Table 2.
Cancer subtype | NW Q1 [, 0.9 (Ref)] | NW Q2 [0.9, 3.3 HR (95% CI)] | NW Q3 [3.3, 8.1 HR (95% CI)] | NW Q4 [8.1, 44.6 HR (95% CI)] | Per SD (continuous NW) HR (95% CI)a |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall (any first incident obesity-related cancer) | |||||
Cases () | 614 | 603 | 619 | 575 | 2,411 |
Model 1b | Ref | 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) | 0.93 (0.83, 1.04) | 0.76 (0.68, 0.86) | 0.90 (0.86, 0.94) |
Model 2c | Ref | 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) | 0.92 (0.81, 1.03) | 0.74 (0.65, 0.85) | 0.89 (0.85, 0.93) |
Model 3d | Ref | 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) | 0.92 (0.82, 1.04) | 0.77 (0.68, 0.88) | 0.90 (0.86, 0.94) |
Postmenopausal breast cancere | |||||
Cases () | 336 | 311 | 311 | 311 | 1,269 |
Model 1b | Ref | 0.88 (0.76, 1.03) | 0.84 (0.72, 0.99) | 0.73 (0.62, 0.86) | 0.89 (0.84, 0.95) |
Model 2c | Ref | 0.89 (0.76, 1.05) | 0.86 (0.72, 1.01) | 0.73 (0.61, 0.87) | 0.89 (0.84, 0.95) |
Model 3d | Ref | 0.89 (0.76, 1.05) | 0.86 (0.73, 1.02) | 0.75 (0.63, 0.89) | 0.90 (0.85, 0.96) |
Colorectal cancer | |||||
Cases () | 88 | 83 | 90 | 82 | 343 |
Model 1b | Ref | 0.88 (0.65, 1.19) | 0.93 (0.69, 1.25) | 0.82 (0.60, 1.13) | 0.92 (0.82, 1.04) |
Model 2c | Ref | 0.87 (0.64, 1.18) | 0.91 (0.66, 1.25) | 0.79 (0.56, 1.11) | 0.91 (0.80, 1.03) |
Model 3d | Ref | 0.87 (0.64, 1.19) | 0.92 (0.67, 1.27) | 0.83 (0.57, 1.17) | 0.92 (0.82, 1.05) |
Colon cancer | |||||
Cases () | 69 | 63 | 79 | 64 | 275 |
Model 1b | Ref | 0.85 (0.60, 1.19) | 1.04 (0.74, 1.44) | 0.82 (0.58, 1.17) | 0.94 (0.83, 1.07) |
Model 2c | Ref | 0.84 (0.59, 1.19) | 1.01 (0.71, 1.43) | 0.80 (0.54, 1.17) | 0.92 (0.80, 1.06) |
Model 3d | Ref | 0.84 (0.59, 1.19) | 1.03 (0.72, 1.46) | 0.83 (0.57, 1.23) | 0.94 (0.82, 1.08) |
Rectal cancer | |||||
Cases () | 19 | 20 | 11 | 18 | 68 |
Model 1b | Ref | 0.98 (0.52, 1.86) | 0.52 (0.25, 1.11) | 0.82 (0.42, 1.60) | 0.87 (0.67, 1.14) |
Model 2c | Ref | 1.00 (0.53, 1.90) | 0.52 (0.23, 1.15) | 0.77 (0.36, 1.61) | 0.86 (0.65, 1.14) |
Model 3d | Ref | 1.00 (0.53, 1.91) | 0.53 (0.24, 1.17) | 0.80 (0.38, 1.68) | 0.86 (0.65, 1.15) |
Cancer of the uterus and endometrium | |||||
Cases () | 71 | 68 | 75 | 68 | 282 |
Model 1b | Ref | 0.96 (0.69, 1.34) | 1.00 (0.72, 1.39) | 0.80 (0.56, 1.13) | 0.91 (0.80, 1.03) |
Model 2c | Ref | 0.93 (0.66, 1.31) | 0.93 (0.66, 1.33) | 0.71 (0.49, 1.04) | 0.87 (0.76, 0.99) |
Model 3d | Ref | 0.93 (0.66, 1.30) | 0.94 (0.66, 1.34) | 0.77 (0.52, 1.12) | 0.90 (0.79, 1.03) |
Ovarian cancer | |||||
Cases () | 29 | 34 | 43 | 32 | 138 |
Model 1b | Ref | 1.19 (0.72, 1.95) | 1.43 (0.89, 2.31) | 0.85 (0.51, 1.43) | 0.85 (0.71, 1.02) |
Model 2c | Ref | 1.20 (0.72, 1.98) | 1.48 (0.89, 2.46) | 0.84 (0.48, 1.47) | 0.82 (0.68, 0.99) |
Model 3d | Ref | 1.21 (0.73, 2.00) | 1.50 (0.90, 2.49) | 0.85 (0.48, 1.51) | 0.83 (0.68, 1.00) |
Pancreatic cancer | |||||
Cases () | 28 | 29 | 27 | 24 | 108 |
Model 1b | Ref | 1.02 (0.60, 1.72) | 0.95 (0.56, 1.64) | 0.85 (0.48, 1.50) | 0.92 (0.75, 1.13) |
