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. 2023 Nov 22;3(11):e0002327. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002327

Plasma CXCL8 and MCP-1 as surrogate plasma biomarkers of latent tuberculosis infection among household contacts–A cross-sectional study

Sivaprakasam T Selvavinayagam 1,#, Bijulal Aswathy 2,#, Yean K Yong 3,#, Asha Frederick 4, Lakshmi Murali 4, Vasudevan Kalaivani 1, Sree J Karishma 2, Manivannan Rajeshkumar 1, Adukkadukkam Anusree 5, Meganathan Kannan 5, Natarajan Gopalan 6, Ramachandran Vignesh 7, Amudhan Murugesan 8, Hong Yien Tan 3, Ying Zhang 3, Samudi Chandramathi 9, Munusamy Ponnan Sivasankaran 10, Pachamuthu Balakrishnan 11, Sakthivel Govindaraj 12, Siddappa N Byrareddy 13, Vijayakumar Velu 12, Marie Larsson 14, Esaki M Shankar 2,*, Sivadoss Raju 1,*
Editor: Wilber Sabiiti15
PMCID: PMC10664947  PMID: 37992019

Abstract

Early detection of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is critical to TB elimination in the current WHO vision of End Tuberculosis Strategy. The study investigates whether detecting plasma cytokines could aid in diagnosing LTBI across household contacts (HHCs) positive for IGRA, HHCs negative for IGRA, and healthy controls. The plasma cytokines were measured using a commercial Bio-Plex Pro Human Cytokine 17-plex assay. Increased plasma CXCL8 and decreased MCP-1, TNF-α, and IFN-γ were associated with LTBI. Regression analysis showed that a combination of CXCL8 and MCP-1 increased the risk of LTBI among HHCs to 14-fold. Our study suggests that CXCL-8 and MCP-1 could serve as the surrogate biomarkers of LTBI, particularly in resource-limited settings. Further laboratory investigations are warranted before extrapolating CXCL8 and MCP-1 for their usefulness as surrogate biomarkers of LTBI in resource-limited settings.

Introduction

Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the most devastating infectious diseases, resulting in ~1.6 million deaths in 2021. Reports suggest that one-fourth of the global population was infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M. tuberculosis or MTB) in 2021 [1]. Latent TB infection (LTBI) results in persistent immune responses to MTB antigens without any gross evidence of clinical TB [1,2]. Estimates suggest that 5–10% of individuals with underlying LTBI might progress to develop active TB disease [1,3]. According to the World Health Organization’s (WHO) End Tuberculosis Strategy, the early detection of LTBI, especially in endemic areas, is key to global TB elimination [4,5]. Hence, an improved method to detect LTBI is urgently required, [4,6] especially in resource-limited settings.

TB diagnostics suffers from lack of a gold standard test [7]. Until the advent of the interferon-gamma-release assay (IGRA), the tuberculin skin test (TST) was the only tool available [8,9]. TST uses a purified protein derivative (PPD) antigen [9]. It endures poor sensitivity for use in immune-compromised individuals and poor specificity due to several confounding factors [10,11]. IGRA appears more specific than the TST for detecting LTBI [5,12]. In addition, an individual’s immune status could influence IGRA results as suggested by others [8,13]. However, IGRA and TST cannot distinguish between active TB and LTBI [2,11,14]. Hence, to address these limitations, identifying an alternative molecular biomarker is necessary [5,7].

During MTB infection, macrophages regulate cytokines secreted by T cells [15]. In concert with complex mycobacterial antigens, cytokines mount protective and pathogenic responses [16]. Previous literature has suggested that specific cytokines could aid in detecting LTBI, and highlighted the likely role of IFN-α, TNF-α, MCP-1, MIP-1β, IL-2, CXCL-8, IL-6, and GM-CSF with TB disease progression [5,12]. Here, we investigated if cytokines could serve as surrogate biomarker(s) of LTBI among household contacts (HHCs) of individuals with active TB disease.

Materials and methods

Ethical approval

This study was performed within the ethical standards of the Declaration of Helsinki. The study procedures and/or protocols were reviewed and approved by the Human Ethics Committee of the Directorate of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Ethical Committee (DPH, IEC 15-10-2022), Chennai, India. All participants provided written informed consent to participate in the study. The start date of the participant recruitment was on 13th February 2023 and the end date was 17th February 2023. An algorithmic layout of the study is presented in Fig 1.

