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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Thorax. 2023 Jun 2;78(11):1067–1079. doi: 10.1136/thorax-2022-219158

Table 3.

Associations of CT emphysema subtypes labelled on cardiac CT scans from 2000–02 with incident clinical events and incident airflow limitation in MESA.

N Events
Person-years
Rate per 10,000 person-years Combined Bronchitis-Apical Emphysema
HR per 10% increment (95% CI)
Diffuse Emphysema
HR per 10% increment (95% CI)
Senile Emphysema
HR per 10% increment (95% CI)
Restrictive CPFE
HR per 10% increment (95% CI)
Obstructive CPFE
HR per 10% increment (95% CI)
Vanishing Lung Emphysema
HR per 10% increment (95% CI)

CLRD hospitalization (N=6,658)
 Unadjusted 148 3.2 (2.8, 3.7) 1.6 (1.3, 1.9) 1.4 (0.9, 2.0) 1.7 (1.3, 2.2) 1.6 (1.2, 2.2) 10.7 (5.6, 20.8)
 Model 1 77,466 19.1 3.3 (2.8, 3.9) 1.9 (1.6, 2.3) 1.3 (0.9, 1.9) 1.3 (0.9, 1.8) 1.2 (0.9, 1.8) 10.8 (5.3, 21.9)
 Model 2 2.9 (2.3, 3.6) 1.5 (1.1, 1.9) 0.8 (0.5, 1.3) 1.0 (0.6, 1.7) 1.4 (0.8, 2.2) 1.1 (0.4, 3.1)
CLRD mortality (N=6,658)
 Unadjusted 74 3.1 (2.6, 3.6) 1.9 (1.6, 2.4) 1.9 (1.2, 3.1) 1.8 (1.3, 2.6) 1.9 (1.4, 2.7) 13.0 (6.5, 26.2)
 Model 1 78,096 9.5 2.5 (2.1, 3.0) 1.8 (1.5, 2.3) 1.6 (0.9, 2.7) 1.6 (1.0, 2.3) 1.6 (1.1, 2.2) 7.0 (3.2, 15.5)
 Model 2 2.2 (1.7, 2.9) 1.5 (1.1, 2.0) 0.9 (0.5, 1.6) 0.99 (0.5, 1.9) 1.8 (1.0, 3.1) 1.3 (0.4, 4.0)
All-cause mortality (N=6,658)
 Unadjusted 1,131 1.7 (1.5, 1.9) 1.1 (0.9, 1.2) 1.0 (0.9, 1.2) 1.2 (0.9, 1.4) 1.0 (0.8, 1.3) 4.3 (2.7, 7.1)
 Model 1 78,096 144.8 1.5 (1.3, 1.7) 1.0 (0.9, 1.1) 0.9 (0.8, 1.1) 1.0 (0.9, 1.3) 0.9 (0.8, 1.1) 3.3 (2.0, 5.5)
 Model 2 1.6 (1.3, 1.8) 0.9 (0.8, 0.9) 1.0 (0.8, 1.2) 1.1 (0.8, 1.4) 0.9 (0.7, 1.2) 1.0 (0.5, 2.1)
Incident airflow limitation (N=2,324)
 Unadjusted 364 6.9 (3.0, 15.8) 1.5 (1.3, 1.8) 1.7 (1.3, 2.1) 1.3 (0.9, 1.9) 1.2 (0.9, 1.6) --
 Model 1 31,931 114.0 7.1 (3.2, 15.7) 1.5 (1.3, 1.8) 1.6 (1.3, 2.0) 1.2 (0.8, 1.7) 1.4 (1.1, 1.8) --
 Model 2 2.9 (1.01, 8.5) 1.4 (1.1, 1.7) 1.2 (0.9, 1.6) 1.1 (0.7, 1.7) 1.1 (0.8, 1.6) --

Airflow limitation defined by prebronchodilator ratio of the forced expiratory volume in one second to the forced vital capacity <0.70. Airflow limitation model for the vanishing lung emphysema subtype did not converge. HR are per 10% increment in CT emphysema subtype.

Abbreviations: HR=hazard ratio, CPFE=combined pulmonary fibrosis/emphysema, CLRD=Chronic lower respiratory disease.

Model 1. Adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, height, weight, smoking status, pack-years, and scanner manufacturer.

Model 2. Additionally adjusted for other CT emphysema subtypes