Table 5.
Fixed effects models of Probability of being uncertain about wanting a child during the next 24 months (D/K answer) by canton−level Generalized Trust Childless Source Elaboration of the author based on SHP 2004–2021
| First child | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Variance | |||||
| Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | Model | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| Community generalized trust (mean−centered) | −0.032** | −0.030* | −0.030* | |||
| (−0.057–−0.008) | (−0.055–−0.004) | (−0.055–−0.004) | ||||
| Community variance in generalized trust (mean−centered) | 0.007* | 0.005 | 0.005 | |||
| (0.000–0.013) | (−0.002–0.012) | (−0.002–0.012) | ||||
| Employment uncertainty | ||||||
| (ref: Employed, very or quite secure) | ||||||
| Employed, a bit or very insecure job | 0.001 | 0.001 | ||||
| (−0.014–0.017) | (−0.015–0.016) | |||||
| Unemployed | −0.000 | −0.000 | ||||
| (−0.023–0.023) | (−0.024–0.023) | |||||
| Out of the LF | 0.017 | 0.017 | ||||
| (−0.008–0.043) | (−0.008–0.043) | |||||
| Student | −0.008 | −0.008 | ||||
| (−0.020–0.004) | (−0.020–0.004) | |||||
| Disposable income (mean−centered) | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| (−0.001–0.001) | (−0.001–0.001) | |||||
| Education (ref: upper secondary) | ||||||
| Primary or low secondary | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.003 | ||
| (−0.013–0.019) | (−0.012–0.019) | (−0.013–0.019) | (−0.013–0.018) | |||
| Tertiary | 0.010 | 0.009 | 0.010 | 0.009 | ||
| (−0.004–0.024) | (−0.006–0.023) | (−0.004–0.024) | (−0.006–0.023) | |||
| Age (ref: 30–34) | ||||||
| 15–19 | −0.075*** | −0.072*** | −0.071*** | −0.074*** | −0.069*** | −0.068*** |
| (−0.091–−0.058) | (−0.097–−0.048) | (−0.096–−0.047) | (−0.090–−0.057) | (−0.093–−0.045) | (−0.092–−0.044) | |
| 20–24 | −0.066*** | −0.063*** | −0.062*** | −0.065*** | −0.060*** | −0.060*** |
| (−0.081–−0.051) | (−0.083–−0.042) | (−0.083–−0.041) | (−0.080–−0.050) | (−0.080–−0.040) | (−0.080–−0.039) | |
| 25–29 | −0.037*** | −0.036*** | −0.036*** | −0.036*** | −0.035*** | −0.035*** |
| (−0.050–−0.024) | (−0.051–−0.021) | (−0.051–−0.021) | (−0.049–−0.023) | (−0.050–−0.020) | (−0.050–−0.020) | |
| 35–39 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | −0.000 | −0.000 |
| (−0.023–0.026) | (−0.024–0.026) | (−0.023–0.026) | (−0.024–0.025) | (−0.025–0.025) | (−0.025–0.025) | |
| 40–44 | −0.050* | −0.049* | −0.048* | −0.052** | −0.053** | −0.053** |
| (−0.092–−0.007) | (−0.092–−0.005) | (−0.092–−0.005) | (−0.095–−0.010) | (−0.096–−0.010) | (−0.096–−0.009) | |
| Period (ref: 2004–2008) | ||||||
| 2009–2013 | −0.006 | −0.007 | −0.006 | −0.006 | ||
| (−0.022–0.009) | (−0.022–0.009) | (−0.021–0.010) | (−0.022–0.010) | |||
| 2014–2018 | −0.006 | −0.007 | −0.004 | −0.004 | ||
| (−0.027–0.015) | (−0.028–0.014) | (−0.025–0.017) | (−0.026–0.017) | |||
| 2019–2021 | −0.002 | −0.003 | 0.000 | −0.000 | ||
| (−0.029–0.025) | (−0.030–0.024) | (−0.027–0.027) | (−0.027–0.027) | |||
| Community FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Constant | 0.098*** | 0.095*** | 0.096*** | 0.093*** | 0.088*** | 0.089*** |
| (0.071–0.126) | (0.059–0.131) | (0.060–0.132) | (0.067–0.120) | (0.053–0.123) | (0.054–0.124) | |
| Observations | 13,272 | 13,272 | 13,272 | 13,272 | 13,272 | 13,272 |
| R−squared | 0.013 | 0.013 | 0.013 | 0.012 | 0.013 | 0.013 |
| Number of idpers | 4547 | 4547 | 4547 | 4547 | 4547 | 4547 |