Fig 1. Algorithm of sampling from the study cohort and outline of the investigation.

Fig 1

A) The flow-chart outlining the cross-sectional study sampling for the LTBI cohort. The study recruited 76 volunteers by a random sampling method, the exclusion criteria’s as well as the IGRA reports (from a total of 172 individuals) who were further divided into three cohorts: Household contacts/IGRA+ve (HHC/IGRA+ve) (n = 26 from 58 positive individuals), household contacts/IGRA-ve (HHC/IGRA-ve) (n = 25 from 52 negative individuals) and healthy controls (HCs) (n = 25 from 44 individuals tested negative for LTBI). HCs were defined as having had no contact with active TB cases and were negative for IGRA. B) Blood was drawn in Lithium-heparin tubes and Sodium-citrate tubes. Plasma samples in the Lithium-heparin tubes were subjected to IGRA after transferring them to the QFT tubes. Plasma samples in the sodium-citrate tubes were subjected to Bio-Plex Luminex Cytokine assay.

Clinical samples and study design

The cross-sectional study recruited 76 volunteers by a random sampling method (from a total of 172 individuals) who were further divided into three cohorts: Household contacts/IGRA+ve (HHC/IGRA+ve) (n = 26 from 58 positive individuals), household contacts/IGRA-ve (HHC/IGRA-ve) (n = 25 from 52 negative individuals) and healthy controls (HCs) (n = 25 from 44 individuals tested negative for LTBI). HCs were defined as having had no contact with active TB cases and were negative for IGRA.

Laboratory analytes

Blood glucose levels, liver analytes, renal parameters and CRP levels were measured using standard routine laboratory protocols. Total bilirubin, SGPT, SGOT, ALP, albumin, globulin and total protein were the liver parameters studied whereas uric acid, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), urea and creatinine were the renal function analytes examined using an automated Biochemistry Analyzer (Siemens, Germany).

Measurement of IFN-γ by QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube Assay

Blood samples (lithium heparin (5 ml) and sodium citrate (2 ml) BD Vacutainer tubes) were obtained from 172 individuals who were divided primarily into two cohorts: HCs and HHCs. As per the manufacturer’s instructions, all 172 samples were subjected to a commercial QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube Assay (Cat. No.: 622130, Qiagen, USA). Briefly, heparinized plasma was aliquoted into four QFT-Plus blood tubes, viz., nil tube, TB antigen tube 1 (TB1) possessing ESAT-6 and CFP-10 peptides to activate CD4+ T cells, TB antigen tube 2 (TB2) that includes ESAT-6 and CFP-10 peptides to activate CD8+ T cells and mitogen tube as a positive control. The aliquoted tubes were mixed ~10 times before 16–24 hours of incubation for 15 min at 3000 rpm. Subsequently, the separated plasma was subjected to an in-built ELISA to detect IFN-γ. The results were calculated using QFT Plus analysis software by analyzing the IFN-γ level of the post-reaction supernatant. The results were interpreted as positive, negative, or indeterminate [4,9].

Cytokine assay

To quantify the levels of various plasma cytokines, we used a commercial Bio-plex Pro Human Cytokine 17-plex assay (Bio-Rad Laboratories, Hercules, CA) that uses sodium-citrated plasma without TB antigen stimulation. The kit measures the following cytokines: IL-1β, IL-2, IL-3, IL-4, IL-5, IL-6, IL-7, CXCL8, IL-10, IL-12, IL-13, IL-17A, G-CSF, GM-CSF, IFN-γ, MCP-1, MIP-1 and TNF-α) as per the manufacturer’s instructions. The data were analyzed using the Bio-plex Manager Software Ver.6.1.

Statistical analysis

The comparison of the group differences was made using the Mann-Whitney test. The Kruskal-Wallis test was used for testing statistical significance with the median values. The Chi-Square test was used to compare the categorical variables. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to define the diagnostic performance of the biomarker. The best cut-off value (sum of sensitivity and specificity divided by 100) was chosen to maximize Youden’s index and the AUC. GraphPad Prism 6.0 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, CA), SPSS version 20.0, and Microsoft Excel 2019 were used for the statistical evaluation. The level of significance was p<0.05.

