Table 12.
Comparison of different model prediction results.
Regions | Models | Evaluation indicators |
||
---|---|---|---|---|
RMSE | MAE | MAPE | ||
Nationwide | LR | 13.0206 | 9.5111 | 1.3010 |
BPNN | 10.6617 | 8.7357 | 1.5093 | |
ARIMA | 2.1751 | 1.7083 | 0.0261 | |
LSTM | 2.1082 | 1.8948 | 0.0192 | |
ARIMA + LSTM | 1.7842 | 1.6213 | 0.0186 | |
Eastern | LR | 9.0006 | 6.3393 | 1.8566 |
BPNN | 2.8001 | 2.2576 | 0.9793 | |
ARIMA | 1.0094 | 0.7821 | 0.0260 | |
LSTM | 1.1582 | 1.1427 | 0.0258 | |
ARIMA + LSTM | 0.8417 | 0.7241 | 0.0243 | |
Central | LR | 4.2760 | 2.9988 | 1.3875 |
BPNN | 7.4927 | 4.8271 | 2.1703 | |
ARIMA | 0.7598 | 0.6202 | 0.0336 | |
LSTM | 0.6328 | 0.5541 | 0.0200 | |
ARIMA + LSTM | 0.5774 | 0.5107 | 0.0185 | |
Western | LR | 2.0035 | 1.4122 | 0.8814 |
BPNN | 3.0440 | 2.3719 | 1.5890 | |
ARIMA | 0.7448 | 0.6066 | 0.0411 | |
LSTM | 0.5205 | 0.4087 | 0.0148 | |
ARIMA + LSTM | 0.4966 | 0.3917 | 0.0146 |