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. 2023 Oct 4;131(10):107001. doi: 10.1289/EHP11538

Table 2.

Obesity-related cancer HRs and 95% CIs based on neighborhood walkability (NW) in the NYUWHS, years 1985–2016 (n=13,240).

Cancer subtype NW Q1 [0.8, 0.9 (Ref)] NW Q2 [0.9, 3.3 HR (95% CI)] NW Q3 [3.3, 8.1 HR (95% CI)] NW Q4 [8.1, 44.6 HR (95% CI)] Per SD (continuous NW) HR (95% CI)a
Overall (any first incident obesity-related cancer)
 Cases (n) 614 603 619 575 2,411
 Model 1b Ref 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) 0.93 (0.83, 1.04) 0.76 (0.68, 0.86) 0.90 (0.86, 0.94)
 Model 2c Ref 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) 0.92 (0.81, 1.03) 0.74 (0.65, 0.85) 0.89 (0.85, 0.93)
 Model 3d Ref 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) 0.92 (0.82, 1.04) 0.77 (0.68, 0.88) 0.90 (0.86, 0.94)
Postmenopausal breast cancere
 Cases (n) 336 311 311 311 1,269
 Model 1b Ref 0.88 (0.76, 1.03) 0.84 (0.72, 0.99) 0.73 (0.62, 0.86) 0.89 (0.84, 0.95)
 Model 2c Ref 0.89 (0.76, 1.05) 0.86 (0.72, 1.01) 0.73 (0.61, 0.87) 0.89 (0.84, 0.95)
 Model 3d Ref 0.89 (0.76, 1.05) 0.86 (0.73, 1.02) 0.75 (0.63, 0.89) 0.90 (0.85, 0.96)
Colorectal cancer
 Cases (n) 88 83 90 82 343
 Model 1b Ref 0.88 (0.65, 1.19) 0.93 (0.69, 1.25) 0.82 (0.60, 1.13) 0.92 (0.82, 1.04)
 Model 2c Ref 0.87 (0.64, 1.18) 0.91 (0.66, 1.25) 0.79 (0.56, 1.11) 0.91 (0.80, 1.03)
 Model 3d Ref 0.87 (0.64, 1.19) 0.92 (0.67, 1.27) 0.83 (0.57, 1.17) 0.92 (0.82, 1.05)
Colon cancer
 Cases (n) 69 63 79 64 275
 Model 1b Ref 0.85 (0.60, 1.19) 1.04 (0.74, 1.44) 0.82 (0.58, 1.17) 0.94 (0.83, 1.07)
 Model 2c Ref 0.84 (0.59, 1.19) 1.01 (0.71, 1.43) 0.80 (0.54, 1.17) 0.92 (0.80, 1.06)
 Model 3d Ref 0.84 (0.59, 1.19) 1.03 (0.72, 1.46) 0.83 (0.57, 1.23) 0.94 (0.82, 1.08)
Rectal cancer
 Cases (n) 19 20 11 18 68
 Model 1b Ref 0.98 (0.52, 1.86) 0.52 (0.25, 1.11) 0.82 (0.42, 1.60) 0.87 (0.67, 1.14)
 Model 2c Ref 1.00 (0.53, 1.90) 0.52 (0.23, 1.15) 0.77 (0.36, 1.61) 0.86 (0.65, 1.14)
 Model 3d Ref 1.00 (0.53, 1.91) 0.53 (0.24, 1.17) 0.80 (0.38, 1.68) 0.86 (0.65, 1.15)
Cancer of the uterus and endometrium
 Cases (n) 71 68 75 68 282
 Model 1b Ref 0.96 (0.69, 1.34) 1.00 (0.72, 1.39) 0.80 (0.56, 1.13) 0.91 (0.80, 1.03)
 Model 2c Ref 0.93 (0.66, 1.31) 0.93 (0.66, 1.33) 0.71 (0.49, 1.04) 0.87 (0.76, 0.99)
 Model 3d Ref 0.93 (0.66, 1.30) 0.94 (0.66, 1.34) 0.77 (0.52, 1.12) 0.90 (0.79, 1.03)
Ovarian cancer
 Cases (n) 29 34 43 32 138
 Model 1b Ref 1.19 (0.72, 1.95) 1.43 (0.89, 2.31) 0.85 (0.51, 1.43) 0.85 (0.71, 1.02)
 Model 2c Ref 1.20 (0.72, 1.98) 1.48 (0.89, 2.46) 0.84 (0.48, 1.47) 0.82 (0.68, 0.99)
 Model 3d Ref 1.21 (0.73, 2.00) 1.50 (0.90, 2.49) 0.85 (0.48, 1.51) 0.83 (0.68, 1.00)
Pancreatic cancer
 Cases (n) 28 29 27 24 108
 Model 1b Ref 1.02 (0.60, 1.72) 0.95 (0.56, 1.64) 0.85 (0.48, 1.50) 0.92 (0.75, 1.13)
 Model 2c Ref 0.97 (0.57, 1.64) 0.83 (0.47, 1.48) 0.70 (0.38, 1.30) 0.86 (0.69, 1.08)
 Model 3d Ref 0.97 (0.57, 1.65) 0.86 (0.48, 1.52) 0.75 (0.40, 1.40) 0.88 (0.70, 1.11)
Multiple myeloma and malignant plasma cell neoplasms
 Cases (n) 17 26 20 10 73
 Model 1b Ref 1.41 (0.76, 2.62) 1.06 (0.55, 2.06) 0.55 (0.25, 1.24) 0.77 (0.58, 1.03)
 Model 2c Ref 1.25 (0.67, 2.33) 0.77 (0.38, 1.55) 0.38 (0.16, 0.91) 0.68 (0.49, 0.94)
 Model 3d Ref 1.26 (0.67, 2.34) 0.76 (0.38, 1.54) 0.40 (0.17, 0.94) 0.69 (0.50, 0.96)
Renal cancer
 Cases (n) 18 26 16 13 73
 Model 1b Ref 1.29 (0.70, 2.38) 0.73 (0.37, 1.46) 0.57 (0.27, 1.19) 0.80 (0.61, 1.05)
 Model 2c Ref 1.28 (0.69, 2.37) 0.74 (0.36, 1.54) 0.61 (0.27, 1.36) 0.83 (0.62, 1.11)
 Model 3d Ref 1.28 (0.69, 2.36) 0.74 (0.35, 1.53) 0.63 (0.28, 1.40) 0.85 (0.63, 1.14)
Thyroid cancer
 Cases (n) 16 15 17 22 70
 Model 1b Ref 0.95 (0.47, 1.93) 0.99 (0.50, 1.98) 0.98 (0.50, 1.92) 0.93 (0.73, 1.17)
 Model 2c Ref 1.07 (0.52, 2.19) 1.30 (0.62, 2.71) 1.43 (0.69, 2.97) 1.03 (0.80, 1.31)
 Model 3d Ref 1.07 (0.52, 2.18) 1.26 (0.60, 2.64) 1.35 (0.64, 2.81) 1.00 (0.78, 1.29)

