Table 10.
Fixed effects models of Probability of being uncertain about wanting a child during the next 24 months (D/K answer) by local Optimism about the future Parents Source Elaboration of the author based on SHP 2004–2021
| Second child | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Variance | |||||
| Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| Community optimism about the future (mean−centered) | −0.056 | 0.117 | 0.249 | |||
| (−0.360–0.247) | (−0.332–0.566) | (−0.259–0.757) | ||||
| Community variance in optimism about the future (mean−centered) | −0.180 | −0.163 | −0.130 | |||
| (−0.578–0.217) | (−0.611–0.284) | (−0.559–0.299) | ||||
| Employment uncertainty | ||||||
| (ref: Employed, very or quite secure) | ||||||
| Employed, a bit or very insecure job | 0.134 | 0.093 | ||||
| (−0.130–0.399) | (−0.149–0.335) | |||||
| Unemployed | ||||||
| Out of the LF | 0.193 | 0.183 | ||||
| (−0.126–0.512) | (−0.130–0.496) | |||||
| Student | −0.027 | 0.037 | ||||
| (−0.301–0.246) | (−0.271–0.345) | |||||
| Disposable income ( Thousands mean−centered) | −0.020 | −0.020 | ||||
| (−0.044–0.004) | (−0.045–0.005) | |||||
| Education (ref: upper secondary) | ||||||
| Primary or low secondary | ||||||
| Tertiary | 0.274** | 0.251* | 0.275** | 0.218* | ||
| (0.053–0.495) | (0.018–0.484) | (0.065–0.484) | (0.009–0.426) | |||
| Age (ref: 30–34) | ||||||
| 15–19 | ||||||
| 20–24 | ||||||
| 25–29 | 0.001 | 1.358** | −0.052 | −0.048 | 1.634** | −0.093 |
| (−0.013–0.015) | (0.253–2.462) | (−0.248–0.144) | (−0.153–0.058) | (0.391–2.878) | (−0.326–0.141) | |
| 35–39 | 0.062* | 0.261** | 0.267** | 0.086 | 0.254** | 0.244** |
| (0.001–0.122) | (0.066–0.455) | (0.055–0.478) | (−0.004–0.177) | (0.069–0.439) | (0.057–0.431) | |
| 40–44 | −0.123* | 0.258** | 0.297* | −0.077 | 0.254** | 0.285* |
| (−0.227–−0.019) | (0.067–0.449) | (0.027–0.566) | (−0.201–0.048) | (0.066–0.442) | (0.028–0.542) | |
| Wave 2012 (ref: 2006) | 0.196 | −0.240* | 0.318* | −0.201* | ||
| (−0.048–0.440) | (−0.443–−0.037) | (0.021–0.616) | (−0.377–−0.026) | |||
| Age of first child (mean−centered) | −0.076** | −0.091** | ||||
| (−0.137–−0.015) | (−0.159–−0.022) | |||||
| Community FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Constant | 0.095*** | −0.122 | −0.140 | 0.063 | −0.148 | −0.128 |
| (0.040–0.149) | (−0.251–0.007) | (−0.309–0.028) | (−0.010–0.136) | (−0.320–0.024) | (−0.303–0.048) | |
| Observations | 388 | 388 | 388 | 388 | 388 | 388 |
| R−squared | 0.190 | 0.252 | 0.362 | 0.197 | 0.256 | 0.357 |
| No. of idpers | 349 | 349 | 349 | 349 | 349 | 349 |