TABLE 2.

Imputed residual variance of the random effects from the CJS models excluding (total) and including (residual) wind speed (W).

Model	Variances	Synchronous variance (${\sigma }_{\gamma }^2$)	Asynchronous variance (${\sigma }_{\epsilon }^2$)	Interclass correlation (ICC)
$\varphi \left({\alpha }_c+{\gamma }_t+{\epsilon }_{\varphi ,c,t}\right)p\left({\delta }_{c,k}+{\epsilon }_{p,c,t}\right)$	Total	1.05 (0.47, 2.18)	0.13 (0.03, 0.49)	0.89 (0.55, 0.98)
$\varphi \left({\alpha }_c+{\beta }_c{W}_t+{\gamma }_t+{\epsilon }_{\varphi ,c,t}\right)p\left({\delta }_{c,k}+{\epsilon }_{p,c,t}\right)$	Residual	1.02 (0.44, 2.14)	0.16 (0.03, 0.54)	0.87 (0.53, 0.98)

Note: The amount of synchronous variation in rates of adult survival for Manx shearwaters breeding on Copeland and Skomer Island (i.e., the intra‐class correlation, ICC) is also shown.