Table 4.
Sensitivity analysis of the SimSmoke model (%) in 2030 and 2050 in Korea
| MPOWER | Range | Males | Females | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030 | 2050 | 2030 | 2050 | 2030 | 2050 | ||
| P | +50 | 19.8 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 10.8 | 4.3 |
| +25 | 20.4 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 11.2 | 4.5 | |
| 0 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| -25 | 21.8 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 11.9 | 4.9 | |
| -50 | 22.5 | 9.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 12.3 | 5.1 | |
| O | +50 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 |
| +25 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| 0 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| -25 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| -50 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| W | +50 | 20.7 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 11.3 | 4.6 |
| +25 | 20.9 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 11.4 | 4.6 | |
| 0 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| -25 | 21.3 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 11.7 | 4.7 | |
| -50 | 21.5 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 11.8 | 4.8 | |
| E | +50 | 20.2 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 11.0 | 4.4 |
| +25 | 20.6 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 11.3 | 4.6 | |
| 0 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| -25 | 21.6 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 11.8 | 4.8 | |
| -50 | 22.1 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 12.1 | 4.9 | |
| R | +50 | 17.7 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 9.7 | 3.5 |
| +25 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 10.6 | 4.1 | |
| 0 | 21.1 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11.6 | 4.7 | |
| -25 | 23.1 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 5.4 | |
| -50 | 25.2 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 13.8 | 6.3 | |
P: protect people from tobacco smoke. O: offer help to quit tobacco smoking. W: warn of the dangers of tobacco. E: enforce bans on tobacco advertising promotion and sponsorship. R: raise taxes on tobacco. The sensitivity analysis was conducted under the combined POWE, TFG, R8000, and R10% scenario.