Skip to main content
. 2023 Sep 1;12(10):e230055. doi: 10.57264/cer-2023-0055

Table 1. . Model inputs: base-case, deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

Parameter Base-case value (mean/ percentage) Deterministic sensitivity analysis Probabilistic sensitivity analysis
Source Ref.
Low value High value Distribution and values    
Discount rates, %
Discount rate for costs (per year) 3.0 0.0 6.0 Not included ICER guidelines [62]
Discount rate for health outcomes (per year) 3.0 0.0 6.0 ICER guidelines [62]
Baseline patient characteristics
Mean age (years) 44.5 35.6 53.4 Normal (μ = 44.5, σ = 4.54) PRINCE trial baseline characteristics [47,63]
Proportion of females, % 45.28 32.23 58.67 Beta (α = 24, β = 29) PRINCE trial baseline characteristics [63]
Mean weight (kg) 83.86 67.09 100.63 Normal (μ = 83.86, σ = 8.56) CDC Vital and Health Statistics [64]
Health state utilities
Hb normalized 0.869 0.782 0.956 Beta (μ = 0.869, σ = 0.039) Calculations based on PRINCE trial patients' level data  
Hb not normalized 0.820 0.738 0.902 Beta (μ = 0.820, σ = 0.037)
Transfusion required 0.818 0.736 0.900 Beta (μ = 0.818, σ = 0.038)
General population utilities
Age 18–29 years 0.922 Not included   Not included Sullivan, 2006 [65]
Age 30–39 years 0.901
Age 40–49 years 0.871
Age 50–59 years 0.842
Age 60–69 years 0.823
Age 70–79 years 0.790
Age 80+ years 0.736
Treatment costs
Price per package, $
Pegcetacoplan 4403.84 Not included   Not included REDBOOK [66]
Eculizumab 6523.00
Ravulizumab 6404.00
Dosage distributions, %
Pegcetacoplan – 1080 mg twice weekly 100 Not included   Dirichlet (x1 = 100.00%, α1 = 35, x2 = 0%, α2 = 0) Prescribing information [32,42]
Pegcetacoplan – 1080 mg every 3 days 0
Eculizumab – 900 mg every 2 weeks 100 Dirichlet (x1 = 100.00%, α1 = 121, x2 = 0.00%, α2 = 0, x3 = 0.00%, α3 = 0, x4 = 0.00%, α4 = 0)
Eculizumab – 900 mg every 11 days 0
Eculizumab – 1200 mg every 2 weeks 0
Eculizumab – 1500 mg every 2 weeks 0
Ravulizumab – 40–60 kg 30.23 21.61 45.34 Dirichlet (x1 = 30.23%, α1 = 3165, x2 = 33.47%, α2 = 3504, x3 = 36.31%, α3 = 3802) Distribution based on mean weight [24]
Ravulizumab – 60–100 kg 33.47 23.93 26.22
Ravulizumab – 100+ kg 36.31 28.44 54.46
Total cost per cycle, $
Supportive treatment 4137.55 3310.04 4965.06 Gamma (μ = 4137.55, σ = 445.86) REDBOOK PRINCE trial [47,63,66]
Administration costs
Pegcetacoplan 134.96 107.97 161.96 Gamma (μ = 134.96, σ = 14.54) CMS Fee Schedule [67]
IV administration cost (first hour) 140.16 112.13 168.19 Gamma (μ = 140.16, σ = 15.10)
IV administration cost (subsequent hours) 29.76 23.81 35.71 Gamma (μ = 29.76, σ = 3.21)
Administration times, minutes
Eculizumab – maintenance dose 35 Not included   Not included Prescribing information [32]
Eculizumab – additional observation time after administration 60
Ravulizumab – loading dose, 40–60 kg 114 Prescribing information [34]
Ravulizumab – loading dose, 60–100 kg 102
Ravulizumab – loading dose, 100+ kg 108
Ravulizumab – maintenance dose, 40–60 kg 140
Ravulizumab – maintenance dose, 60–100 kg 120
Ravulizumab – maintenance dose, 100+ kg 132
Ravulizumab – additional observation time after administration 60
Vaccine costs, $
Meningitis (A, C, Y, W–135) 70.97 56.78 85.17 Gamma (μ = 70.97, σ = 7.65) CDC Vaccine Price List [68]
Meningitis (B) 103.43 82.75 124.12 Gamma (μ = 103.43, σ = 11.15)
PCV13 137.22 109.78 164.66 Gamma (μ = 137.22, σ = 14.79)
PPSV23 149.90 119.92 179.88 Gamma (μ = 149.90, σ = 16.15)
Monitoring
Number of hematologist visits per cycle – hemoglobin normalized 1 Not included   Not included Clinical experts  
Number of hematologist visits per cycle – hemoglobin not normalized 1
Number of hematologist visits per cycle – transfusion required 13
Hematologist visit cost, $ 134.96 107.97 161.96 Gamma (μ = 134.96, σ = 14.54) CMS Fee Schedule [67]
Blood tests related parameters
Number of blood tests per cycle – hemoglobin normalized 2 Not included   Not included Clinical experts  
Number of blood tests per cycle – hemoglobin not normalized 2
Number of blood tests per cycle – transfusion required 4
Blood test cost, $ 7.77 6.22 9.32 Gamma (μ = 7.77, σ = 0.84) CMS Fee Schedule [67]
Blood transfusions
Total number – initial 2.65 2.12 3.18 Normal (μ = 2.65, σ = 0.27) Calculations based on PRINCE trial data [63]
Increment per cycle 0.2 0.16 0.24 Normal (μ = 0.20, σ = 0.02) Clinical experts  
Maximum number in 1 cycle 8.17 6.54 9.80 Normal (μ = 8.17, σ = 0.83) Calculations based on PRINCE trial data [63]
QALY loss per transfusion -0.002 -0.002621108 -0.001747405 Beta (μ,σ) (μ = -0.002, σ = 0.0004) Calculations based on PRINCE trial patients' level data [63]
Cost per transfusion, $ 2744.32 2195.46 3293.19 Gamma (μ = 2744.32, σ = 295.73) Cheng, 2021 [2]
AEs
AEs probability – pegcetacoplan – breakthrough hemolysis 4.3% 3.44% 5.15% Beta (μ = 0.0429, σ = 0.0041) PRINCE trial data  
AEs probability – eculizumab – breakthrough hemolysis 10.7% 8.56% 10.27% Beta (μ = 0.1070, σ = 0.0109) Matching adjusted indirect comparison [69]
AEs probability – eculizumab – major adverse Vascular Events 0.8% 0.66% 0.80% Beta (μ = 0.0083, σ = 0.0014)
AEs probability – ravulizumab – breakthrough hemolysis 4.0% 3.20% 3.84% Beta (μ = 0.0400, σ = 0.0038)
AEs probability – ravulizumab – major adverse Vascular Events 1.6% 1.28% 1.54% Beta (μ = 0.0160, σ = 0.0020)
AEs QALY lost – breakthrough hemolysis 0.0006 0.0005 0.0006 Beta (μ = 0.0006, σ = 0.0001) O'Connell, 2020 [58]
AEs QALY lost – major adverse vascular events 0.0006 0.0005 0.0006 Beta (μ = 0.0006, σ = 0.0001) Sullivan, 2006 [65]
AEs treatment cost – major adverse vascular events $24,190 $19,352.18 $23,222.62 Gamma (μ = 24,190.23, σ = 2,606.72) Dasta, 2015 [70]

AE: Adverse event; IV: Intravenous; QALY: Quality-adjusted life-year.