Note: Cox proportional hazard (PH) models were implemented for neighborhood walkability as predictor of first incident obesity-related cancer adjusted for covariates. Missing observations for covariates alcohol (15.7%), smoking status (9.4%), education level (18.1%), and race/ethnicity (12.3%) were included in the models using multiple imputation with 10 iterations. Only cancer subtypes with a number of first obesity-related malignant cancer cases n>30 are shown in the table. A total of 316,783.5 person-years at risk were accrued throughout the study. BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; NYUWHS, New York University Women’s Health Study; Q, quartile; Ref, reference; SD, standard deviation.

a

Continuous neighborhood walkability variable scaled to the SD (SD=5.9).

b

Adjusting for baseline age, race/ethnicity, education level, smoking status, and ever moving residence at any time during the study follow-up.

c

Adjusting for covariates in model 1 and additionally for alcohol intake, menopausal status, parity, and percentage below the poverty level living in neighborhood.

d

Adjusting for model 2 covariates and additionally for potential mediators outdoor walking, baseline BMI, and BMI change (the difference between the second to last reported BMI before incident obesity-related cancer or end of follow-up and BMI at enrollment). Missing observations for outdoor walking (20.2%) were included in the models using multiple imputation with 10 iterations.

e

Breast cancer diagnosed after menopause. Twenty-one women had unknown menopausal status at breast cancer diagnosis that were treated as a postmenopausal diagnosis if age at diagnosis was >50 and treated as premenopausal if age at diagnosis was <50 years of age.