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. 2023 Dec 1;39(1):35. doi: 10.1007/s10680-023-09684-1

Table 5.

Fixed effects models of Probability of being uncertain about wanting a child during the next 24 months (D/K answer) by canton−level Generalized Trust Childless Source Elaboration of the author based on SHP 2004–2021

First child
Mean Variance
Model Model Model Model Model Model
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Community generalized trust (mean−centered) −0.032** −0.030* −0.030*
(−0.057–−0.008) (−0.055–−0.004) (−0.055–−0.004)
Community variance in generalized trust (mean−centered) 0.007* 0.005 0.005
(0.000–0.013) (−0.002–0.012) (−0.002–0.012)
Employment uncertainty
(ref: Employed, very or quite secure)
Employed, a bit or very insecure job 0.001 0.001
(−0.014–0.017) (−0.015–0.016)
Unemployed −0.000 −0.000
(−0.023–0.023) (−0.024–0.023)
Out of the LF 0.017 0.017
(−0.008–0.043) (−0.008–0.043)
Student −0.008 −0.008
(−0.020–0.004) (−0.020–0.004)
Disposable income (mean−centered) 0.000 0.000
(−0.001–0.001) (−0.001–0.001)
Education (ref: upper secondary)
Primary or low secondary 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003
(−0.013–0.019) (−0.012–0.019) (−0.013–0.019) (−0.013–0.018)
Tertiary 0.010 0.009 0.010 0.009
(−0.004–0.024) (−0.006–0.023) (−0.004–0.024) (−0.006–0.023)
Age (ref: 30–34)
15–19 −0.075*** −0.072*** −0.071*** −0.074*** −0.069*** −0.068***
(−0.091–−0.058) (−0.097–−0.048) (−0.096–−0.047) (−0.090–−0.057) (−0.093–−0.045) (−0.092–−0.044)
20–24 −0.066*** −0.063*** −0.062*** −0.065*** −0.060*** −0.060***
(−0.081–−0.051) (−0.083–−0.042) (−0.083–−0.041) (−0.080–−0.050) (−0.080–−0.040) (−0.080–−0.039)
25–29 −0.037*** −0.036*** −0.036*** −0.036*** −0.035*** −0.035***
(−0.050–−0.024) (−0.051–−0.021) (−0.051–−0.021) (−0.049–−0.023) (−0.050–−0.020) (−0.050–−0.020)
35–39 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.000 −0.000 −0.000
(−0.023–0.026) (−0.024–0.026) (−0.023–0.026) (−0.024–0.025) (−0.025–0.025) (−0.025–0.025)
40–44 −0.050* −0.049* −0.048* −0.052** −0.053** −0.053**
(−0.092–−0.007) (−0.092–−0.005) (−0.092–−0.005) (−0.095–−0.010) (−0.096–−0.010) (−0.096–−0.009)
Period (ref: 2004–2008)
2009–2013 −0.006 −0.007 −0.006 −0.006
(−0.022–0.009) (−0.022–0.009) (−0.021–0.010) (−0.022–0.010)
2014–2018 −0.006 −0.007 −0.004 −0.004
(−0.027–0.015) (−0.028–0.014) (−0.025–0.017) (−0.026–0.017)
2019–2021 −0.002 −0.003 0.000 −0.000
(−0.029–0.025) (−0.030–0.024) (−0.027–0.027) (−0.027–0.027)
Community FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Constant 0.098*** 0.095*** 0.096*** 0.093*** 0.088*** 0.089***
(0.071–0.126) (0.059–0.131) (0.060–0.132) (0.067–0.120) (0.053–0.123) (0.054–0.124)
Observations 13,272 13,272 13,272 13,272 13,272 13,272
R−squared 0.013 0.013 0.013 0.012 0.013 0.013
Number of idpers 4547 4547 4547 4547 4547 4547