Results

Study characteristics

The group characteristics revealed considerable differences among the male and female participants, particularly among males. All the participants were adult subjects aged >18 years. The clinico-demographic data obtained from the participants are presented in Table 1. Of all the parameters studied, we observed a trend of low median level of SGOT, SGPT, and urea among HHCs as compared to HCs. The study comprised 13 individuals in the HHC/IGRA+ve group (n = 26), 12 individuals each in the HHC/IGRA-ve group (n = 25) and the HC group (n = 25) with underlying conditions. The socioeconomic characteristics of the cohort are presented in S1 Fig.

Table 1. Clinico-demographic characteristics of the study cohort.

Characteristics HC HHC/IGRA+ve HHC/IGRA-ve p value
Number 25 26 25
Age, years, median (IQR) 36 (29–47) 39.5 (28–54.8) 40 (33–47) 0.492
Gender, male, n (%) 14 (56%) 9 (34.6%) 7 (28%) 0.044*
BMI, median (IQR) 25.4 (22.9–28.4) 25.8 (23–30.23) 24.7 (21.9–28.4) 0.748
BCG vaccination, n (%) 21 (84%) 21 (80.8%) 20 (80%) 0.379
Residential area, urban, n (%) 13 (52%) 13 (50%) 13 (52%) 0.986
Bilirubin, (mg/dl), median (IQR) 0.7 (0.6–0.85) 0.7 (0.6–0.83) 0.6 (0.45–0.9) 0.493
SGOT, (U/L), median (IQR) 25 (16–32) 21.5 (18–26.5) 20 (17–25.5) 0.078
SGPT, (U/L), median (IQR) 25 (16–43.5) 19.5 (16–26) 19 (14–22.5) 0.075
ALP, (U/L), median (IQR) 69 (51–74) 69 (54.8–90.3) 58 (49–73) 0.109
Creatinine, (mg/dl), median (IQR) 0.8 (0.8–1.0) 0.8 (0.7–0.9) 0.8 (0.7–0.9) 0.152
Urea, (mg/dl), median (IQR) 23 (20–34) 22.5 (16.7–25.8) 20 (17–23.5) 0.052
Neutrophil count (10x3/μL), median (IQR)
%, median (IQR)
4.57 (4.07–5.31)
59.7 (52–63.5)
4.4 (3.4–6.5)
60.6 (43.4–66.3)
4.2 (3.7–5.53)
55.1 (50.5–62.9)
0.693
0.954
Lymphocyte count (10x3/μL), median (IQR)
%, median (IQR)
2.44 (2.07–2.81)
29.6 (27.3–53.6)
2.62 (2.07–3.32)
31.2 (25.1–39.6)
2.2 (1.8–2.86)
31.1 (24.6–35.9)
0.263
0.925
Monocyte count (10x3/μL), median (IQR)
%, median (IQR)
0.52 (0.43–0.65)
6.6 (5.6–7.8)
0.57 (0.43–0.64)
6.85 (5.15–7.65)
0.51 (0.41–0.7)
6.6 (5.8–9.1)
0.974
0.828
Eosinophil count (10x3/μL), median (IQR)
%, median (IQR)
0.19 (0.11–0.27)
2.3 (1.35–4.25)
0.25 (0.18–0.48)
3.55 (1.93–6.7)
0.2 (0.4–0.39)
2.9 (1.65–5.05)
0.166
0.189
Basophil count (10x3/μL), median (IQR)
%, median (IQR)
0.04 (0.03–0.06)
0.6 (0.45–0.8)
0.05 (0.04–0.06)
0.6 (0.5–0.9)
0.04 (0.03–0.06)
0.6 (0.5–0.75)
0.384
0.719
Medical conditions, n (%)
    Sickness past 14-days
    Diabetes mellitus
    Hypertension
    COPD/asthma
    Hemodialysis
    History of COVID-19
    Smoking
    Alcohol

6 (24%)
5 (20%)
6 (24%)
2 (8%)
2 (8%)
6 (24%)
2 (8%)
4 (16%)

4 (15.4%)
8 (30.8%)
4 (15.4%)
2 (7.7%)
0 (0%)
4 (15.4%)
1 (3.85%)
2 (7.7%)

