Table 3.
results of multivariable Poisson regression analysis of factors that influenced fertility differentials in Burundi and Morocco during their fertility transition periods
| Variables categories | Burundi | Morocco | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 DHS (N=9,389) | 2003-04 DHS (N=16,798) | ||||
| AIRR (95% IC) | P-value | AIRR (95% IC) | P-value | ||
| Residence lace | |||||
| Urban (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| Rural | 1.159 (1.103 - 1.217) | 0.020 | 1.031(0.989 - 1.074) | 0.148 | |
| Women’s education | |||||
| Higher (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| Secondary | 1.220 (1.049 - 1.418) | <0.001 | 1.126 (1.042 - 1.218 | 0.003 | |
| Primary | 1.375 (1.168 - 1.619) | <0.001 | 1.224 (1.129 - 1.326) | <0.001 | |
| No education | 1.465 (1.241- 1.729) | <0.001 | 1.428 (1.315 - 1.551) | <0.001 | |
| Husband/partner’s education | |||||
| Higher (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| Secondary | 1.049 (0.921 - 1.194) | 0.469 | 0.991(0.943 - 1.041) | 0.719 | |
| Primary | 1.042 (0.906 - 1.197) | 0.566 | 1.038 (0.978 - 1.101) | 0.215 | |
| No Education | 1.242 (1.157 - 1.311) | 0.006 | 1.140 (1.077 - 1.206) | <0.001 | |
| Don’t know | 1.136 (0.963 - 1.340) | 0.131 | 1.043 (0.918 - 1.184) | 0.519 | |
| Women’s occupation | |||||
| Modern (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| Agricultural | 1.332 (1.263 - 1.401) | 0.004 | 1.106 (0.972 - 1.236) | 0.058 | |
| Unemployed | 0.908 (0.834 - 0.989) | 0.027 | 1.054 (0.965 - 1.116) | 0.075 | |
| Others/don’t know | 0.819 (0.680 - 0.988) | 0.037 | 0.991 (0.709 - 1.386) | 0.959 | |
| Husband/partner’s occupation | |||||
| Modern (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| Agricultural | 1.180 (1.034 - 1.228) | 0.001 | 1.110 (0.890 - 1.289) | 0.123 | |
| Unemployed | 0.989 (0.859 - 1.139) | 0.877 | - | - | |
| Others/don’t know | 1.036 (0.987 - 1.289) | 0.069 | 0.930 (0.883 – 1.291) | 0.765 | |
| Wealth quintile | |||||
| Richest (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| Richer | 0.923 (0.835 - 1.020) | 0.072 | 0.968 (0.933 - 1.004) | 0.077 | |
| Middle | 1.120 (1.022 - 1.203) | 0.021 | 0.962 (0.916 - 1.010) | 0.116 | |
| Poorer | 1.301 (1.211 - 1.387) | 0.003 | 1.029 (0.972 - 1.090) | 0.329 | |
| Poorest | 1.381 (1.223 - 1.431) | <0.001 | 1.028 (0.961 -1.098) | 0.424 | |
| Mass media access | |||||
| Yes(RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| No | 0.979 (0.952 - 1.007) | 0.139 | 1.241(1.108 - 1.375) | 0.006 | |
| Experience of infant mortality | |||||
| No (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| Yes | 1.602 (1.562 - 1.643) | <0.001 | 1.222 (1.184 - 1.361) | <0.001 | |
| Age at first marriage | |||||
| ≥ 20 years (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| 16-19 years | 1.155 (1.125 - 1.185) | <0.001 | 1.230 (1.119 - 1.378) | 0.004 | |
| ≤ 15 years | 1.313 (1.264 - 1.364) | <0.001 | 1.481(1.435 - 1.529) | <0.001 | |
| Knowledge of any contraceptive methods | |||||
| Has knowledge (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| No knowledge | 1.263 (1.125 - 1.310) | 0.003 | 1.508 (1.409 - 1.613) | <0.001 | |
| Modern contraceptive use | |||||
| Yes (RC) | 1.000 | 1.000 | |||
| No | 1.520 (1.487 - 1.611) | <0.001 | 1.745 (1.627 - 1.863) | <0.001 | |
Note: AIRR: Adjusted incident rate ratio; RC: Reference category; CI: confidence interval