Table 4.
Fixed effects models of Probability of wanting a child during the next 24 months (YES answer) by canton-level Generalized Trust. Parents Source Elaboration of the author based on SHP 2004–2021
| Second child | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Variance | |||||
| Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| Community Generalized Trust (mean-centered) | −0.001 | −0.013 | −0.012 | |||
| (−0.024–0.022) | (−0.037–0.011) | (−0.036–0.011) | ||||
| Community Variance in Generalized Trust (mean-centered) | 0.009 | 0.032 | 0.039 | |||
| (−0.056–0.073) | (−0.031–0.095) | (−0.024–0.101) | ||||
| Employment Uncertainty | ||||||
| (ref: Employed, Very or quite secure) | ||||||
| Employed, A bit or very insecure job | 0.013 | 0.014 | ||||
| (−0.026–0.053) | (−0.026–0.053) | |||||
| Unemployed | −0.023 | −0.022 | ||||
| (−0.115–0.069) | (−0.114–0.070) | |||||
| Out of the LF | −0.013 | −0.012 | ||||
| (−0.076–0.050) | (−0.075–0.051) | |||||
| Student | 0.103 | 0.102 | ||||
| (−0.115–0.321) | (−0.116–0.319) | |||||
| Disposable Income (mean-centered) | −0.011*** | −0.011*** | ||||
| (−0.015– −0.006) | (−0.015– −0.006) | |||||
| Education (ref: Upper Secondary) | ||||||
| Primary or Low Secondary | −0.361*** | −0.362*** | -0.360*** | −0.361*** | ||
| (-0.571– −0.151) | (−0.579– −0.145) | (-0.569– −0.151) | (−0.577– −0.145) | |||
| Tertiary | 0.062 | 0.068 | 0.061 | 0.068 | ||
| (-0.072–0.196) | (−0.066–0.203) | (−0.073–0.196) | (−0.067–0.202) | |||
| Age (ref: 30–34) | ||||||
| 15–19 | −0.117 | −0.070 | −0.070 | −0.117 | −0.072 | −0.071 |
| (−0.485–0.251) | (−0.445–0.305) | (−0.418–0.277) | (−0.484–0.251) | (−0.445–0.302) | (−0.417–0.276) | |
| 20–24 | −0.401*** | −0.420*** | −0.416*** | −0.400*** | −0.419*** | −0.414*** |
| (−0.558–−0.245) | (−0.584–−0.256) | (−0.581–−0.252) | (−0.556–−0.244) | (−0.582–−0.256) | (−0.578–−0.250) | |
| 25–29 | −0.071 | −0.113** | −0.108* | −0.070 | −0.114** | −0.108* |
| (−0.165–0.024) | (−0.207–−0.019) | (−0.201–−0.014) | (−0.165–0.025) | (−0.209–−0.020) | (−0.202–−0.015) | |
| 35–39 | −0.092** | −0.008 | −0.008 | −0.092** | −0.008 | −0.009 |
| (−0.153–−0.030) | (−0.068–0.053) | (−0.070–0.053) | (−0.154–−0.031) | (−0.068–0.053) | (−0.070–0.052) | |
| 40–44 | −0.269*** | −0.082* | −0.082* | −0.270*** | −0.083* | −0.083* |
| (−0.344–−0.195) | (−0.159–−0.005) | (−0.159–−0.005) | (−0.345–−0.195) | (−0.160–−0.006) | (−0.160–−0.006) | |
| Period (ref: 2004–2008) | ||||||
| −0.067** | −0.064* | −0.062* | −0.059* | |||
| 2009–2013 | (−0.122–−0.011) | (−0.119–−0.008) | (−0.117–−0.007) | (−0.114–−0.004) | ||
| −0.095* | −0.096* | −0.088* | −0.089* | |||
| 2014–2018 | (−0.179–−0.012) | (−0.180–−0.013) | (−0.171–−0.006) | (−0.172–−0.007) | ||
| −0.123** | −0.124** | −0.118* | −0.118* | |||
| 2019–2021 | (−0.225–−0.021) | (−0.227–−0.022) | (−0.221–−0.016) | (−0.221–−0.016) | ||
| Age of first child (mean−centered) | −0.020*** | −0.018*** | −0.020*** | −0.018*** | ||
| (−0.028–−0.011) | (−0.027–−0.009) | (−0.028–−0.011) | (−0.027–−0.010) | |||
| Community FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Constant | −0.132 | −0.118 | −0.036 | −0.134 | −0.125 | −0.045 |
| (−0.328–0.064) | (−0.329–0.094) | (−0.255–0.182) | (−0.332–0.063) | (−0.337–0.087) | (−0.264–0.174) | |
| Observations | 4274 | 4274 | 4274 | 4274 | 4274 | 4274 |
| R−squared | 0.069 | 0.084 | 0.090 | 0.070 | 0.084 | 0.090 |
| Number of idpers | 1688 | 1688 | 1688 | 1688 | 1688 | 1688 |