Table 1. Association of species richness of breeding and wintering birds of Pakistan with climate, land-use change, water discharge in rivers, and human population density.
Species richness of breeding birds and wintering birds was modeled as a function of mean seasonal temperature, total seasonal precipitation, maximum water discharge, pastures, rainfed cropland, irrigated cropland and human population in a generalized least squares model while adding the spatial covariance structure in the variance-covariance matrix. We also added interaction terms between mean seasonal temperature, total seasonal precipitation and rainfed cropland. All variables are averaged over 0.5 × 0.5° resolution. Variables were kept in their original units for interpretation. All significant values are shown in bold.
| Breeding birds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | Std. error | t value | P-value | |
| Mean seasonal temperature (°C) | 9.4133 | ±2.74 | 3.42 | <0.001 |
| Total seasonal precipitation (mm) | 15.18 | ±2.95 | 5.14 | <0.001 |
| Maximum water discharge from rivers (m3s−1) | −0.10 | ±0.43 | −0.23 | 0.81 |
| Pastures (%) | 0.68 | ±0.77 | 0.88 | 0.37 |
| Rainfed cropland (%) | 4.72 | ±1.09 | 4.30 | <0.001 |
| Irrigated cropland (%) | 0.73 | ±1.08 | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| Human population | −0.100 | ±0.82 | −0.12 | 0.85 |
| Temperature:precipitation | 4.04 | 1.42 | 2.83 | 0.004 |
| Temperature:rainfed cropland | −4.66 | 1.54 | −3.02 | 0.002 |
| Precipitation:rainfed cropland | −1.14 | 0.96 | −1.18 | 0.23 |
| Temperature:precipitation:rainfed cropland | 1.03 | 0.83 | 1.24 | 0.21 |
| Wintering birds | ||||
| β | Std. error | t value | P-value | |
| Mean seasonal temperature (°C) | 20.26 | ±0.38 | 6.86 | <0.001 |
| Total seasonal precipitation (mm) | 11.19 | ±0.06 | 3.95 | <0.001 |
| Maximum water discharge from rivers (m3s−1) | 0.27 | ±0.00001 | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| Pastures (%) | 0.17 | ±15.49 | 0.13 | 0.89 |
| Rainfed cropland (%) | 4.06 | ±8.63 | 3.12 | 0.001 |
| Irrigated cropland (%) | 0.75 | ±4.95 | 0.70 | 0.48 |
| Human population | 0.01 | ±0.000001 | 0.21 | 0.83 |
| Temperature:precipitation | 3.47 | 1.42 | 2.45 | 0.01 |
| Temperature:rainfed cropland | −2.65 | 1.66 | −1.59 | 0.11 |
| Precipitation:rainfed cropland | −0.63 | 0.92 | −0.68 | 0.49 |
| Temperature:precipitation:rainfed cropland | 1.81 | 0.95 | 1.90 | 0.05 |