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. 1971 Summer;6(2):120–143.

A Birth-Life-Death Model for Planning and Evaluation of Health Services

Jorgé Ortiz 1, Rodger Parker 1
PMCID: PMC1067332  PMID: 5095653

Abstract

A Markov model of the birth-life-death process is developed to relate two input decision variables—specific mortality rates by age and group of diseases and specific fertility rates by age—to output criteria involving life expectancy, time-dependent structure of mortality by age and cause of death, and other time-dependent demographic structures. Experimentation in the form of computer simulation is used to determine the input of health services programs in terms of the output criteria when the cost of a program and its estimated alteration of the input variables are known.

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Selected References

These references are in PubMed. This may not be the complete list of references from this article.

  1. CHIANG C. L. A stochastic study of the life table and its applications. II. Sample variance of the observed expectation of life and other biometric functions. Hum Biol. 1960 Sep;32:221–238. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

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