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. 2023 Aug 31;129(8):1284–1297. doi: 10.1038/s41416-023-02410-y

Table 3.

Intervention effect (marginal mean difference from randomisation) of the primary outcome (CVD risk score, z-score) at each study time point and for different study group allocations; from mixed effects generalised linear model.

Time point 6 months (change in CVD risk score from baseline to 6 months post-randomisation) Time point 12 months (change in CVD risk score from baseline to 12 months post-randomisation)
Intervention group Control group Difference intervention − control Intervention group Control group Difference intervention − control
Marginal estimate 95% CI Marginal estimate 95% CI Marginal estimate 95% CI P value Marginal estimate 95% CI Marginal estimate 95% CI Marginal estimate 95% CI P value
ITT model −0.17 −0.25 to −0.09 −0.04 −0.12 to 0.04 −0.13 −0.24 to −0.01 0.027 −0.22 −0.30 to −0.13 −0.04 −0.12 to 0.04 −0.18 −0.29 to −0.06 0.003
PP1 model −0.24 −0.35 to −0.12 −0.03 −0.11 to 0.05 −0.20 −0.35 to −0.06 0.004 −0.25 −0.37 to −0.14 −0.03 −0.11 to 0.05 −0.23 −0.37 to −0.09 0.002
PP2 model −0.22 −0.34 to −0.09 −0.05 −0.16 to 0.06 −0.17 −0.34 to 0.00 0.048 −0.31 −0.44 to −0.18 −0.03 −0.14 to 0.08 −0.28 −0.45 to −0.11 0.001
PP3 model −0.22 −0.34 to −0.10 −0.05 −0.15 to 0.06 −0.17 −0.33 to −0.01 0.033 −0.30 −0.41 to −0.18 −0.03 −0.14 to 0.08 −0.27 −0.43 to −0.11 0.001

CI confidence interval, CVD cardiovascular disease, ITT intention-to-treat, PP1 per protocol analysis 1, PP2 per protocol analysis 2, PP3 per protocol analysis 3.

The estimates represent the change in the CVD risk score [z-score] from baseline to 6 and 12 months post-randomisation for the intervention and control group. A negative score represents a reduction in the CVD risk and therefore a favourable outcome. The group allocation differed for each of the models. ITT (intention-to-treat): allocation as randomised (N = 151); PP1 (per protocol analyses 1): control group included participants with <5% increase in maximal power, intervention group included participants with ≥5% increase in maximal power (N = 112); PP2 (per protocol analysis 2): included compliant intervention and control participants only, based on daily self-reported physical activity data with missing days set to 0 activities (N = 82); PP3 (per protocol analysis 3): included compliant intervention and control participants only, based on daily self-reported physical activity data with missing days set to the annual average of activities (N = 87). The models were adjusted for sex, main diagnostic group and baseline CVD risk score. See Fig. 2 for a graphical display of the same results reported in Table 3.

Bold value means a significant p-value based on the significance level of α < 0.05.