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. 2023 Oct 30;8:166. doi: 10.1038/s41541-023-00758-z

Table 3.

Vaccination scenarios: Potential vaccination scenarios with varying years of vaccine introduction, maximum coverage, and vaccine-derived immunity dynamics.

Scenario Year of vaccine introduction Maximum coverage Durability of vaccine-derived immunity
1 Country-specific (2022–2034) Country-specific (9–99%) Full efficacy for 10 years
2 Country-specific (2022–2034) Country-specific (9–99%) Linear waning over 20 years
3 2022 50% Full efficacy for 10 years
4 2022 50% Linear waning over 20 years
5 Country-specific (2022–2034) 50% Full efficacy for 10 years
6 Country-specific (2022–2034) 50% Linear waning over 20 years