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. 2023 Mar 30;17(9):1395–1409. doi: 10.1093/ecco-jcc/jjad056

Table 3.

Risk of incident polyp by type in patients with IBD [n = 41 880] and matched general population comparators [n = 41 880], UC [n = 29 030] and matched general population comparators [n = 29 030], and CD [n = 12 850] and matched general population comparators [n = 12 850].

Group IBD UC CD
N events [%] Incidence rate [95% CI] per 10 000 person-years aHRa [95% CI] No. of events [%] Incidence rate [95% CI] per 10 000 person-years aHRa [95%CI] No. of events [%] Incidence rate [95% CI] per 10 000 person years aHRa [95% CI]
IBD Ref IBD Ref UC Ref UC Ref CD Ref CD Ref
Any polyp 1648 [3.9%] 1143 [2.7%] 46.1 [43.9–48.3] 34.2 [32.2–36.2] 1.23 [1.12–1.35] 1241 [4.3%] 820 [2.8%] 50.9 [48.1–53.7] 35.6 [33.1–38.0] 1.31 [1.17–1.46] 407 [3.2%] 323 [2.5%] 35.7 [32.3–39.2] 31.2 [27.8–34.6] 1.06 [0.89–1.27]
Tubular adenoma 1241 [3.0%] 885 [2.1%] 34.5 [32.6–36.4] 26.4 [24.6–28.1] 1.19 [1.06–1.33] 926 [3.2%] 633 [2.2%] 37.7 [35.3–40.2] 27.3 [25.2–29.5] 1.25 [1.09–1.42] 315 [2.5%] 252 [2.0%] 27.5 [24.5–30.6] 24.2 [21.3–27.2] 1.06 [0.86–1.30]
Sessile serrated polyps 16 [0.0%] 4 [0.0%] 0.4 [0.2–0.6] 0.1 [0.0–0.2] 8.50 [1.10–65.90] 12 [0.0%] 3 [0.0%] 0.5 [0.2–0.7] 0.1 [–0.0–0.3] 6.13 [0.63–59.66] 4 [0.0%] 1 [0.0%] 0.3 [0.0–0.7] 0.1 [−0.1 to 0.3]
Polyp unspecified with LGD 40 [0.1%] 12 [0.0%] 1.1 [0.8–1.4] 0.4 [0.2–0.6] 2.09 [0.97–4.49] 35 [0.1%] 12 [0.0%] 1.4 [0.9–1.9] 0.5 [0.2–0.8] 1.67 [0.75–3.71] 5 [0.0%] 0 0.4 [0.1–0.8] 0.0 [0.0–0.0]
Any advanced polyp 544 [1.3%] 381 [0.9%] 14.9 [13.7–16.2] 11.2 [10.1–12.4] 1.18 [1.00–1.39] 428 [1.5%] 269 [0.9%] 17.2 [15.6–18.9] 11.5 [10.1–12.9] 1.38 [1.13–1.68] 116 [0.9%] 112 [0.9%] 10.0 [8.2–11.9] 10.7 [8.7–12.7] 0.79 [0.57–1.09]
 Sessile serrated poyps with LGD 8 [0.0%] 3 [0.0%] 0.2 [0.1–0.4] 0.1 [–0.0–0.2] 8.27 [0.59–116.09] 7 [0.0%] 2 [0.0%] 0.3 [0.1–0.5] 0.1 [–0.0–0.2] 8.73 [0.46–166.97] 1 [0.0%] 1 [0.0%] 0.1 [−0.1 to 0.3] 0.1 [−0.1 to 0.3]
 Sessile serrated polyps with HGD 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0]
 Traditional serrated adenomas 74 [0.2%] 37 [0.1%] 2.0 [1.6–2.5] 1.1 [0.7–1.4] 1.72 [1.02–2.91] 58 [0.2%] 23 [0.1%] 2.3 [1.7–2.9] 1.0 [0.6–1.4] 2.64 [1.34–5.19] 16 [0.1%] 14 [0.1%] 1.4 [0.7–2.1] 1.3 [0.6–2.0] 0.76 [0.31–1.86]
  Traditional serrated adenomas with LGD 23 [0.1%] 12 [0.0%] 0.6 [0.4–0.9] 0.4 [0.2–0.6] 1.76 [0.69–4.50] 17 [0.1%] 8 [0.0%] 0.7 [0.4–1.0] 0.3 [0.1–0.6] 2.35 [0.74–7.52] 6 [0.0%] 4 [0.0%] 0.5 [0.1–0.9] 0.4 [0.0–0.8] 0.84 [0.13–5.60]
  Traditional serrated adenomas with HGD 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0]
 Tubulovillous 437 [1.0%] 315 [0.8%] 12.0 [10.9–13.1] 9.3 [8.3–10.3] 1.13 [0.94–1.36] 341 [1.2%] 226 [0.8%] 13.7 [12.2–15.2] 9.6 [8.4–10.9] 1.28 [1.03–1.58] 96 [0.7%] 89 [0.7%] 8.3 [6.6–10.0] 8.5 [6.7–10.3] 0.82 [0.58–1.17]
  Tubulovillous with HGD 24 [0.1%] 20 [0.0%] 0.7 [0.4–0.9] 0.6 [0.3–0.8] 1.66 [0.75–3.70] 19 [0.1%] 16 [0.1%] 0.8 [0.4–1.1] 0.7 [0.3–1.0] 1.93 [0.75–4.95] 5 [0.0%] 4 [0.0%] 0.4 [0.1–0.8] 0.4 [0.0–0.8] 1.05 [0.21–5.28]
 Villous 35 [0.1%] 28 [0.1%] 1.0 [0.6–1.3] 0.8 [0.5–1.1] 1.41 [0.71–2.81] 30 [0.1%] 17 [0.1%] 1.2 [0.8–1.6] 0.7 [0.4–1.1] 2.15 [0.89–5.16] 5 [0.0%] 11 [0.1%] 0.4 [0.1–0.8] 1.0 [0.4–1.7] 0.67 [0.19–2.36]
  Villous with HGD 3 [0.0%] 1 [0.0%] 0.1 [–0.0–0.2] 0.0 [−0.0 to 0.1] 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 3 [0.0%] 1 [0.0%] 0.3 [−0.0 to 0.6] 0.1 [−0.1 to 0.3]
 Tubulous with HGD 21 [0.1%] 25 [0.1%] 0.6 [0.3–0.8] 0.7 [0.4–1.0] 0.54 [0.22–1.33] 19 [0.1%] 21 [0.1%] 0.8 [0.4–1.1] 0.9 [0.5–1.3] 0.68 [0.26–1.80] 2 [0.0%] 4 [0.0%] 0.2 [−0.1 to 0.4] 0.4 [0.0–0.8] 0.00 [0.00–.]
 Polyp unspecified with HGD 3 [0.0%] 0 0.1 [–0.0–0.2] 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 3 [0.0%] 0 0.1 [−0.0 to 0.3] 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0 0 0.0 [0.0–0.0] 0.0 [0.0–0.0]

aAdjusted for age, sex, calendar period, and number of endoscopies at baseline.