Table 3.
Risk of MS and ambient UVR exposure by age-specific period and season.
Age | Ambient Winter UVR | No. cases | HR | 95%CI | Ambient Summer UVR | No. cases | HR | 95%CI | Ambient Annual UVR | No. cases | HR | 95%CI | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lifetime Average | <22 | 44 | 2.00 | 1.21 | - | 3.30 | <185 | 45 | 1.25 | 0.77 | - | 2.03 | <103 | 39 | 1.50 | 0.91 | - | 2.49 |
22-31 | 46 | 1.80 | 1.10 | - | 2.95 | 185-195 | 33 | 0.96 | 0.57 | - | 1.61 | 103-112 | 40 | 1.22 | 0.74 | - | 2.01 | |
31-49 | 34 | 1.34 | 0.79 | - | 2.26 | 195-232 | 44 | 0.85 | 0.52 | - | 1.38 | 112-141 | 44 | 1.09 | 0.67 | - | 1.78 | |
>49 | 24 | Ref. | >232 | 26 | Ref. | >141 | 25 | Ref. | ||||||||||
p-trend | 0.004 | p-trend | 0.15 | p-trend | 0.03 | |||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||
≤12 | <22 | 56 | 1.59 | 0.95 | - | 2.67 | <185 | 56 | 1.18 | 0.73 | - | 1.90 | <103 | 52 | 1.26 | 0.78 | - | 2.06 |
22-31 | 41 | 1.17 | 0.68 | - | 2.00 | 185-195 | 40 | 0.88 | 0.53 | - | 1.46 | 103-112 | 46 | 0.93 | 0.57 | - | 1.53 | |
31-49 | 31 | 1.10 | 0.63 | - | 1.93 | 195-232 | 28 | 0.71 | 0.41 | - | 1.23 | 112-141 | 26 | 0.69 | 0.39 | - | 1.20 | |
>49 | 20 | Ref. | >232 | 24 | Ref. | >141 | 24 | Ref. | ||||||||||
p-trend | 0.02 | p-trend | 0.30 | p-trend | 0.09 | |||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||
13-19 | <22 | 55 | 1.55 | 0.94 | - | 2.57 | <185 | 52 | 1.19 | 0.73 | - | 1.96 | <103 | 50 | 1.46 | 0.88 | - | 2.44 |
22-31 | 40 | 1.13 | 0.67 | - | 1.93 | 185-195 | 41 | 0.98 | 0.59 | - | 1.64 | 103-112 | 44 | 1.07 | 0.64 | - | 1.81 | |
31-49 | 32 | 1.12 | 0.64 | - | 1.94 | 195-232 | 32 | 0.88 | 0.51 | - | 1.50 | 112-141 | 33 | 1.04 | 0.6 | - | 1.80 | |
>49 | 21 | Ref. | >232 | 23 | Ref. | >141 | 21 | Ref. | ||||||||||
p-trend | 0.03 | p-trend | 0.45 | p-trend | 0.16 | |||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||
20-39 | <22 | 44 | 1.57 | 0.97 | - | 2.53 | <185 | 43 | 1.05 | 0.67 | - | 1.65 | <103 | 43 | 1.32 | 0.84 | - | 2.08 |
22-31 | 40 | 1.35 | 0.83 | - | 2.21 | 185-195 | 37 | 1.03 | 0.65 | - | 1.63 | 103-112 | 38 | 1.02 | 0.64 | - | 1.62 | |
31-49 | 34 | 1.24 | 0.75 | - | 2.05 | 195-232 | 30 | 0.79 | 0.49 | - | 1.29 | 112-141 | 31 | 0.89 | 0.54 | - | 1.45 | |
>49 | 27 | Ref. | >232 | 35 | Ref. | >141 | 33 | Ref. | ||||||||||
p-trend | 0.05 | p-trend | 0.65 | p-trend | 0.24 | |||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||
40-64 | <22 | 35 | 1.31 | 0.79 | - | 2.15 | <185 | 32 | 1.15 | 0.68 | - | 1.94 | <103 | 31 | 1.38 | 0.81 | - | 2.35 |
22-31 | 23 | 0.87 | 0.50 | - | 1.51 | 185-195 | 19 | 0.85 | 0.47 | - | 1.55 | 103-112 | 25 | 1.03 | 0.59 | - | 1.81 | |
31-49 | 17 | 0.68 | 0.37 | - | 1.24 | 195-232 | 27 | 1.01 | 0.58 | - | 1.74 | 112-141 | 23 | 0.94 | 0.53 | - | 1.67 | |
>49 | 28 | Ref. | >232 | 25 | Ref. | >141 | 24 | Ref. | ||||||||||
p-trend | 0.61 | p-trend | 0.87 | p-trend | 0.74 |
MS: multiple sclerosis; UVR: ultraviolet radiation; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; USRT: US Radiologic Technologists.
All analyses adjusted for birth cohort (<1945, 1945-1950, 1950-1955 and >1955), race (White, non-White) and sex (male, female). Cox proportional hazards analysis using attained age as time scale. Exposure categories based on the distribution of doses for the USRT study population during the age period 20–39 years, the time closest, and prior, to the age at diagnosis for multiple sclerosis. Participants missing UVR data for one or more addresses are excluded. Categorical values modeled as continuous for trend tests. Results not shown for ages 65+ because only 1 MS cases diagnosed during that period. UVR in units of J/m2.