Table 3.
AUC and 95% Confidence Interval (CI) for the Prediction of Death in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis and POF and in Those Admitted to the ICU
| POF Patients | AUC | 95% CI | P-value | Sens | Spec | Cut-off | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -CRP48 | 0.478 | 0.215 | 0.741 | 0.868 | 0.688 | 0.429 | 12.000 |
| -NLR0 | 0.453 | 0.250 | 0.657 | 0.654 | 0.349 | 0.800 | 12.875 |
| -NLR48 | 0.623 | 0.430 | 0.816 | 0.210 | 0.633 | 0.700 | 9.568 |
| -NLR48/NLR0 | 0.577 | 0.376 | 0.778 | 0.455 | 0.467 | 0.800 | 0.936 |
| -mCTSI | 0.512 | 0.288 | 0.735 | 0.919 | 0.958 | 0.222 | 0.000 |
| -BISAP | 0.470 | 0.247 | 0.694 | 0.793 | 0.115 | 0.889 | 3.000 |
| -SOFA | 0.561 | 0.366 | 0.757 | 0.539 | 0.475 | 0.800 | 4.000 |
| ICU patients | |||||||
| -CRP48 | 0.459 | 0.286 | 0.632 | 0.641 | 0.105 | 0.960 | 340.60 |
| -NLR0 | 0.535 | 0.420 | 0.649 | 0.554 | 0.633 | 0.490 | 7.500 |
| -NLR48 | 0.650 | 0.527 | 0.774 | 0.017 | 0.588 | 0.696 | 9.690 |
| -NLR48/NLR0 | 0.524 | 0.395 | 0.653 | 0.712 | 0.206 | 0.935 | 1.642 |
| -mCTSI | 0.546 | 0.405 | 0.687 | 0.525 | 0.964 | 0.154 | 0.000 |
| -BISAP | 0.650 | 0.522 | 0.779 | 0.022 | 0.484 | 0.750 | 2.000 |
| -SOFA | 0.692 | 0.585 | 0.799 | 0.000 | 0.413 | 0.896 | 4.000 |
| -APACHE II | 0.757 | 0.650 | 0.865 | <0.0001 | 0.872 | 0.538 | 8.000 |
Note: AUC values with italicized fonts have statistical significance (P-value≤0.05).
Abbreviations: AUC, area under ROC curve; CI, confidence interval; NLR, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio; NLR0, NLR at admission; NLR48, NLR at 48 hours; NLR48/NLR0, NLR48 to NLR0 ratio; CRP48, C-reactive protein at 48 h; mCTSI, modified CT severity index score; BISAP, BUN–Impaired mental status–SIRS–Age–Pleural effusion; SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.