Table 3.
Fixed effects models of Probability of wanting a child during the next 24 months (YES answer) by canton-level Generalized Trust. Childless Source Elaboration of the author based on SHP 2004–2021
| First child | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Variance | |||||
| Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| Community generalized trust (mean-centered) | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.005 | |||
| (−0.008–0.017) | (−0.00–0.018) | (−0.007–0.018) | ||||
| Community variance in generalized trust (mean-centered) | −0.021 | 0.006 | 0.004 | |||
| (−0.064–0.022) | (−0.037–0.049) | (−0.039–0.047) | ||||
| Employment uncertainty | ||||||
| (ref: Employed, very or quite secure) | ||||||
| Employed, a bit or very insecure job | 0.014 | 0.014 | ||||
| (−0.010–0.038) | (-0.011–0.038) | |||||
| Unemployed | −0.057*** | -0.056*** | ||||
| (−0.091– −0.022) | (-0.091– −0.021) | |||||
| Out of the LF | −0.022 | -0.021 | ||||
| (−0.061–0.018) | (-0.061–0.018) | |||||
| Student | −0.027** | -0.027** | ||||
| (−0.049– −0.005) | (-0.049– −0.005) | |||||
| Disposable income (mean-centered) | 0.004*** | 0.004*** | ||||
| (0.001–0.006) | (0.001–0.006) | |||||
| Education (ref: upper secondary) | ||||||
| Primary or low secondary | 0.009 | 0.006 | 0.009 | 0.006 | ||
| (−0.030–0.048) | (−0.033–0.045) | (−0.030–0.048) | (−0.033–0.045) | |||
| Tertiary | 0.018 | 0.012 | 0.018 | 0.012 | ||
| (−0.009–0.046) | (−0.016–0.040) | (−0.009–0.045) | (−0.016–0.040) | |||
| Age (ref: 30–34) | ||||||
| 15–19 | −0.541*** | −0.286*** | −0.285*** | −0.541*** | −0.282*** | −0.282*** |
| (−0.578– −0.504) | (−0.332– −0.239) | (−0.332– -0.239) | (−0.579– −0.504) | (−0.329– −0.235) | (−0.330– −0.235) | |
| 20–24 | −0.508*** | −0.319*** | −0.318*** | −0.509*** | −0.317*** | −0.316*** |
| (−0.541– −0.476) | (−0.357– −0.282) | (−0.355– −0.280) | (−0.541– −0.476) | (−0.354– −0.279) | (−0.353– −0.278) | |
| 25–29 | −0.335*** | −0.244*** | −0.242*** | −0.335*** | −0.242*** | −0.241*** |
| (−0.362– −0.308) | (−0.272– −0.215) | (−0.270– −0.214) | (−0.363– −0.308) | (−0.271– −0.214) | (−0.269– −0.212) | |
| 35–39 | 0.239*** | 0.143*** | 0.141*** | 0.239*** | 0.142*** | 0.139*** |
| (0.188–0.290) | (0.093–0.194) | (0.090–0.191) | (0.188–0.290) | (0.091–0.193) | (0.088–0.190) | |
| 40–44 | 0.169*** | −0.009 | −0.014 | 0.170*** | −0.012 | −0.016 |
| (0.085–0.252) | (−0.091–0.074) | (−0.096–0.069) | (0.086–0.254) | (−0.095–0.071) | (−0.099–0.067) | |
| Period (ref: 2004–2008) | ||||||
| 2009–2013 | 0.107*** | 0.102*** | 0.104*** | 0.099*** | ||
| (0.077–0.136) | (0.072–0.131) | (0.075–0.133) | (0.070–0.128) | |||
| 2014–2018 | 0.241*** | 0.237*** | 0.238*** | 0.234*** | ||
| (0.201–0.282) | (0.196–0.277) | (0.198–0.278) | (0.194–0.273) | |||
| 2019–2021 | 0.353*** | 0.347*** | 0.353*** | 0.347*** | ||
| (0.304–0.402) | (0.299–0.396) | (0.304–0.402) | (0.298–0.395) | |||
| Community FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Constant | 0.513*** | 0.234*** | 0.243*** | 0.516*** | 0.230*** | 0.240*** |
| (0.461–0.564) | (0.169–0.298) | (0.178–0.307) | (0.463–0.568) | (0.165–0.295) | (0.175–0.305) | |
| Observations | 12,631 | 12,631 | 12,631 | 12,631 | 12,631 | 12,631 |
| R-squared | 0.172 | 0.191 | 0.194 | 0.172 | 0.190 | 0.194 |
| No. of idpers | 4407 | 4407 | 4407 | 4407 | 4407 | 4407 |
Robust confidence intervals in parentheses, *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1