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. 2023 Nov 9;29(11):2885–2901. doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02610-2

Table 2.

Association of whether screen-detected diabetes is manifested as isolated elevated FPG, isolated elevated HbA1c or elevated levels of both with individual and study characteristics

Isolated elevated FPG Isolated elevated HbA1c Elevated levels of both
PR CrI Posterior probability PR CrI Posterior probability PR CrI Posterior probability
Region
 High-income western Reference Reference Reference
 Central and eastern Europe 1.16 0.73–1.86 0.259 0.62 0.35–1.09 0.049 0.83 0.61–1.12 0.115
 Latin America and the Caribbean 0.48 0.32–0.72 <0.001 1.42 0.93–2.16 0.053 1.16 0.91–1.46 0.109
 East and southeast Asia and the Pacific 0.51 0.35–0.73 <0.001 1.53 1.04–2.25 0.015 1.35 1.10–1.67 0.002
 South Asia 0.24 0.13–0.44 <0.001 1.65 0.89–3.10 0.056 1.52 1.08–2.15 0.009
 Central Asia, Middle East and north Africa 0.33 0.20–0.54 <0.001 2.20 1.31–3.67 0.001 1.06 0.80–1.40 0.342
 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.33 0.19–0.57 <0.001 1.65 0.92–2.94 0.045 1.31 0.96–1.79 0.045
Sex
 Women Reference Reference Reference
 Men 1.10 1.07–1.14 <0.001 0.86 0.83–0.89 <0.001 1.07 1.03-1.11 <0.001
Age (per 10 years of age) 0.97 0.96–0.98 <0.001 1.05 1.04–1.06 <0.001 0.97 0.96–0.99 <0.001
BMI (per 5 kg m−2) 0.92 0.90–0.93 <0.001 0.99 0.98–1.01 0.137 1.07 1.06–1.08 <0.001
Study year (per 5 years of time) 1.01 0.89–1.14 0.447 1.05 0.92–1.20 0.240 1.06 0.99–1.14 0.048
Percent people with diabetes who had been diagnosed before (per 10 percentage points) 0.98 0.89–1.09 0.380 0.98 0.88–1.09 0.354 1.05 0.99–1.11 0.046
Measurement of FPG
 Laboratory Reference Reference Reference
 Portable device 1.71 1.00–2.91 0.025 0.89 0.51–1.56 0.338 0.87 0.64–1.16 0.169
Measurement of HbA1c
 Laboratory Reference Reference Reference
 Portable device 0.33 0.16–0.68 0.001 2.13 1.05–4.20 0.018 0.54 0.35–0.81 0.002

The association with each variable is reported as prevalence ratios (PRs), adjusted for all other variables in the table, in the regression models described in the Methods, in which data from individual participants with screen-detected diabetes were used. Extended Data Table 7 shows results excluding studies that had measured FPG in capillary whole blood using a portable device. CrI, credible interval.