Table 4.
Admissions and procedures
| Reference to lockdown 2: Years 2012 – 2019 | Lockdown 2: October 2020 through May 2021 | Change | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average no of patients / month per 100,000 people | 8.43 (8.27-8.59) | 7.20 (6.45-7.95) |
-14.6% Corrected: -23.4% |
<0.001 |
| Mortality / month per 100,000 people | 0.125 (0.12-0.13) | 0.117 (0.11-0.13) |
-6.4% Corrected: +9.6% |
0.236 |
| Ostomy / month per 100,000 people | 0.63 (0.61-0.64) | 0.60 (0.55-0.64) |
-4.8% Corrected: -6.7% |
0.096 |
| Operative/interventional procedure / month per 100,000 people | 2.80 (2.67-2.92) | 2.14 (1.87-2.40) |
-23.6% Corrected: -11.3% |
<0.001 |
| Mortality in case of Operative/interventional procedure / month per 100,000 people | 0.099 (0.09-0.10) | 0.092 (0.08-0.10) |
-7.1% Corrected: +10.7% |
0.261 |
| Emergency admissions / month per 100,000 people | 4.68 (4.54-4.83) | 4.50 (4.07-4.92) |
-3.8% Corrected: -18.1% |
0.386 |
| Operative/interventional procedure in case of emergency admissions / month per 100,000 people | 1.08 (1.05-1.11) | 0.96 (0.87-1.04) |
-11.1% Corrected: -7.2% |
0.002 |
| Ostomy after emergency admission / month per 100,000 people | 0.372 (0.36-0.38) | 0.394 |
+5.9% Corrected: -2.9% |
0.073 |
| Revision surgery or ostomy after emergency admission * (%) | 12.7% (12.0%-13.3%) | 14.0% (11.9%-16.5%) | +10.2% | 0.030 |
| Non-emergency admissions / month per 100,000 people | 3.75 (3.61-3.88) | 2.70 (2.34-3.06) |
-28.0% Corrected: -21.7% |
<0.001 |
| Operative/interventional procedure in case of non-emergency admissions / month per 100,000 people | 1.72 (1.61-1.82) | 1.18 (0.98-1.38) |
-31.4% Corrected: -19.0% |
<0.001 |
| Ostomy after non-emergency admission / month per 100,000 people | 0.255 (0.24-0.27) | 0.202 (0.17-0.23) |
-20.8% Corrected: -13.3% |
0.002 |
| Revision surgery or ostomy after non-emergency admission * (%) | 7.5% (6.7%-8.4%) | 7.6% (5.4%-10.8%) | +1.3% | 0.794 |
Numbers and rates with change during periods of interest (lockdown 2). "People" represent total number of people in Germany in the respective year. p values stem from student's t-test and refer to observed rates, not corrected rates. Numbers in () represent 95% Confidence Interval. Reference always refers to the same months in the respective years. Absolute numbers in Supp. Table 2. Corrected values were calculated on the basis of the average annual change between 2012 and 2018 (last reference period: October 2018-May 2019). This average annual change was applied to the value of respective months of 2018-2019 to evaluate an estimate for 2020–2021 in assumption of a linear trend. This estimation was compared to the observed rate resulting in a corrected change. In case of mortality and ostomy, due to lower absolute numbers, three decimals are provided to avoid rounding bias