TABLE 1.

Posterior median values (with 95% credible intervals) for the parameters of the CJS model including summer wind speeds.

Parameter	Copeland	Skomer Island
α	0.96 (0.94 to 0.97)	0.94 (0.91 to 0.96)
δ 1	0.25 (0.21 to 0.28)	0.69 (0.65 to 0.73)
δ 2	0.16 (0.14 to 0.19)	0.23 (0.19 to 0.27)
β	−0.19 (−0.61 to 0.22)	−0.23 (−0.61 to 0.16)

Note: Intercept values (geometric mean values) of survival (α) and recapture probabilities for individuals recaptured (δ ₁) and not recaptured (δ ₂) the year before, as well as the coefficient of the linear term with summer wind speeds (β).