Table 4.

Changes on calories, weight and obesity attributable to each tax scenario over ten years and quarterly tax payments by income quintile

			Based on the tax scenario in Bahrain
Income quintile	Price elasticity	Obesity prevalence	Caloric change (kcal/day)	Absolute change in obesity (pp)	Relative change in obesity (%)	Change in obesity cases (millions)	Quarterñy tax payments as for 2018 (thousands 2019 USD)
Lowest	−1.16	31.5 (29.2 to 33.8)	−48.1 (−52 to −44.2)	5.0 (−6.2 to −3.8)	−15.9 (−19.8 to −12.0)	−0.93 (−1.16 to −0.71)	18 912
Low	−1.22	34.4 (31.7 to 37.0)	−63.1 (−67.6 to −58.7)	−6.7 (−8.1 to −5.4)	−19.6 (−23.7 to −15.6)	−1.25 (−1.51 to −1.01)	22 335
Middle	−1.16	39.6 (36.6 to 42.6)	−63.4 (−68.6 to −58.3)	−7.7 (−9.3 to −6.0)	−19.4 (−23.6 to −15.1)	−1.44 (−1.73 to −1.12)	24 592
High	−1.1	37.4 (34.6 to 40.3)	−59.4 (−63.8 to −54.9)	−6.9 (−8.3 to −5.5)	−18.4 (−22.1 to −14.8)	−1.29 (−1.55 to −1.03)	25 248
Highest	−1.06	35.2 (31.9 to 38.4)	−52.6 (−57.9 to −47.2)	−6.8 (−8.5 to −5.0)	−19.3 (−24.3 to −14.3)	−1.27 (−1.59 to −0.93)	26 969

Confidence Intervals were derived for sample means using the sampling weights of the 2018 National Health and Nutrition Survey.