4
18 37 Guinea-Bissau 30.3 27.7 -8.7 25.6 29.7 18 46 Kyrgyzstan 26.7 26.7 0 25.4 28
19 40 Congo, the Dem. Rep 28.5 27.4 -3.8 25.8 29.2 19 50 Zimbabwe 28.2 26 -7.6 24.3 28
20 48 Togo 28.9 26.2 -9.4 24 28.3 Upper-middle-income
21 49 Sierra Leone 30.3 26.1 -13.9 23.1 29.1 1 15 Bosnia and Herzegovina 30.8 31.3 1.8 26.5 35.8
High-income 2 23 Saint Lucia 27.1 29.6 9.1 27.3 31.6
1 14 Croatia 32.4 31.5 -2.7 28.1 35.5 3 29 Moldova 29.8 28.7 -3.8 25.6 32
2 19 Trinidad and Tobago 25.8 30.5 18.1 29.1 31.8 4 36 Tonga 23.7 28.1 18.5 26.1 30
3 38 Romania 30 27.5 -8.3 24.7 30.1 5 39 Equatorial Guinea 28.4 27.4 -3.4 24.7 30.3
4 47 Slovenia 30.5 26.3 -13.8 23.1 29.8 6 42 Georgia 26.3 26.9 2.1 24.6 29.4

aRaised BP (SBP >  = 140 OR DBP >  = 90) (%, age-standardised estimate), 18 + years

bPercentage change in hypertension prevalence from 2015 to 2040

cLower and upper confidence intervals (95%) for the 2040 forecast

*2022–2023 World Bank country classifications by income level