4 (16%)
6 (24%)
4 (16%)
3 (12%)
2 (8%)
4 (16%)
0 (0%)
0 (0%)

0.479
0.753
0.479
0.632
1.000
0.450
0.153
0.141

All categorical variable reported as numbers (n) and percentages (%), and continuous variables reported as median, IQR. HC, healthy control; HHC, household contact, IGRA, interferon gamma release assay; SGOT, serum glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase; SGPT, serum glutamic-pyruvic transaminase; ALP, alkaline phosphatase. All continuous variables were compared using the Kruskal-Wallis test, whilst all the categorical variables were compared using Chi-Square test. *Represent p<0.05, having a trend of significance.

An increase of CXCL8 and a decrease of MCP-1, TNF-α, and IFN-γ were associated with LTBI

Seven of the 17 cytokines measured using the Bio-Plex Luminex cytokine assay remained undetectable, viz., IL-2, IL-4, IL-5, IL-7, IL-12, G-CSF, and GM-CSF. Hence, we incorporated only the remaining ten cytokines in the analysis. Of the monocyte-derived cytokines, CXCL8, MCP-1, and TNF-α showed significance. MIP-1 and IL-1 did not show any significant difference. Similarly, IFN-γ showed a significant difference among the T-cell-derived cytokines. IL-6, IL-10, IL-17A, and IL-13 did not reveal any marked differences. CXCL8 levels in HHC/IGRA+ve and HHC/IGRA-ve were higher than HCs (p<0.05). MCP-1 levels in HHC/IGRA+ve and HHC/IGRA-ve were lower than the HCs (p<0.01). TNF-α levels in the HCC/IGRA+ve and HHC/IGRA-ve were lower than HCs (p<0.001). IFN-γ concentrations in HHC/IGRA+ve and HCC/IGRA-ve were lower than HCs (Fig 2).

Fig 2. Comparison of the levels of cytokines among HC, HHC/IGRA+ve and HHC/IGRA-ve individuals.

Fig 2

A) Monocyte-derived cytokines B) T cell-derived cytokines. IL, interleukin; MCP-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1; MIP-1β, macrophage inflammatory protein-1 beta; TNF-α, tumor necrosis factor alpha; IFN-γ, interferon gamma. *, ** and *** represent p<0.05, <0.01, <0.001, respectively.

CXCL8 and MCP-1 predicted the risk of the development of LTBI

To assess the suitability of CXCL8, MCP-1, TNF-α, and IFN-γ as surrogate biomarkers for the detection of LTBI, the receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) analysis was performed between HHC/IGRA+ve and HCs. Our analysis showed that CXCL8 and MCP-1 could predict LTBI with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.6885; p = 0.0210 and 0.7392; p = 0.0034, respectively. From the ROC analysis, we determined the cut-off for CXCL8 and MCP-1. The cut-off value for CXCL8 was >6.2 pg/ml, while for MCP-1 it was <22.56 pg/ml. Though the AUC for CXCL8 and MCP-1 were seemingly low when we combined both CXCL8 and MCP-1, the AUC was 0.9393; p<0.0001 (Fig 3A).

Fig 3. Efficacy of surrogate biomarkers in predicting LTBI.

Fig 3

A) Receiver operating characteristic curves for the prediction of LTBI by using IL-8, MCP-1 and, either IL-8 or MCP-1. B) Association of IL-8, MCP-1 and, either IL-8 or MCP-1 with the risk of LTBI. These analyses were done between HC (true negative) and HCC/IGRA+ve (true LTBI). AUC, area under curve; CI, confident interval; IL, interleukin; MCP-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1. *, **, *** and, **** represent p<0.05, <0.01, <0.001 and <0.0001, respectively.

A binary regression analysis was performed to examine further the relationship between CXCL8 and MCP-1 and the likelihood of developing LTBI. We found that a combination of both CXCL8 (>6.2 pg/ml) and MCP-1 (<22.56 pg/ml) was associated with increased risk of LTBI by 14-fold (95% CI = 2.82–69.6); p = 0.001. Considering the levels of cytokines, which may change as age increases, we performed a multivariate binary regression analysis adjusting for age. The results showed that the CXCL8 (>6.2 pg/ml) and MCP-1 (<22.56 pg/ml) remained significant even with the change of age, where the odds was 15.22 (95% CI = 2.9-79-8); p<0.0001 (Fig 3B).

