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[Preprint]. 2023 Oct 2:2023.09.28.23296092. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2023.09.28.23296092

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

We estimated the probability to convert to BD within five years of the initial MDD diagnosis in 4,082 patients in the test data, using hazard ratios estimated in the training data. (A) Distribution of the probability to convert to BD in 483 converters and 3,599 censored patients in the test data. (B) Kaplan-Meier survival plots for 4,082 patients in the test data. Patients were split into quartiles based on the distribution of their probability to convert to BD within five years, using hazard ratios estimated in the training data. Q1=first quartile, Q2=second quartile, Q3=third quartile, Q4=fourth quartile.