Table 3.
Optimal detrending and deseasoning combinations for each early warning signal computation method across time series resolutions
| Data resolution | Early warning signal computation method | Optimal detrending method | Optimal deseasoning method |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly | univariate rolling window | linear | Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess (STL) |
| univariate expanding window | linear | decomposition | |
| multivariate rolling window | gaussian | none | |
| multivariate expanding window | gaussian | averaging | |
| EWSNet (univariate machine learning model) | gaussian | none | |
| Yearly | univariate rolling window | linear | NA |
| univariate expanding window | linear | NA | |
| multivariate rolling window | gaussian | NA | |
| multivariate expanding window | gaussian | NA | |
| EWSNet (univariate machine learning model) | gaussian | NA |