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. 2023 Sep 27;623(7985):83–89. doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-06544-0

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Extended Data Fig. 9 — For (top) the relative change between the period of 2080–2099 under the high-emission scenario SSP585 and the period of 1981–2000 based on the multi-model mean of CMIP6 simulations, and (bottom) HighResMIP simulations. a, b, The relative change of the fractional area covered by high PI (bar) in the active season between the period of 2080–2099 under the high-emission scenario SSP585 and the period of 1981–2000 in the (a) NH, and (b) SH based on the multi-model mean of CMIP6 simulations. The error bars indicate the standard deviation. c, d, The relative change of the fractional area covered by high OHC (bar) in the active season between the period of 2080–2099 under the high-emission scenario SSP585 and the period of 1981–2000 in the (c) NH, and (d) SH. e, f, The linear trend of the fractional area covered by high PI in each month during the active season during 1981–2017 obtained from the high resolution (HighRes; grey bars) outputs and the low resolution (LowRes; blue bars) outputs in the (e) NH, and (f) SH. g, h, Same as in e, f, respectively, but for the linear trend of the fractional area covered by high OHC.