Discussion

LTBI has become a severe public health concern, not only because of the number of people that have already become latently infected with MTB but because of the risk of reactivation. >80% of the active TB cases reported in the US are due to reactivation, which can be prevented if effective screening tools are available to initiate timely treatment [17]. An ideal biomarker needs to identify individuals with LTBI without needing ex vivo antigenic stimulation. This is because stimulation with MTB antigens such as PPD, CFP-10, and ESAT-6 would either have a strong cross-reactivity with BCG-vaccinated individuals or Normal (Web) with someone with a history of MTB and hence skewing towards false-positive results. Furthermore, ex vivo stimulation usually does not work well in immunosuppressed or HIV-infected individuals [14].

The study examined a panel of cytokines for their potential to predict LTBI without ex vivo antigen stimulation. Two potential surrogate markers, CXCL8 and MCP-1, with a combined overall efficacy of ~90% were identified. As these markers could distinguish LTBI from HC without ex vivo antigen stimulation, using these markers may be cost-effective and less laborious, especially in resource-limited settings [18]. An important mechanism in TB pathogenesis is granuloma formation, a cellular response in which macrophages accumulate locally in the lungs along with other leukocytes to “wall off” MTB from disseminating to host tissues [19]. This is a complex process where multiple chemokines, especially CXCL8 and MCP-1 (or CCL-2), regulate leukocyte influx to the TB-infected sites [20,21]. However, MTB is a highly successful pathogen that has evolved several strategies to evade host immunosurveillance to ensure its persistence in the host. The early secreted antigenic target 6 kDa (ESAT-6) is a virulence factor in MTB that significantly influences disease pathogenesis. ESAT-6 inhibits functional antigen-presenting cell responses by reducing IL-12 production by macrophages [22] via their lysis [23,24], destabilizing phagolysosome to allow MTB to escape phagosome, [25] and promoting their intracellular dissemination [24,26] Dissemination of ESAT-6 within macrophage cytosol could block the interaction between MyD88 and IRAK4 to prevent NF-κB activation from causing the attrition of IL-12, IL-6, IFN-γ, and TNF-α [27,28].

Studies have shown that exposure to THP-1 with MTB and serum from active TB patients was associated with elevated CXCL8 and MCP-1 levels [29]. However, we observed that individuals with LTBI had increased plasma CXCL8 but decreased MCP-1 levels. Such difference suggests that the MTB in HHCs might have altered the host immune responses to establish latency. We observed that both IFN-γ and TNF-α were lowered in LTBI individuals as compared to HCs. Others have shown that mycobacterial antigen-induced CXCL8 levels declined with preventive treatment, offering hints for evaluating newer prognostic biomarkers to assess performance [29]. The increase of CXCL8 levels among both IGRA positive and negative groups than HCs in the unstimulated plasma suggests that CXCL8 might be secreted due to an ongoing MTB infection. Further, the binary regression analysis showed that the combination of CXCL8 and MCP-1 was associated with an increased risk of LTBI by 14-fold. Also, HHC/IGRA-ve individuals, albeit IGRA was negative, their cytokines profile was akin to HHC/IGRA+ve individuals indicating that they may have been in contact with MTB or LTBI.

Notwithstanding our investigation underpins the potential role of CXCL8 and MCP-1 in LTBI, large-scale epidemiological studies involving diverse cohorts for determining the usefulness of CXCL8 and MCP-1 as biomarkers of LTBI are warranted. Our study has some other minor limitations; the first and foremost being the lack of a proper reference standard. Diagnostic tests often suffer from poor performance given that individuals with microbiologically-confirmed TB may still remain negative by the TST, QFT, or T spot tests for ambiguous reasons. Furthermore, the host immune responses that is initially proinflammatory (cell-mediated), eventually shifts towards anergy in TB disease, and therefore it is expected that any diagnostic test relying on host immune responses will vacillate depending on immune dynamics. Besides, there are several other confounding factors especially among asymptomatic individuals (viz., co-infections, smoking, nutrition, socioeconomic factors, helminthic infections, etc.) that could have implications in determining the immune variance. Hence, given the heterogeneous host immune attributes, a larger sample size would have been encouraging in the current investigation.