Model 2c | Ref | 0.97 (0.57, 1.64) | 0.83 (0.47, 1.48) | 0.70 (0.38, 1.30) | 0.86 (0.69, 1.08) |
Model 3d | Ref | 0.97 (0.57, 1.65) | 0.86 (0.48, 1.52) | 0.75 (0.40, 1.40) | 0.88 (0.70, 1.11) |
Multiple myeloma and malignant plasma cell neoplasms | |||||
Cases () | 17 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 73 |
Model 1b | Ref | 1.41 (0.76, 2.62) | 1.06 (0.55, 2.06) | 0.55 (0.25, 1.24) | 0.77 (0.58, 1.03) |
Model 2c | Ref | 1.25 (0.67, 2.33) | 0.77 (0.38, 1.55) | 0.38 (0.16, 0.91) | 0.68 (0.49, 0.94) |
Model 3d | Ref | 1.26 (0.67, 2.34) | 0.76 (0.38, 1.54) | 0.40 (0.17, 0.94) | 0.69 (0.50, 0.96) |
Renal cancer | |||||
Cases () | 18 | 26 | 16 | 13 | 73 |
Model 1b | Ref | 1.29 (0.70, 2.38) | 0.73 (0.37, 1.46) | 0.57 (0.27, 1.19) | 0.80 (0.61, 1.05) |
Model 2c | Ref | 1.28 (0.69, 2.37) | 0.74 (0.36, 1.54) | 0.61 (0.27, 1.36) | 0.83 (0.62, 1.11) |
Model 3d | Ref | 1.28 (0.69, 2.36) | 0.74 (0.35, 1.53) | 0.63 (0.28, 1.40) | 0.85 (0.63, 1.14) |
Thyroid cancer | |||||
Cases () | 16 | 15 | 17 | 22 | 70 |
Model 1b | Ref | 0.95 (0.47, 1.93) | 0.99 (0.50, 1.98) | 0.98 (0.50, 1.92) | 0.93 (0.73, 1.17) |
Model 2c | Ref | 1.07 (0.52, 2.19) | 1.30 (0.62, 2.71) | 1.43 (0.69, 2.97) | 1.03 (0.80, 1.31) |
Model 3d | Ref | 1.07 (0.52, 2.18) | 1.26 (0.60, 2.64) | 1.35 (0.64, 2.81) | 1.00 (0.78, 1.29) |
Note: Cox proportional hazard (PH) models were implemented for neighborhood walkability as predictor of first incident obesity-related cancer adjusted for covariates. Missing observations for covariates alcohol (15.7%), smoking status (9.4%), education level (18.1%), and race/ethnicity (12.3%) were included in the models using multiple imputation with 10 iterations. Only cancer subtypes with a number of first obesity-related malignant cancer cases are shown in the table. A total of 316,783.5 person-years at risk were accrued throughout the study. BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; NYUWHS, New York University Women’s Health Study; Q, quartile; Ref, reference; SD, standard deviation.
Continuous neighborhood walkability variable scaled to the SD ().
Adjusting for baseline age, race/ethnicity, education level, smoking status, and ever moving residence at any time during the study follow-up.
Adjusting for covariates in model 1 and additionally for alcohol intake, menopausal status, parity, and percentage below the poverty level living in neighborhood.
Adjusting for model 2 covariates and additionally for potential mediators outdoor walking, baseline BMI, and BMI change (the difference between the second to last reported BMI before incident obesity-related cancer or end of follow-up and BMI at enrollment). Missing observations for outdoor walking (20.2%) were included in the models using multiple imputation with 10 iterations.
Breast cancer diagnosed after menopause. Twenty-one women had unknown menopausal status at breast cancer diagnosis that were treated as a postmenopausal diagnosis if age at diagnosis was and treated as premenopausal if age at diagnosis was years of age.