Table 3.

Results of the BOP forecast evaluation for the training sample.

Model	RMSE	MAE	SMAPE	Theil U1
ARIMA-SIC	0.007439	0.004445	3.001417	0.011824
ARIMA–SIC–WAR	0.007439	0.004445	3.000966	0.011823
ARIMA-AIC	0.007440	0.004448	2.999182	0.011825
ARIMA-AIC-WAR	0.007440	0.004448	2.998591	0.011825
TARMA	0.007430	0.004443	2.998044	0.011813
ENNREG	0.007422	0.004453	3.075503	0.011804
ENNREG-WAR	0.007426	0.004451	3.008297	0.011807