In conclusion, our current study recommends prospective clinical evaluation of the biomarkers identified herein given that others have previously linked the association of CXCL8 and MCP-1 levels with pulmonary TB [30]. We suggest that more laboratory investigations need to be undertaken in different laboratory settings to evaluate the diagnostic relevance and usefulness of CXCL8, MCP-1, TNF-α, and IFN-γ as surrogate biomarkers of LTBI in resource-limited settings.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the results identified CXCL8 and MCP-1 that could help identify LTBI in the population. The combination of both CXCL8 and MCP-1 increased the risk of LTBI among HHCs 14-fold. Together, it could be construed that CXCL8 and MCP-1 could serve as surrogate biomarkers of LTB disease. The role of CXCL8 and MCP-1 as surrogate biomarkers warrant further validation for the possible detection of individuals with LTBI in the general population.

Supporting information

S1 Fig. Socioeconomic characteristics of cohort participants.

A) Education level of participants. B) Family annual income of the participants. C) Relationship of the active TB index case with the participants. D) Proximity of the participants with the active TB index case. E) Contact duration of the participants with the active TB index case. HC, healthy control; HHC, household contact; IGRA, interferon gamma releasing assay.

(TIF)

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting information files.

Funding Statement

S. T. S. and S. R. are funded by the National Health Mission, Tamil Nadu (680/NGS/NHMTNMSC/ENGG/2021) for the Directorate of Public Health and Preventive Medicine. E.M.S. is funded by the Department of Science and Technology-Science and Engineering Research Board, Government of India (CRG/2019/006096). This work is also supported by grants through AI52731, the Swedish Research Council, the Swedish, Physicians against AIDS Research Foundation, the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, SIDA SARC, VINNMER for Vinnova, Linköping University Hospital Research Fund, CALF, and the Swedish Society of Medicine (to ML). H. Y. T. is supported by Xiamen University Research Funding (XMUMRF/2020-C5/ITCM/0003 and VV is supported by: The NIH Office of Research Infrastructure Programs (P51 OD011132 to ENPRC), and Emory CFAR (P30 AI050409). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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PLOS Glob Public Health. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002327.r001

Decision Letter 0

Wilber Sabiiti

25 Sep 2023

PGPH-D-23-01425

Plasma CXCL8 and MCP-1 as biomarkers of latent tuberculosis infection

PLOS Global Public Health

Dear Dr. Selvavinayagam,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS Global Public Health. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS Global Public Health’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Please submit your revised manuscript by 30th Sept 2023. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at globalpubhealth@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pgph/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

  • A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

  • A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

  • An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.

Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Wilber Sabiiti

Academic Editor

PLOS Global Public Health

Journal Requirements:

Additional Editor Comments (if provided):

Dear Dr Selvavinayagam and Team

Thank you for submitting your paper to PLOS Global Public Health. After careful consideration of the peer reviews and my own assessment, I recommend a major revision. Please take time to address all comments from reviewers. In addition to addressing the peer review comments, please address the following comments too:

Can you please clarify why you decided to perform random sampling again on the participants to select out those for Bio-Plex assay? . The information in the flow diagram in figure 1A is inconsistent with the body text i.e. you mention 26 IGRA positives yet in the flow diagram, it's all the 58 IGRA positive participants.

Table 1: Participants included in all groups had underlying medical conditions. Although this was not statistically different, this could hugely confound the results. You only highlighted on page 4 in section 3.1 about the 13 IGRA +ve individuals with underlying medical conditions but in the table 1 even the healthy had underlying conditions. The participants were enrolled within a period of one week, it is not clear how and when you performed the enrolments for healthy controls – it may not matter but these individuals might not be as healthy as they indicated. They can no longer be considered healthy if they have any other underlying conditions.

Sincerely

Wilber Sabiiti, PhD

Academic Editor

The word 'postulate' in abstract conclusion 'We postulated that CXCL8 and MCP-1 could be the surrogate biomarkers of LTBI, especially in resource-limited settings', does not make the conclusion meaningful. Please consider rephrasing.

