Table 1.
Markov model estimates and sources.
Variable | Base case value | Low and high values | Distribution | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|
Costs ($)a | Gamma | |||
Per treatment cost of MDA | 0.27 | 0.22–0.31 | Cost analysis (2020) | |
Per treatment cost of school-based targeted PC | 0.43 | 0.29–0.60 | ||
Cost of drug | 0.04 | 30 | ||
Health states and disability weights for hookworm infectionb | Triangular | 25,26 | ||
Children | ||||
Light intensity infection | 0.005 | 0.004–0.046 | ||
Moderate intensity infection | 0.095 | 0.005–0.056 | ||
Heavy intensity infection | 0.036 | 0.020–0.101 | ||
No hookworm | 0.000 | |||
Adults | ||||
Light intensity infection | 0.025 | 0.001–0.053 | ||
Moderate intensity infection | 0.032 | 0.003–0.056 | ||
Heavy intensity infection | 0.063 | 0.017–0.101 | ||
No hookworm | 0.000 | |||
Population description | Dirichlet | 8,22,23 | ||
Preschool children | ||||
No hookworm infection | 138,274 | |||
Light intensity hookworm infection | 6777 | |||
Moderate intensity hookworm infection | 0 | |||
Heavy intensity hookworm infection | 0 | |||
Schoolchildren | ||||
No hookworm infection | 243,514 | |||
Light intensity hookworm infection | 29,700 | |||
Moderate intensity hookworm infection | 4785 | |||
Heavy intensity hookworm infection | 5125 | |||
Adults | ||||
No hookworm infection | 885,143 | |||
Light intensity infection | 474,135 | |||
Moderate intensity hookworm infection | 48,291 | |||
Heavy intensity hookworm infection | 50,487 | |||
PC coverage | Triangular | |||
School-based targeted PC–school children | 0.98 | 0.75–1.00 | NND | |
School-based targeted PC–adults, adolescents, and preschoolc | N/A | |||
MDA–school children | 0.95 | 0.75–1.00 | 8 | |
MDA–adults, adolescents, and preschool | 0.90 | 0.75–1.00 | 8 | |
Transition probabilities–annual | Dirichlet | |||
No treatmentd | 0.000 | |||
School-based targeted PC | 8 | |||
From no infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.974 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.022 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.002 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.002 | |||
From light intensity infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.490 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.457 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.036 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.016 | |||
From moderate intensity infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.306 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.500 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.083 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.111 | |||
From heavy intensity infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.267 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.311 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.133 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.289 | |||
Mass drug administration | 8 | |||
From no infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.973 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.027 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.000 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.000 | |||
From light intensity infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.668 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.310 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.021 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.000 | |||
From moderate intensity infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.611 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.333 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.028 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.028 | |||
From heavy intensity infection | ||||
To no infection | 0.583 | |||
To light intensity infection | 0.250 | |||
To moderate intensity infection | 0.083 | |||
To heavy intensity infection | 0.083 |
MDA, mass drug administration; PC, preventive chemotherapy; NND, Nguyen Ngoc Dinh personal communication.
All hookworm infections are associated with morbidity due to anaemia, and heavy intensity infection has additional disease-specific morbidity. Disability weight of anaemia was obtained by multiplying the disability weight of anaemia due to hookworm disease25 by the probability of anaemia developing from a case of hookworm infection.26
Not treated.
Assumed to not change status.