Fig. 3. Temporal reconstruction of effective population size of two Atlantic puffin populations across the past 2 million years.
(A) The demographic histories of the Spitsbergen (F. a. naumanni) and Røst (F. a. arctica) colonies throughout the past 2 million years were estimated with the program GONE (straight) and StairwayPlot2 (dashed). (B) Changes in the effective population size in the period spanning 10,000 to 2 million years ago were also determined with the programs PSMC and MSMC2. Red and blue periods represent climatic warm and cold periods, respectively. HGM, Arctic Holocene Glacial Minimum; LGM, Last Glacial Maximum. Periods I to V = regional and local cold periods on Spitsbergen reconstructed by multiple proxies (31).