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Does this manuscript meet PLOS Global Public Health’s publication criteria? Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe methodologically and ethically rigorous research with conclusions that are appropriately drawn based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available (please refer to the Data Availability Statement at the start of the manuscript PDF file)?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS Global Public Health does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: The manuscript addresses an important topic identification of a biomarker to differentiate latent TB

The manuscript requires improvement in English writing style

The title seems incomplete, consider rewriting the title

In the abstract the conclusion looks more of a hypothetical statement I recommend that you rewrite the conclusion.

What was the aim of the study? The aim is not clearly written

The introduction does show the relationship between latent TB and theCXCL8 and MCP-1 and its importance in TB immunity and hence a potential biomarker

The results show a decrease in TNF-α, and IFN-γ. These cytokines have not been mentioned in the introduction and no relationship with the chemokines was mentioned. Furthermore the title does not reflect other cytokines

The methods section does not show analysis of biochemical test however they are included in the results section.

The ROC curve analysis is not clear figure A shows three ROC curve analyses.

Was the analysis between the

LTBI and negative house hold contacts

LTBI and HC

HHC and HC

In your discussion you have this statement, “However, we showed that individuals with LTBI had increased plasma CXCL8 but decreased MCP-1 level” s. What is your deduction of the relationship between these two chemokines and the possible cause of the altered immunity ?

Is the conclusion based on the predictions mad e by the roc analysis?

Reviewer #2: The manuscript by Selvavinayagam et al. presents the results of multiplex assessment of cytokines/chemokines of three cohorts of participants: household tuberculosis contacts with IGRA positive, IGRA negative result, and healthy controls. The assessment demonstrated significant differences in plasma concentration of two cytokines (CXCL8 and MCP-1) which makes them potential biomarkers of latent tuberculosis infection.

The results are interesting as many attempts to identify non-sputum-based biomarkers of tuberculosis infection and disease are being made. It is great to see two more potential biomarkers, however, the problem of this type of studies is that once the biomarkers are identified, they need to be tested on prospective cohorts of individuals to be validated. This is often lacking. I am wondering what the authors of the manuscript would suggest in terms of validation of identified biomarkers and their clinical application.

As for the study design, my concern is how the study cohorts were formed. In some cohorts all participants were included, in others – only half of available participants. Why was it random selection and how can you be sure that there was no selection bias?

Figure 2: not sure if some of these characteristics should be presented in Figure as they seem unrelated to LTBI. Usually the demographic data are presented as a table.

I would also suggest to consider to re-formatting this manuscript as a short research letter rather than a full-text research article.

**********

6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: Yes: ESTER ACEN

Reviewer #2: No

**********

[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]

While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.

PLOS Glob Public Health. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002327.r003

Decision Letter 1

Wilber Sabiiti

1 Nov 2023

Detection of surrogate plasma biomarkers of latent tuberculosis infection among household contacts of individuals positive and negative for the interferon gamma release assay – A cross-sectional study

PGPH-D-23-01425R1

Dear Dr  Shanker

We are pleased to inform you that your manuscript 'Detection of surrogate plasma biomarkers of latent tuberculosis infection among household contacts of individuals positive and negative for the interferon gamma release assay – A cross-sectional study' has been provisionally accepted for publication in PLOS Global Public Health.

Before your manuscript can be formally accepted you will need to complete some formatting changes, which you will receive in a follow up email. A member of our team will be in touch with a set of requests.

Please note that your manuscript will not be scheduled for publication until you have made the required changes, so a swift response is appreciated.

IMPORTANT: The editorial review process is now complete. PLOS will only permit corrections to spelling, formatting or significant scientific errors from this point onwards. Requests for major changes, or any which affect the scientific understanding of your work, will cause delays to the publication date of your manuscript.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact globalpubhealth@plos.org.

Thank you again for supporting Open Access publishing; we are looking forward to publishing your work in PLOS Global Public Health.

Best regards,

Wilber Sabiiti

Academic Editor

PLOS Global Public Health

***********************************************************

Dear Dr Esaki Muthu Shankar

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS Global Public Health. After careful consideration of reviews from the 4 peer reviewers, I am pleased to accept your manuscript for publication in PLOS Global Public Health. Before your manuscript goes to production, please take time to address any outstanding comments from all reviewers and particularly 3 and 4.

Reviewer Comments (if any, and for reference):

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #3: (No Response)

Reviewer #4: (No Response)

**********

2. Does this manuscript meet PLOS Global Public Health’s publication criteria? Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions? The manuscript must describe methodologically and ethically rigorous research with conclusions that are appropriately drawn based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Partly

Reviewer #4: No

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: N/A

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available (please refer to the Data Availability Statement at the start of the manuscript PDF file)?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception. The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

Reviewer #4: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS Global Public Health does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: No

Reviewer #4: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: Revised manuscript

In the title aren’t the household contacts the one with either positive or negative interferon gamma release assay

This tile may be misleading if the words “of individuals “

I suggest something like this

Detection of Plasma CXCL8 and MCP-1 as surrogate biomarkers of latent tuberculosis infection among house hold contacts in India

Under results

3.1 “cohort” characteristics

Please replace the word cohort with study

Under the same section , the grammar should be improves

For example the word sex remains as sex I plural not sexes

Under discussion “The study examined a fleet of cytokines” replace fleet with a panel

Reviewer #2: Thank you to the authors for addressing my comments. I still feel that plans for prospective clinical evaluation of the biomarkers identified in this study should be described in more detail, otherwise this manuscript lacks the clinical value it can potentially have.

Reviewer #3: I note this manuscript has been reviewed by 2 others before me, but I am a first time reviewer so have no response to comment 1.

Minor edits needed in figure 3A for clarity of data presentation - to be in line with the related text in section 3.3

The results and discussion are well presented, but the introduction and methodology need a number of grammatical changes

Reviewer #4: This study evaluated if a 17-plex cytokine assay is able to improve LTBI sensitivity.

The authors conclude that increased plasma CXCL8 and decreased MCP1, TNF, and IFNg are associated with LTBI and the authors conclude that CXCL8 and MCP1 could be surrogate biomarkers for LTBI. The major problem with the study is a lack of a proper reference standard. No tests of infection are perfect as evidence by the 5-25% of individuals with microbiologically confirmed TB who are negative by the TST, QFT, or Tspot. Host immunity to TB is initially proinflammatory/ cell-mediated, but eventually shifts towards anergy and therefore it is expected that any test of infection relying on the immune response will vacillate depending on the individuals host immunity. Host immunity to TB is extremely heterogeneous and therefore the sample size is inadequate. Therefore, the study groups (listed below) lacking a proper reference standard make the cytokine analysis very challenging to interpret.

The study consists of 76 volunteers (participants I think) including IGRA+ household contacts (n = 26) and IGRA- HHCs (n = 25) and 25 healthy controls (with no known TB exposure and IGRA-).

IGRA status was determined by only the QFT, which is probably acceptable since it is good concordance with the TST and Tspot.

Despite having the QFT (and therefore the left over supernatant), the study only evaluated the unstimulated plasma for cytokine levels. Unclear why this approach was taken?

A second major problem is that there is extremely large heterogeneity of host immunity among asymptomatic individuals due to HIV, smoking, nutrition, socioeconomic factors, helminth coinfections, etc. Therefore, considering the large expected variance in immune data, any test hoping to predict LTBI status would require much larger participants per group.

Minor:

How many individuals and how many replicates are unclear. The following lines are not understandable: “The study comprises 13 individuals in the x group (n=26).” Was the test performed twice for each individual? Why?

The results of Figure 2 are challenging to understand. What was the LOD of the assay for each cytokine? Why show the data in log scale? Is this log10 or log2?

**********

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: Yes: ESTER LILIAN ACEN

Reviewer #2: No

Reviewer #3: Yes: Harriet Mayanja-Kizza

Reviewer #4: No

**********

Attachment

Submitted filename: Biomarkers of LTBI among HHC _PLOS_Bijulal Octber 2023.docx

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Fig. Socioeconomic characteristics of cohort participants.

    A) Education level of participants. B) Family annual income of the participants. C) Relationship of the active TB index case with the participants. D) Proximity of the participants with the active TB index case. E) Contact duration of the participants with the active TB index case. HC, healthy control; HHC, household contact; IGRA, interferon gamma releasing assay.

    (TIF)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Resonse to Reviewers - PLOS Global Public Health.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Biomarkers of LTBI among HHC _PLOS_Bijulal Octber 2023.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting information files.


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